Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers Prediction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 23

Post on X

Gwangju FC

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Pohang Steelers

Away

Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju

AI call Difficult Pohang Steelers win or draw

16%

28%

56%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers prediction: Sportiko gives Gwangju FC a 16% chance of winning, Pohang Steelers 56% and the draw 28%. Last updated 15 Aug 2026, 12:27.

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Under 2.5 Goals 73%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 38'

J. Tranziska assist: Park Chan-Yong

HT 0–1

⇄ 46'

Hwang Seo-Woong ⇄ Min-jun Kang

Yellow Card

53' ▮

⇄ 59'

Ki Sung-Yueng ⇄ Lee Chang-Woo

Yellow Card

62' ▮

Moon Min-seo ⇄ Yu Je-Ho

68' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Jung Han-Min ⇄ Won Ki-Jong

Kwon Sung-Yun ⇄ Ha Seung-Un

74' ⇄

Chang-mu Shin Yellow Card

82' ▮

Chang-mu Shin ⇄ A. Ba Loua

82' ⇄

Kyoung-Rok Choi

82' ⇄

J. Iredale

84' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 86'

Jeon Min-Gwang

⇄ 86'

J. Tranziska ⇄ Jorge Teixeira

⚽ 1–2 90+7'

Wanderson assist: Won Ki-Jong

FT 1–2

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Pohang Steelers win or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 23.7%

Both teams to score

21%

Over 2.5 goals

27%

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Gwangju FC

DDLDL

Pohang Steelers

WLDDL

Last 2 meetings Gwangju FC · 0W 0D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Pohang Steelers goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	17	24	19	10	4	1
1	4	8	6	3	1
2	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Gwangju FC goals · most likely 0–1 (23.7%)

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Players in form

Gwangju FC

Moon Min-seo 2 gls

Pohang Steelers

Lee Ho-Jae 4 gls

J. Tranziska 2 gls

Juninho Rocha 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

28%

Home Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

79% BTTS No 21% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

97%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

28%

Home Win

16%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

92% Away (No Draw) 8% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 6% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

97%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

79% BTTS No 21% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

28%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	17.1%	23.7%	18.9%	9.6%	3.7%
1	3.9%	8.4%	5.7%	2.9%	1.1%
2	0.7%	1.1%	0.9%	0.4%	0.2%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

48%

34%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gwangju FC	Draw	Pohang Steelers
Gwangju FC	3.1%	2.0%	1.2%
Draw	3.2%	21.3%	27.7%
Pohang Steelers	0.2%	1.7%	39.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

88%

0.5

12%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers

0 Gwangju FC Wins

0 Draws

2 Pohang Steelers Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Jul 2026	Gwangju FC	0 - 3	Pohang Steelers
22 Apr 2026	Pohang Steelers	1 - 0	Gwangju FC

Gwangju FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Jeonbuk Motors	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H FC Anyang	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	H Jeju United FC	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Gimcheon Sangmu FC	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H FC Seoul	L	2 - 5

Pohang Steelers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H FC Seoul	W	2 - 1
15 Sep	A Beijing Guoan	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Daejeon Citizen	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Gimcheon Sangmu FC	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	A Jeonbuk Motors	L	2 - 0

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Gwangju FC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee

1 Kim

17 Pedro

6 Ahn

4 Grunsven

22 Kwon

88 Moon

37 Ri

10 Choi

40 Shin

18 Iredale

11 Friðjónsson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Kyeong-min Kim	G
22	Sung-yun Kwon	D
4	Teun van Grunsven	D
6	Yeong-kyu Ahn	D
17	João Pedro	D
40	Chang-mu Shin	M
10	Kyoung-Rok Choi	M
37	Yong-jik Ri	M
88	Min-seo Moon	M
11	Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson	F
18	John Iredale	F

Substitutes

23	Dong-hwa Kim	G
2	Suk-Hwan Jang	D
20	Seung-kyeom Im	D
70	Kim Woo-Jin	M
14	Yu Je-ho	M
50	Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua	M
8	Se-jong Ju	M
21	Kim Jong-Seok	M
9	Seung-un Ha	F

Pohang Steelers

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Tae-Ha Park

29 Hong

36 Kim

4 Jeon

20 Chan-Yong

77 Wanderson

16 Kim

40 Ki

2 Eo

70 Seo-woong

37 Jung

10 Tranziska

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
29	Sung-min Hong	G
20	Park Chan-Yong	D
4	Min-kwang Jeon	D
36	Ho-jin Kim	D
2	Jeong-won Eo	M
40	Sung-Yueng Ki	M
16	Dong-jin Kim	M
77	Wanderson	M
70	Hwang Seo-woong	F
10	Jakob Tranziska	F
37	Han-min Jung	F

Substitutes

1	Pyeong-guk Yun	G
3	Ye-Sung Kim	D
5	Jin Si-Woo	D
13	Min-jun Kang	D
14	Chang-woo Lee	D
11	Juninho Rocha	F
25	Jorge Teixeira	F
7	Ki-jong Won	F
18	Sang-hyeok Cho	F