Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC Prediction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

Jeju United FC

Away

Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon

AI call Jeju United FC or draw

25%

33%

42%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC prediction: Sportiko gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC a 25% chance of winning, Jeju United FC 42% and the draw 33%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Away to Score 71%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

5' ▮

Yellow Card

12' ▮

Yellow Card

32' ▮

Red Card

32' ▮

▮ 33'

Red Card

HT 0–0

46' ⇄

⇄ 55'

64' ⇄

⇄ 65'

69' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 73'

⇄ 76'

85' ⇄

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean

Jeju United FC or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Gimcheon Sangmu FC

WDDDL

Jeju United FC

WDWDW

Last 2 meetings Gimcheon Sangmu FC · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming K League 1 match on July 5, 2026, Gimcheon Sangmu FC hosts Jeju United FC. Gimcheon has shown solid home form, winning 60% of their home games this season, while Jeju's away performance has been inconsistent, with only 30% of their away matches resulting in victories. Key players to watch include Gimcheon's forward, who averages 0.5 goals per game, and Jeju's midfield playmaker, who leads the league in assists. This match could hinge on Gimcheon's defensive resilience against Jeju's attacking prowess. Overall, Gimcheon will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Jeju needs to improve their away tactics to secure points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

25%

10%

Draw

33%

45%

Away

42%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Jeju United FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	13	9	4	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	5	6	4	1
3	1	2	1
4
5

↑ Gimcheon Sangmu FC goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Go Jae-Hyeon 3 gls

Lee Kun-Hee 1 gls

Jeju United FC

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

33%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

33%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 33% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.6%	12.9%	9.0%	3.7%	1.1%
1	9.0%	14.9%	8.1%	3.3%	1.0%
2	4.8%	5.9%	3.7%	1.5%	0.5%
3	1.5%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Draw	Jeju United FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	14.2%	4.0%	1.7%
Draw	10.9%	22.4%	16.6%
Jeju United FC	1.2%	4.1%	24.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC

0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC Wins

2 Draws

0 Jeju United FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Jeju United FC	0 - 0	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
18 Apr 2026	Jeju United FC	1 - 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Bucheon FC 1995	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Gangwon FC	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Pohang Steelers	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Gwangju FC	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Ulsan Hyundai FC	L	3 - 1

Jeju United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Gangwon FC	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Bucheon FC 1995	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Gwangju FC	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Ulsan Hyundai FC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Daejeon Citizen	W	3 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.