Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC Prediction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Away

Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon

AI call Difficult Gangwon FC win or draw

59%

31%

10%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC prediction: Sportiko gives Gangwon FC a 59% chance of winning, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 10% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Home to Score 73%

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Timeline

▮ 19'

Lee Soo-Bin Red Card

Kim Dae-Won

22' ⚽ 1–0

Kim Dae-Won assist: Lee You-Hyeon

42' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

Goh Young-Jun

46' ⇄

Choe Byeong-Chan ⇄ Kim Gun-Hee

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Joo-chan Kim ⇄ Kim In-Gyun

⇄ 46'

Jeong Jae-Min ⇄ Lee Kun-Hee

⇄ 57'

Go Jae-Hyeon ⇄ Jeon Byung-Kwan

Mo Jae-Hyeon ⇄ Park Sang-Hyeok

66' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Se-jin Park ⇄ Kim Lee-Seok

Kim Dae-Won ⇄ J. Sekidika

72' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Tae-jun Park ⇄ Deok-geun Lim

Song Jun-Seok Yellow Card

83' ▮

Lee You-Hyeon ⇄ Lee Seung-Won

84' ⇄

Kim Gun-Hee Yellow Card

87' ▮

▮ 87'

Lee Jung-Taek Yellow Card

▮ 90'

Jeon Byung-Kwan Yellow Card

Abdallah Khalaihal Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

FT 2–0

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Gangwon FC win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 22.4%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

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Gangwon FC

LDDDW

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

WDDDL

Last 2 meetings Gangwon FC · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming K League 1 match, Gangwon FC faces Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Gangwon has shown a tendency to control possession, averaging 55% in recent matches, while Gimcheon tends to adopt a more counter-attacking approach, with 40% possession on average. Defensively, Gangwon has conceded 1.5 goals per match, indicating vulnerability, while Gimcheon maintains a stronger defensive record with only 1.2 goals conceded per match. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where Gangwon's ability to dominate possession could either lead to scoring opportunities or expose them to Gimcheon's rapid counter-attacks. Overall, both teams will need to capitalize on their strengths to secure a crucial three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

59%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC goals →

	0	1	2
0	19	6	1
1	22	11	2
2	16	6	1
3	7	3	1
4	2	1
5	1

↑ Gangwon FC goals · most likely 1–0 (22.4%)

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Players in form

Gangwon FC

A. Halaihal 3 gls

Mo Jae-Hyeon 2 gls

M. Tuci 2 gls

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Go Jae-Hyeon 3 gls

Lee Kun-Hee 1 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

31%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

97%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

31%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

97%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

28%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	19.0%	5.9%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
1	22.4%	10.7%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
2	15.7%	6.3%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
3	7.0%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	2.3%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

81%

1.5

19%

96%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

46%

34%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

39%

35%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gangwon FC	Draw	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gangwon FC	36.1%	2.5%	0.3%
Draw	22.9%	24.4%	4.9%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	1.2%	2.5%	5.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

67%

27%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

1 Gangwon FC Wins

1 Draws

0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2026	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	2 - 2	Gangwon FC
21 Apr 2026	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0 - 3	Gangwon FC

Gangwon FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Jeju United FC	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	A Kitchee	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Gimcheon Sangmu FC	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Jeonbuk Motors	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Anyang	W	0 - 3

Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Bucheon FC 1995	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Gangwon FC	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Pohang Steelers	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Gwangju FC	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Ulsan Hyundai FC	L	3 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Gangwon FC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Chung Kyung-Ho

1 Cheong-Hyo

34 Jun-Seok

13 Gi-Hyuk

23 Tuci

99 Joon-Hyuck

7 Dae-Won

4 Min-Woo

97 You-Hyeon

10 Jae-Hyeon

11 Young-Jun

96 Byeong-Chan

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Park Cheong-Hyo	G
99	Kang Joon-Hyuck	D
23	M. Tuci	D
13	Lee Gi-Hyuk	D
34	Song Jun-Seok	D
10	Mo Jae-Hyeon	M
97	Lee You-Hyeon	M
4	Seo Min-Woo	M
7	Kim Dae-Won	M
96	Choe Byeong-Chan	F
11	Goh Young-Jun	F

Substitutes

31	J. Hong	G
47	Shin Min-Ha	D
6	Kim Dong-Hyun	M
8	Lee Seung-Won	M
77	A. Hleihel	-
27	Kim Do-Hyun	F
9	Kim Gun-Hee	F
19	Park Sang-Hyeok	F
70	J. Sekidika	F

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Seung-jin Joo

1 Jong-beom

33 Jin-Seong

26 Jung-Taek

45 Jun-Soo

11 Tae-Hwan

17 Joo-Chan

6 Soo-Bin

55 Park

7 Jae-Hyeon

57 Jae-Min

14 Se-Jin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Baek Jong-beom	-
11	Kim Tae-Hwan	D
45	Byeon Jun-Soo	D
26	Lee Jung-Taek	D
33	Park Jin-Seong	D
7	Go Jae-Hyeon	M
55	T. Park	M
6	Lee Soo-Bin	M
17	Kim Joo-Chan	M
14	Park Se-Jin	F
57	Jung Jae-Min	F

Substitutes

37	Moon Hyeon-Ho	-
42	Hong Si-Hoo	D
15	Lim Dug-Keun	D
10	Jeon Byung-Kwan	M
8	Kim Yi-Seok	M
48	Hong Yun-Sang	F
21	Kim In-Gyun	F
47	Lee Sang-Heon	F
9	G. Lee	F