Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 18

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Jeonbuk Motors

Away

Sungui Arena Park, Incheon

AI call Jeonbuk Motors or draw

20%

32%

48%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors prediction: Sportiko gives Incheon United a 20% chance of winning, Jeonbuk Motors 48% and the draw 32%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Away to Score 73%

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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Our lean

Jeonbuk Motors or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Incheon United

DLWLD

Jeonbuk Motors

DLDWD

Last 2 meetings Incheon United · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

Incheon United faces Jeonbuk Motors in a K League 1 clash that promises to be competitive. Incheon has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match this season, while Jeonbuk boasts a strong away performance, with a defense that has conceded only 0.9 goals per game. Both teams will look to exploit their respective strengths, with Incheon's attacking prowess up against Jeonbuk's resilient backline. Key players to watch include Incheon's leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Jeonbuk's playmaker, who has contributed 7 assists. This match could hinge on tactical execution and set-pieces.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Jeonbuk Motors goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	15	11	5	2
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	4	5	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Incheon United goals · most likely 0–1 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Incheon United

S. Mugoša 6 gls

M. Ferrier 3 gls

Gerso 2 gls

Jeonbuk Motors

Lee Seung-Woo 3 gls

Tiago Orobó 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

32%

Home Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

32%

Home Win

20%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

71% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.5%	15.1%	10.9%	4.7%	1.5%
1	8.0%	14.2%	8.2%	3.5%	1.2%
2	3.6%	4.7%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
3	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Incheon United	Draw	Jeonbuk Motors
Incheon United	11.1%	3.7%	1.7%
Draw	8.8%	22.6%	18.5%
Jeonbuk Motors	0.9%	3.7%	29.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

47%

35%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors

1 Incheon United Wins

1 Draws

0 Jeonbuk Motors Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	Incheon United	1 - 1	Jeonbuk Motors
21 Apr 2026	Jeonbuk Motors	1 - 2	Incheon United

Incheon United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Daejeon Citizen	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Ulsan Hyundai FC	L	2 - 1
08 Sep	H Bucheon FC 1995	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A FC Seoul	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Jeonbuk Motors	D	1 - 1

Jeonbuk Motors — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Gwangju FC	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Seoul	L	1 - 2
09 Sep	A Gangwon FC	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Pohang Steelers	W	2 - 0
30 Aug	A Incheon United	D	1 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Jeonbuk Motors

Coach: Chung Jung-Yong

Incheon United

Coach: Jong-Hwan Yoon