FC Seoul vs Incheon United Prediction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

Incheon United

Away

Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul

AI call FC Seoul to win or draw

74%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Seoul vs Incheon United prediction: Sportiko gives FC Seoul a 74% chance of winning, Incheon United 5% and the draw 21%. Last updated 20 Jul 2026, 15:55.

Timeline

HT 0–0

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

51' ▮

⇄ 62'

64' ⇄

⇄ 69'

▮ 74'

Yellow Card

81' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

82' ▮

86' ⇄

⇄ 90+2'

90+4' ⇄

Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

FT 1–0

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Confidence High (74%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Seoul to win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 21.1%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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FC Seoul

LWLWW

Incheon United

DLWLD

Last 2 meetings FC Seoul · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

FC Seoul will host Incheon United in a K League 1 clash that promises to be competitive. FC Seoul has a strong home record, securing 60% of their points at the Seoul World Cup Stadium this season, largely due to their effective attacking trio contributing to 1.5 goals per match. Conversely, Incheon United struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game on the road. However, they have shown resilience with a solid midfield that controls possession 52% of the time. This match could hinge on FC Seoul's ability to break down Incheon’s defense while managing counterattacks effectively. Expect a closely contested battle with potential for high scoring.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

74%

45%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Incheon United goals →

	0	1	2
0	13	3	1
1	21	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	12	4	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ FC Seoul goals · most likely 1–0 (21.0%)

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Players in form

FC Seoul

Lee Seung-Mo 3 gls

P. Klimala 2 gls

Incheon United

S. Mugoša 6 gls

M. Ferrier 3 gls

Gerso 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

74% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.8%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	21.1%	7.4%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.2%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	12.4%	3.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	5.7%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

36%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Seoul	Draw	Incheon United
FC Seoul	49.2%	1.6%	0.2%
Draw	25.0%	16.4%	2.3%
Incheon United	1.2%	1.8%	2.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Seoul vs Incheon United

2 FC Seoul Wins

0 Draws

0 Incheon United Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	FC Seoul	1 - 0	Incheon United
28 Feb 2026	Incheon United	1 - 2	FC Seoul

FC Seoul — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Pohang Steelers	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Jeonbuk Motors	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Ulsan Hyundai FC	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Incheon United	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	A Gwangju FC	W	2 - 5

Incheon United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Daejeon Citizen	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Ulsan Hyundai FC	L	2 - 1
08 Sep	H Bucheon FC 1995	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A FC Seoul	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Jeonbuk Motors	D	1 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.