Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

Incheon United

Home

1 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Jeonbuk Motors

Away

Sungui Arena Park, Incheon

AI call Jeonbuk Motors or draw

32%

31%

37%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors prediction: Sportiko gives Incheon United a 32% chance of winning, Jeonbuk Motors 37% and the draw 31%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 12:31.

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1st Half Home or Draw 75%

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Timeline

▮ 3'

Kim Young-Bin Yellow Card

Kim Myung-Sun Yellow Card

4' ▮

Lee Myung-Joo Yellow Card

24' ▮

▮ 24'

Kim Tae-Hwan Yellow Card

🖵 39'

João Gamboa Goal Disallowed - offside

HT 0–0

54' ⇄

⇄ Gerso

54' ⇄

⇄ 57'

Lee Dong-Jun ⇄ Lee Seung-Woo

⇄ 70'

Tiago Orobó ⇄ Bruno Mota

⇄ 70'

Italo ⇄ Kim Seung-Sub

Lee Myung-Joo ⇄ Lee Min-Hyeok

78' ⇄

S. Mugoša ⇄ M. Ferrier

78' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 83'

Lee Seung-Woo assist: Jin-gyu Kim

⇄ 87'

João Gamboa ⇄ Lee Yeong-Jae

⇄ 87'

Jin-gyu Kim ⇄ Maeng Seong-Ung

Gerso

88' ⚽ 1–1

Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

▮ 90+6'

Choi Woo-Jin Yellow Card

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Jeonbuk Motors or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Incheon United

DLWLD

Jeonbuk Motors

DLDWD

Last 2 meetings Incheon United · 1W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

37%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Jeonbuk Motors goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	11	7	3	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	1
3	2	2	1	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Incheon United goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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Players in form

Incheon United

S. Mugoša 6 gls

M. Ferrier 3 gls

Gerso 2 gls

Jeonbuk Motors

Lee Seung-Woo 3 gls

Tiago Orobó 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

32%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

32%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Away Scores More 33% Equal Goals 32% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

19%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.2%	11.1%	7.2%	2.7%	0.8%
1	10.3%	15.2%	7.5%	2.8%	0.8%
2	6.3%	7.1%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%
3	2.2%	2.5%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Incheon United	Draw	Jeonbuk Motors
Incheon United	19.1%	4.6%	1.8%
Draw	12.5%	22.2%	15.0%
Jeonbuk Motors	1.3%	3.9%	19.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors

1 Incheon United Wins

1 Draws

0 Jeonbuk Motors Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jul 2026	Incheon United	0 - 0	Jeonbuk Motors
21 Apr 2026	Jeonbuk Motors	1 - 2	Incheon United

Incheon United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Daejeon Citizen	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Ulsan Hyundai FC	L	2 - 1
08 Sep	H Bucheon FC 1995	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A FC Seoul	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Jeonbuk Motors	D	1 - 1

Jeonbuk Motors — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Gwangju FC	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Seoul	L	1 - 2
09 Sep	A Gangwon FC	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Pohang Steelers	W	2 - 0
30 Aug	A Incheon United	D	1 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Jeonbuk Motors

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Chung Jung-Yong

31 Bum-keun

66 Woo-jin

2 Kim

5 Ji-soo

23 Kim

97 Kim

16 Gamboa

95 Italo

13 Sang-Yun

7 Lee

9 Orobó

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Song Bum-keun	G
23	Tae-hwan Kim	D
5	Park Ji-soo	D
2	Yeong-bin Kim	D
66	Choi Woo-jin	D
16	João Gamboa	M
97	Jin-gyu Kim	M
7	Dong-jun Lee	M
13	Kang Sang-Yun	M
95	Italo	M
9	Tiago Orobó	F

Substitutes

1	Ju-hyeon Lee	G
15	Kim Ha-Jun	D
77	Tae-hyeon Kim	D
3	Je-un Yeon	D
6	Seong-ung Maeng	M
11	Seung-seob Kim	F
28	Yeong-jae Lee	M
10	Seung-Woo Lee	M
99	Bruno Mota	F

Incheon United

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jong-Hwan Yoon

1 Kim

32 Lee

20 Kyung-sub

4 Kim

39 Myung-Sun

70 Ribeiro

5 Lee

15 Seo

10 Lee

9 Mugoša

72 Lee

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Dong-heon Kim	G
39	Kim Myung-Sun	D
4	Gun-hee Kim	D
20	Park Kyung-sub	D
32	Ju-yong Lee	D
10	Dong-ryul Lee	M
15	Jae-min Seo	M
5	Myung Joo Lee	M
70	Leandro Ribeiro	M
72	Chung-yong Lee	F
9	Stefan Mugoša	F

Substitutes

21	Lee Tae Hui	G
3	Sang-ki Lee	D
6	Ji-hwan Mun	M
23	Chi-in Jeong	M
26	Lee Min-Hyeok	M
17	Seong-min Kim	M
11	Gerso Fernandes	F
13	Choi Seung-Gu	D
99	Morgan Ferrier	F