Incheon United vs Gwangju FC Prediction
FT
Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
AI call
Gwangju FC or draw
24%
30%
46%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Incheon United vs Gwangju FC prediction: Sportiko gives Incheon United a 24% chance of winning, Gwangju FC 46% and the draw 30%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Juan Fernández
assist: Lee Ju-Yong
19'
⚽
1–0
M. Ferrier
assist: Lee Chung-Yong
26'
⚽
2–0
HT 2–0
⇄
46'
⇄ Gong Bae-Hyeon
Gerso
55'
⚽
3–0
⇄
56'
Hyeok-joo An
⇄ Jin-ho Kim
⇄
56'
⇄ Yong-jun Hong
Lee Myung-Joo
Goal confirmed
64'
🖵
Lee Chung-Yong
Penalty
65'
⚽
4–0
Lee Myung-Joo
⇄ Choi Seung-Gu
73'
⇄
⇄ Park Seung-ho
73'
⇄
▮
75'
Gong Bae-Hyeon
Yellow Card
Gerso
79'
⇄
⇄
79'
Ju Se-Jong
⇄ Yu Je-Ho
⇄
79'
Ji-hoon Jeong
⇄ Park Sung-hyun
Lee Chung-Yong
82'
⇄
M. Ferrier
82'
⇄
▮
88'
Moon Min-seo
Yellow Card
FT 4–0
Incheon United
Match Stats
Gwangju FC
55%
Ball Possession
45%
1.65
Expected Goals (xG)
0.22
13
Total Shots
4
6
Shots on Goal
0
3
Shots off Goal
3
4
Blocked Shots
1
7
Shots insidebox
2
6
Shots outsidebox
2
5
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
546
Total passes
459
505
Passes accurate
420
92%
Passes %
92%
goals_prevented
Incheon United
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Gerso M | 8.3 | 79' | 1 | – | 1 | 25 (21%) | – |
| 32 Lee Ju-Yong D | 8.2 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 80 (71%) | 4 |
| 2 Juan Fernández D | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 86 (82%) | 1 |
| 99 M. Ferrier F | 7.9 | 82' | 1 | – | 2 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 72 Lee Chung-Yong F | 7.7 | 82' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 46 (42%) | – |
| 15 Seo Jae-Min M | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 79 (77%) | – |
| 4 Gun-hee Kim D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 84 (78%) | 1 |
| 39 Kim Myung-Sun D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (41%) | 3 |
| 10 Lee Dong-Ryul M | 6.9 | 73' | – | 1 | 1 | 15 (12%) | 1 |
| 13 Choi Seung-Gu D | 6.9 | 17' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 5 Lee Myung-Joo M | 6.7 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 40 (37%) | – |
| 1 Kim Dong-Heon G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 17 Kim Seong-Min M | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 14 Min-gyu Baek F | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 77 Park Seung-ho F | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 19 Park Ho-min F | 6.2 | 8' | – | – | – | – | – |
Gwangju FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Ju Se-Jong M | 7.2 | 79' | – | – | – | 58 (53%) | 5 |
| 88 Moon Min-seo M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (46%) | 1 |
| 11 H. Friðjónsson F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
| 28 Park Sung-hyun M | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | 1 |
| 39 Sang-ki Min D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 71 (67%) | – |
| 14 Yu Je-Ho M | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 27 Jin-ho Kim D | 6.5 | 34' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | – |
| 19 Hyeok-joo An F | 6.5 | 56' | – | – | 2 | 16 (13%) | 2 |
| 16 Ji-hoon Jeong M | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | – | 23 (21%) | 1 |
| 24 Kim Yong-hyuk D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 44 (42%) | 2 |
| 26 Gong Bae-Hyeon D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 26 (25%) | 3 |
| 3 Min-ki Lee M | 6.2 | 56' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | 2 |
| 99 Yong-jun Hong M | 6.2 | 34' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 9 Ha Seung-Un D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (43%) | 3 |
| 22 Kwon Sung-Yun D | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 23 Kim Dong-Hwa G | 5.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (50%)
At a glance
Our lean
Gwangju FC or draw
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Incheon United
DLWLD
Gwangju FC
DDLDL
Last 2 meetings
Incheon United · 1W 0D 1L
Match summary
