Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC Prediction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 23

Post on X

Ulsan Hyundai FC

Home

2 : 3

HT 1 - 2

Gangwon FC

Away

Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan

AI call Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw

39%

29%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC prediction: Sportiko gives Ulsan Hyundai FC a 39% chance of winning, Gangwon FC 32% and the draw 29%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 12:31.

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Under 3.5 Goals 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

Kim Young-Gwon assist: Dong-gyeong Lee

15' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 35'

J. Sekidika assist: Lee You-Hyeon

⚽ 1–2 43'

Kim Young-Gwon Own Goal

HT 1–2

Dong-gyeong Lee ⇄ Erick Farias

46' ⇄

Jang Si-Young ⇄ Yago Cariello

46' ⇄

Lee Jin-Hyun ⇄ Sang-min Shim

46' ⇄

Jung Seung-Hyun

55' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 66'

Kang Joon-Hyuck ⇄ Park Sang-Hyeok

⇄ 66'

Choe Byeong-Chan ⇄ Kim Do-Hyun

⇄ 81'

Goh Young-Jun ⇄ Kim Gun-Hee

⇄ 81'

Seo Min-Woo ⇄ Kim Dong-hyeon

Dong-gyeong Lee ⇄ Lee Hui-Gyun

81' ⇄

⚽ 2–3 82'

Kim Dong-hyeon

Yago Cariello Yellow Card

84' ▮

Lee Gyu-Sung ⇄ D. Bojanić

85' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Kim Dong-hyeon

Lee Hui-Gyun Yellow Card

90' ▮

▮ 90+7'

Yellow Card

FT 2–3

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Ulsan Hyundai FC

LWWDW

Gangwon FC

DLDDD

Last 2 meetings Ulsan Hyundai FC · 1W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

32%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gangwon FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Ulsan Hyundai FC goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Players in form

Ulsan Hyundai FC

Yago Cariello 4 gls

Lee Dong-Gyeong 2 gls

Gangwon FC

A. Halaihal 3 gls

Mo Jae-Hyeon 2 gls

M. Tuci 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.8%	7.0%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%
1	10.2%	14.2%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%
2	8.6%	9.1%	4.8%	1.7%	0.5%
3	4.2%	4.4%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ulsan Hyundai FC	Draw	Gangwon FC
Ulsan Hyundai FC	29.0%	4.4%	1.3%
Draw	14.6%	18.9%	9.5%
Gangwon FC	1.9%	4.3%	16.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC

1 Ulsan Hyundai FC Wins

0 Draws

1 Gangwon FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	Gangwon FC	2 - 0	Ulsan Hyundai FC
28 Feb 2026	Ulsan Hyundai FC	3 - 1	Gangwon FC

Ulsan Hyundai FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FC Anyang	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Incheon United	W	2 - 1
08 Sep	H FC Seoul	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Jeju United FC	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Gimcheon Sangmu FC	W	3 - 1

Gangwon FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	H Incheon United	D	0 - 0
20 Sep	H Jeju United FC	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	A Kitchee	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Gimcheon Sangmu FC	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Jeonbuk Motors	D	1 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Ulsan Hyundai FC

Coach: Hyun-seok Kim

Gangwon FC

Coach: Chung Kyung-Ho