Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon FC Prediction

K League 1 · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

Gangwon FC

Away

Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju

AI call Difficult Jeonbuk Motors win or draw

58%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon FC prediction: Sportiko gives Jeonbuk Motors a 58% chance of winning, Gangwon FC 9% and the draw 32%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home to Score 71%

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Jeonbuk Motors win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 24.1%

Both teams to score

22%

Over 2.5 goals

22%

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Jeonbuk Motors

DLDWD

Gangwon FC

LDDDW

Last 2 meetings Jeonbuk Motors · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming K League 1 clash, Jeonbuk Motors host Gangwon FC on July 4, 2026. Jeonbuk, historically a strong contender, has shown solid home form, with a win rate of approximately 70% at home over the last season. Gangwon FC, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, securing only 25% of their away matches, which could be pivotal in this encounter. Key players for Jeonbuk, particularly in attack, will need to exploit Gangwon's defensive frailties, as they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game away from home. Expect Jeonbuk to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities, giving them the edge in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gangwon FC goals →

	0	1	2
0	21	6	1
1	24	10	2
2	16	6	1
3	7	2
4	2	1
5	1

↑ Jeonbuk Motors goals · most likely 1–0 (24.1%)

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Players in form

Jeonbuk Motors

Lee Seung-Woo 3 gls

Tiago Orobó 2 gls

Gangwon FC

A. Halaihal 3 gls

Mo Jae-Hyeon 2 gls

M. Tuci 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

32%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

98%

4.5

100%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

32%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

98%

4.5

100%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

21%

30%

27%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	21.4%	5.9%	1.2%	0.1%	0.0%
1	24.1%	10.0%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%
2	15.8%	5.5%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
3	6.6%	2.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
4	2.1%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

49%

34%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Jeonbuk Motors	Draw	Gangwon FC
Jeonbuk Motors	35.0%	2.2%	0.2%
Draw	23.3%	26.3%	4.6%
Gangwon FC	1.0%	2.3%	4.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

70%

25%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon FC

0 Jeonbuk Motors Wins

2 Draws

0 Gangwon FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Sep 2026	Gangwon FC	1 - 1	Jeonbuk Motors
18 Apr 2026	Gangwon FC	1 - 1	Jeonbuk Motors

Jeonbuk Motors — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Gwangju FC	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Seoul	L	1 - 2
09 Sep	A Gangwon FC	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Pohang Steelers	W	2 - 0
30 Aug	A Incheon United	D	1 - 1

Gangwon FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Jeju United FC	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	A Kitchee	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Gimcheon Sangmu FC	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Jeonbuk Motors	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Anyang	W	0 - 3

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.