Incheon United will host Gwangju FC in a K League 1 clash on May 16, 2026. Incheon has shown strong home form, winning 60% of their matches at home this season, while Gwangju struggles on the road with only a 25% win rate away from home. Key players to watch include Incheon's forward, who averages 0.5 goals per game, and Gwangju's midfielder, who leads the team in assists. Historically, Incheon has a favorable record against Gwangju in their last five encounters, winning three times. This match could significantly impact both teams' standings, with Incheon aiming to solidify their playoff position while Gwangju seeks vital points to escape the relegation zone.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Incheon United
S. Mugoša
6 gls
M. Ferrier
3 gls
Gerso
2 gls
Gwangju FC
Moon Min-seo
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Incheon United vs Gwangju FC
1
Incheon United Wins
0
Draws
1
Gwangju FC Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | Gwangju FC | 0 - 1 | Incheon United |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Gwangju FC | 3 - 2 | Incheon United |
Incheon United — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Daejeon Citizen | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Ulsan Hyundai FC | L | 2 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | H Bucheon FC 1995 | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A FC Seoul | L | 1 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H Jeonbuk Motors | D | 1 - 1 |
Gwangju FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Jeonbuk Motors | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H FC Anyang | D | 1 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Jeju United FC | L | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Gimcheon Sangmu FC | D | 2 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H FC Seoul | L | 2 - 5 |
K League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Seoul
|
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 14 | +20 | 42 |
| 2 |
Jeonbuk Motors
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 16 | +11 | 33 |
| 3 |
Gangwon FC
|
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 12 | +12 | 32 |
| 4 |
Ulsan Hyundai FC
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 28 |
| 5 |
Pohang Steelers
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 28 |
| 6 |
FC Anyang
|
19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 26 | 22 | +4 | 27 |
| 7 |
Incheon United
|
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 |
Jeju United FC
|
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 |
Daejeon Citizen
|
20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 |
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 |
Bucheon FC 1995
|
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |
Gwangju FC
|
19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 43 | -33 | 10 |
Gwangju FC
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee
23
Dong-Hwa
22
Sung-Yun
39
Sang-Gi
24
Kim
9
Seung-Un
16
Ji-hun
88
Min-seo
8
Se-Jong
3
Min-Ki
11
Fridjonsson
19
Hyeok-Ju
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kim Dong-Hwa | - |
| 9 | Ha Seung-Un | D |
| 24 | Y. Kim | - |
| 39 | Min Sang-Gi | D |
| 22 | Kwon Sung-Yun | D |
| 3 | Lee Min-Ki | - |
| 8 | Ju Se-Jong | M |
| 88 | Moon Min-seo | M |
| 16 | Joung Ji-hun | M |
| 19 | Ahn Hyeok-Ju | F |
| 11 | H. Fridjonsson | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Kim Kyeong-min | G |
| 26 | B. Gong | D |
| 6 | Ahn Young-Kyu | D |
| 27 | Kim Jin-Ho | D |
| 14 | Yu Je-Ho | M |
| 42 | Kang Hui-Su | - |
| 28 | P. Seong Hyun | M |
| 99 | Hong Yong-Jun | M |
| 25 | Kim Yun-ho | F |
Incheon United
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Jong-Hwan Yoon
1
Dong-Heon
32
Ju-Yong
2
Ibiza
4
Gun-Hee
39
Myung-soon
11
Gerso
15
Jae-Min
5
Myoung-Joo
10
Dong-Ryul
72
Chung-Yong
99
Ferrier
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kim Dong-Heon | G |
| 39 | Kim Myung-soon | D |
| 4 | Kim Gun-Hee | D |
| 2 | Ibiza | D |
| 32 | Lee Ju-Yong | D |
| 10 | Lee Dong-Ryul | - |
| 5 | Lee Myoung-Joo | M |
| 15 | Seo Jae-Min | - |
| 11 | Gerso | M |
| 99 | M. Ferrier | F |
| 72 | Lee Chung-Yong | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | Lee Sang-hyeon | G |
| 3 | Lee Sang-Gi | D |
| 13 | Choi Seung-gu | D |
| 25 | Jeong Tae-Wook | D |
| 14 | Baek Min-gyu | F |
| 17 | Kim Seong-Min | - |
| 23 | Jeong Chi-In | M |
| 19 | Park Ho-Min | - |
| 77 | Park Seung-Ho | F |