Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul Prediction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

Gwangju FC

Home

2 : 5

HT 1 - 3

FC Seoul

Away

Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju

AI call FC Seoul to win or draw

11%

21%

68%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul prediction: Sportiko gives Gwangju FC a 11% chance of winning, FC Seoul 68% and the draw 21%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 12:29.

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Away 2H Over 0.5 74%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 15'

Son Jeong-beom assist: Choi Jun

⚽ 0–2 22'

Kim Jin-su

Kyoung-Rok Choi assist: Kwon Sung-Yun

34' ⚽ 1–2

Red Card

40' ▮

⚽ 1–3 45+8'

Lee Seung-mo assist: Seung-Won Jeong

HT 1–3

Moon Min-seo ⇄ J. Iredale

46' ⇄

Chang-mu Shin assist: J. Iredale

47' ⚽ 2–3

⚽ 2–4 52'

Seung-Won Jeong assist: Anderson Oliveira

Ahn Young-Kyu Red Card

56' ▮

⚽ 2–5 60'

Anderson Oliveira

⇄ 63'

Son Jeong-beom ⇄ Moon Seon-min

66' ⇄

▮ 69'

Yazan Al-Arab Yellow Card

⇄ 73'

Yazan Al-Arab ⇄ Seong-hun Park

A. Ba Loua ⇄ Ji-hoon Jeong

78' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Anderson Oliveira ⇄ Soo-il Park

⇄ 84'

Lee Seung-mo ⇄ Hwang Do-yoon

Kwon Sung-Yun

87' ⇄

Yu Je-Ho

87' ⇄

FT 2–5

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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Seoul to win or draw

Most likely score

0:2 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Gwangju FC

DDLDL

FC Seoul

LWLWW

Last 2 meetings Gwangju FC · 0W 0D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Seoul goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	18	20	15	8	3
1	2	6	6	4	2	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Gwangju FC goals · most likely 0–2 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Gwangju FC

Moon Min-seo 2 gls

FC Seoul

Lee Seung-Mo 3 gls

P. Klimala 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

21%

Home Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

21%

Home Win

11%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

96% Away (No Draw) 4% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Away Scores More 17% Equal Goals 3% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

20%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	18.1%	20.4%	14.8%	8.0%
1	1.9%	6.4%	6.1%	4.4%	2.4%
2	0.4%	0.9%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%
3	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

36%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

32%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gwangju FC	Draw	FC Seoul
Gwangju FC	1.7%	1.5%	1.6%
Draw	1.8%	12.6%	29.6%
FC Seoul	0.1%	1.3%	49.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

89%

0.5

11%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Away Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul

0 Gwangju FC Wins

0 Draws

2 FC Seoul Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 May 2026	Gwangju FC	0 - 1	FC Seoul
22 Mar 2026	FC Seoul	5 - 0	Gwangju FC

Gwangju FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Jeonbuk Motors	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H FC Anyang	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	H Jeju United FC	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Gimcheon Sangmu FC	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H FC Seoul	L	2 - 5

FC Seoul — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Pohang Steelers	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Jeonbuk Motors	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Ulsan Hyundai FC	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Incheon United	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	A Gwangju FC	W	2 - 5

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Gwangju FC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee

23 Kim

17 Pedro

6 Ahn

37 Ri

22 Kwon

70 Woo-Jin

10 Choi

14 Je-ho

40 Shin

88 Moon

50 Loua

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Dong-hwa Kim	G
22	Sung-yun Kwon	D
37	Yong-jik Ri	D
6	Yeong-kyu Ahn	D
17	João Pedro	D
40	Chang-mu Shin	M
14	Yu Je-ho	M
10	Kyoung-Rok Choi	M
70	Kim Woo-Jin	M
50	Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua	F
88	Min-seo Moon	F

Substitutes

1	Kyeong-min Kim	G
2	Suk-Hwan Jang	D
33	Won-jae Park	D
24	Kim Yong-hyuk	D
39	Sang-ki Min	D
16	Ji-hoon Jeong	M
8	Se-jong Ju	M
11	Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson	F
18	John Iredale	F

FC Seoul

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Kim Gi-Dong

25 Sung-yun

22 Jin-su

37 Ros

5 Al-Arab

16 Jun

10 Oliveira

6 Babec

8 Seung-mo

7 Jeong

9 Klimala

42 Jeong-beom

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	Gu Sung-yun	G
16	Choi Jun	D
5	Yazan Al-Arab	D
37	Juan Antonio Ros	D
22	Kim Jin-su	D
7	Seung-Won Jeong	M
8	Lee Seung-mo	M
6	Hrvoje Babec	M
10	Anderson Oliveira	M
42	Son Jeong-beom	F
9	Patryk Klimala	F

Substitutes

31	Kang Hyeon-mu	G
20	Lee Han-do	D
66	Soo-il Park	D
40	Seong-hun Park	D
17	Jae-min Ahn	D
88	Jang Han-gyeol Park	M
41	Hwang Do-yoon	M
27	Moon Seon-min	F
19	Cheon Seong-hoon	F