Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen Prediction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 26

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Jeju United FC

Home

3 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Daejeon Citizen

Away

Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo

AI call Daejeon Citizen or draw

30%

29%

41%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen prediction: Sportiko gives Jeju United FC a 30% chance of winning, Daejeon Citizen 41% and the draw 29%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 12:32.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Away to Score 73%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
1st Half Draw or Away 74%
Home to Score 71%

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Timeline

30' ⚽ 1–0

Emerson Ramon Yellow Card

41' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

M. Ishida ⇄ Jun-beom Kim

⇄ 46'

Jeong Jae-Hee ⇄ Seo Jin-Su

assist: Emerson Ramon

52' ⚽ 2–0

Italo Moreira Yellow Card

58' ▮

⇄ 59'

Joo Min-Kyu ⇄ Diogo Oliveira

⇄ 59'

Kim Bong-Soo ⇄ Victor Bobsin

⇄ Yu In-Soo

67' ⇄

Chung Woon Yellow Card

71' ▮

⚽ 2–1 76'

Seo Jin-Su assist: Lee Myung-Jae

⇄ Choi Byung-Wook

78' ⇄

Kim Jae-Woo ⇄ Chang-jun Park

86' ⇄

⇄ 90+1'

Jo Seong-Kwon ⇄ Ha Chang-Rae

Emerson Ramon

90+10' ⚽ 3–1

FT 3–1

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

Daejeon Citizen or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Jeju United FC

WDWDW

Daejeon Citizen

DDWWL

Last 2 meetings Jeju United FC · 1W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

41%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Daejeon Citizen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	7	3	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Jeju United FC goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Jeju United FC

No scorer data.

Daejeon Citizen

Jeong Jae-Hee 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	8.7%	6.8%	3.0%	1.0%
1	8.0%	14.4%	8.4%	3.7%	1.2%
2	5.9%	7.8%	5.2%	2.3%	0.8%
3	2.4%	3.2%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Jeju United FC	Draw	Daejeon Citizen
Jeju United FC	19.2%	4.6%	2.2%
Draw	12.9%	19.0%	14.8%
Daejeon Citizen	1.8%	4.3%	21.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen

1 Jeju United FC Wins

1 Draws

0 Daejeon Citizen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Jul 2026	Jeju United FC	0 - 0	Daejeon Citizen
22 Apr 2026	Daejeon Citizen	0 - 1	Jeju United FC

Jeju United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Gangwon FC	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Bucheon FC 1995	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Gwangju FC	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Ulsan Hyundai FC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Daejeon Citizen	W	3 - 1

Daejeon Citizen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Incheon United	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Pohang Steelers	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H FC Anyang	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A Bucheon FC 1995	W	0 - 5
30 Aug	A Jeju United FC	L	3 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Daejeon Citizen

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Hwang Sun-Hong

1 Chang-geun

6 Kang

4 Seong-Kwon

98 Kryvotsiuk

16 Lee

30 Bong-Soo

44 Lee

27 Jeong

7 Ishida

17 Ludwigson

10 Joo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lee Chang-geun	G
16	Myeong-jae Lee	D
98	Anton Kryvotsiuk	D
4	Jo Seong-Kwon	D
6	Yun-seong Kang	D
44	Soon-min Lee	M
30	Kim Bong-Soo	M
17	Gustav Ludwigson	M
7	Masatoshi Ishida	M
27	Jae-hee Jeong	M
10	Min-kyu Joo	F

Substitutes

31	Kim Min-Soo	G
45	Chang-rae Ha	D
2	Kyu-hyun Park	D
14	Jun-beom Kim	M
8	Victor Bobsin	M
19	Jin-su Seo	F
70	Kim Hyeon-uk	M
41	Byung-chan Park	M
9	Diogo Oliveira	F

Jeju United FC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Sergio Costa

1 Kim

13 Jeong

3 Celestine

41 Kim

47 Park

33 Park

20 Jang

5 Italo

22 Cinari

9 Aiás

94 Ramon

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Dong-jun Kim	G
47	Min-jae Park	D
41	Jae-woo Kim	D
3	Julien Celestine	D
13	Woon Jeong	D
22	Eraldo Cinari	M
5	Italo	M
20	Min-gyu Jang	M
33	Su-bin Park	M
94	Emerson Ramon	F
9	Matheus Aiás	F

Substitutes

81	Ja-ung Heo	G
88	Jo In-Jung	D
24	Byung-wook Choi	M
17	In-su Yu	D
7	Chang-jun Park	F
11	Shin Sang-Eun	F
18	Kim Shin-jin	F
77	Seung-jae Yoo	M