Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen Prediction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 17

Post on X

Daejeon Citizen

Away

Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo

AI call Jeju United FC or draw

48%

31%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen prediction: Sportiko gives Jeju United FC a 48% chance of winning, Daejeon Citizen 21% and the draw 31%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home to Score 75%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

12' ▮

34' ⇄

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

46' ⇄

▮ 61'

Kim Moon-hwan Yellow Card

⇄ 64'

66' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Kim Moon-hwan

⇄ 70'

89' ⇄

FT 0–0

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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Our lean

Jeju United FC or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Jeju United FC

WDWDW

Daejeon Citizen

DDWWL

Last 2 meetings Jeju United FC · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

Jeju United FC will face Daejeon Citizen in a K League 1 matchup that promises to be competitive. Jeju United has shown a solid home record, typically translating into a higher points tally, with a strong attacking front that averages 1.5 goals per game this season. Conversely, Daejeon Citizen has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Key players to watch include Jeju's top scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Daejeon's playmaker, who leads in assists. This clash will likely hinge on Jeju's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities against Daejeon's leaky defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

21%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Daejeon Citizen goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	8	4	1
1	14	14	5	1
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2
4	2	1	1
5

↑ Jeju United FC goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Jeju United FC

No scorer data.

Daejeon Citizen

Jeong Jae-Hee 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

31%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

31%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

69% Home (No Draw) 31% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.8%	7.6%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
1	13.6%	14.3%	5.3%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10.4%	8.7%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
3	4.8%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Jeju United FC	Draw	Daejeon Citizen
Jeju United FC	29.2%	4.0%	1.1%
Draw	18.0%	21.2%	9.2%
Daejeon Citizen	1.8%	3.9%	11.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen

2 Jeju United FC Wins

0 Draws

0 Daejeon Citizen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	Jeju United FC	3 - 1	Daejeon Citizen
22 Apr 2026	Daejeon Citizen	0 - 1	Jeju United FC

Jeju United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Gangwon FC	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Bucheon FC 1995	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Gwangju FC	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Ulsan Hyundai FC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Daejeon Citizen	W	3 - 1

Daejeon Citizen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Incheon United	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Pohang Steelers	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H FC Anyang	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A Bucheon FC 1995	W	0 - 5
30 Aug	A Jeju United FC	L	3 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Daejeon Citizen

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Hwang Sun-Hong

1 Chang-geun

4 Seong-Kwon

45 Ha

33 Moon-hwan

16 Lee

19 Seo

30 Bong-Soo

6 Kang

17 Ludwigson

10 Joo

77 Victor

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lee Chang-geun	G
33	Kim Moon-hwan	D
45	Chang-rae Ha	D
4	Jo Seong-Kwon	D
6	Yun-seong Kang	M
30	Kim Bong-Soo	M
19	Jin-su Seo	M
16	Myeong-jae Lee	M
77	João Victor	F
10	Min-kyu Joo	F
17	Gustav Ludwigson	F

Substitutes

31	Kim Min-Soo	G
13	Jin-ya Kim	D
35	Do-yeon Kim	D
5	Lim Jong Eun	D
27	Jae-hee Jeong	F
20	Lee Hyeon-sik	M
9	Diogo Oliveira	F
11	Won-Sang Um	M
99	Kang Hyun Yu	F

Jeju United FC

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Sergio Costa

1 Kim

3 Celestine

2 Figueiredo

6 Ki-Min

40 Kim

23 Rim

5 Italo

17 Yu

14 Oh

7 Park

10 Nam

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Dong-jun Kim	G
6	Kwon Ki-Min	D
2	Tobias Figueiredo	D
3	Julien Celestine	D
17	In-su Yu	M
5	Italo	M
23	Chang-woo Rim	M
40	Ryun-sung Kim	M
10	Tae Hee Nam	F
7	Chang-jun Park	F
14	Jae-hyeok Oh	F

Substitutes

27	Kim Jun-Ha	F
21	Chan-gi Ahn	G
20	Min-gyu Jang	D
28	Geon-ung Kim	M
88	Jo In-Jung	D
24	Byung-wook Choi	M
8	Chang-min Lee	M
18	Kim Shin-jin	F
11	Shin Sang-Eun	F