Incheon United vs Jeju United FC Prediction

K League 1 K League 1 · Regular Season - 10
FT
Post on X
Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
AI call Incheon United or draw
48%
34%
18%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Incheon United vs Jeju United FC prediction: Sportiko gives Incheon United a 48% chance of winning, Jeju United FC 18% and the draw 34%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Timeline

▮ 16'
Yu In-Soo Yellow Card
Kim Myung-Sun Yellow Card
45+1' ▮
HT 0–0
Lee Myung-Joo ⇄ Iker Undabarrena
46' ⇄
⇄ 59'
Chang-jun Park ⇄ Tae Hee Nam
Gerso ⇄ M. Ferrier
61' ⇄
⇄ 66'
⇄ Kim Geon-Woong
M. Ferrier
70' ⚽ 1–0
76' ⇄
⇄ 77'
Chang-Hoon Kwon ⇄ G. Paulauskas
▮ 81'
Kim Geon-Woong Yellow Card
Kim Myung-Sun ⇄ Choi Seung-Gu
87' ⇄
Park Kyung-sub ⇄ Gun-hee Kim
88' ⇄
Kim Seong-Min Yellow Card
90+3' ▮
Choi Seung-Gu Yellow Card
90+3' ▮
FT 1–0
Incheon United

Match Stats

Jeju United FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
Expected Goals (xG)
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 3
1 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 2
18 Fouls 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
532 Total passes 411
469 Passes accurate 347
88% Passes % 84%
goals_prevented
Incheon United
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Lee Tae Hui G 7.9 90' – – – 29 (25%) –
10 Lee Dong-Ryul M 7.3 76' – 1 – 28 (21%) –
2 Juan Fernández D 7.3 90' – – – 88 (85%) –
32 Lee Ju-Yong D 7.2 90' – – – 86 (76%) 2
99 M. Ferrier F 7.2 29' 1 – 1 3 (3%) –
39 Kim Myung-Sun D 7.0 87' – – 1 38 (34%) 5
9 S. Mugoša F 6.9 90' – – 1 19 (13%) 4
72 Lee Chung-Yong M 6.9 90' – – – 50 (43%) –
20 Park Kyung-sub D 6.9 88' – – – 74 (68%) –
15 Seo Jae-Min M 6.6 90' – – – 49 (43%) 2
5 Lee Myung-Joo M 6.6 45' – – – 37 (33%) 1
17 Kim Seong-Min M 6.5 14' – – – 3 (2%) –
8 Iker Undabarrena D 6.3 45' – – – 12 (11%) –
11 Gerso F 6.3 61' – – – 11 (9%) 1
13 Choi Seung-Gu D — 3' – – – 1 (1%) –
4 Gun-hee Kim D — 2' – – – 4 (2%) 1
Jeju United FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Kwon Ki-Min D 7.2 66' – – 1 29 (27%) –
41 Kim Jae-Woo D 6.9 90' – – – 63 (58%) –
40 Kim Ryun-Seong D 6.9 90' – – – 60 (50%) 1
17 Yu In-Soo D 6.9 90' – – 1 32 (26%) 3
94 Emerson Ramon F 6.9 90' – – 3 26 (21%) –
22 Chang-Hoon Kwon M 6.9 77' – – – 19 (12%) 3
9 G. Paulauskas F 6.7 13' – – – 2 (2%) 2
10 Tae Hee Nam M 6.7 31' – – 1 20 (18%) –
7 Chang-jun Park M 6.7 59' – – – 19 (13%) 1
14 Oh Jae-Hyeok M 6.3 90' – – – 47 (38%) 1
28 Kim Geon-Woong M 6.3 24' – – – 23 (21%) –
1 Kim Dong-Jun G 6.2 90' – – – 31 (23%) –
20 Jang Min-Gyu M 6.2 90' – – – 18 (17%) 1
27 Kim Jun-Ha F 6.2 90' – – – 22 (21%) –
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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Our lean
Incheon United or draw
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Incheon United
DLWLD
Jeju United FC
WDWDW
Last 1 meetings Incheon United · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Incheon United will host Jeju United FC in a K League 1 clash on April 25, 2026. Incheon has shown a solid home record, with a 60% win rate at home this season, leveraging their strong defensive setup that has conceded only 1.2 goals per match. Conversely, Jeju United has struggled on the road, accumulating just 1.2 points per away match, and their attack has been inconsistent, averaging only 1 goal per game. The outcome may hinge on Incheon’s ability to exploit Jeju’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly considering their home advantage. A tightly contested match is expected, with Incheon likely to edge out the visitors if they capitalize on their chances.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Incheon United
S. Mugoša 6 gls
M. Ferrier 3 gls
Gerso 2 gls
Jeju United FC

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Incheon United vs Jeju United FC

0 Incheon United Wins
1 Draws
0 Jeju United FC Wins
Date Home Score Away
02 Aug 2026 Jeju United FC 3 - 3 Incheon United

Incheon United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Daejeon Citizen D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Ulsan Hyundai FC L 2 - 1
08 Sep H Bucheon FC 1995 W 2 - 1
05 Sep A FC Seoul L 1 - 0
30 Aug H Jeonbuk Motors D 1 - 1

Jeju United FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Gangwon FC W 0 - 1
12 Sep A Bucheon FC 1995 D 2 - 2
09 Sep A Gwangju FC W 0 - 1
05 Sep H Ulsan Hyundai FC D 0 - 0
30 Aug H Daejeon Citizen W 3 - 1

K League 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Seoul
19 13 3 3 +20 42
2
Jeonbuk Motors
20 9 6 5 +11 33
3
Gangwon FC
19 8 8 3 +12 32
4
Ulsan Hyundai FC
19 8 4 7 -1 28
5
Pohang Steelers
20 8 4 8 -1 28
6
FC Anyang
19 6 9 4 +4 27
7
Incheon United
19 8 3 8 +4 27
8
Jeju United FC
19 6 6 7 -2 24
9
Daejeon Citizen
20 4 8 8 0 20
10
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
20 3 11 6 -7 20
11
Bucheon FC 1995
19 4 7 8 -7 19
12
Gwangju FC
19 1 7 11 -33 10

Jeju United FC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Sergio Costa
1 Dong-Jun
40 Ryun-sung
41 Jae-Woo
6 Gi-min
17 In-Soo
7 Chang-Jun
14 Jae-Hyeok
20 Jang
22 Chang-Hoon
94 Negueba
27 Jun-ha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Kim Dong-Jun G
17 Yu In-Soo D
6 Kwon Gi-min D
41 Kim Jae-Woo D
40 Kim Ryun-sung D
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon M
20 M. Jang M
14 Oh Jae-Hyeok M
7 Park Chang-Jun M
27 Kim Jun-ha F
94 Emerson Negueba F

Substitutes

29 J. W. Heo -
13 Jeong Woon D
23 Rim Chang-Woo D
24 Choi Byung-wook M
28 Kim Geon-Ung M
39 Kim Jae-min M
10 Nam Tae-Hee M
9 G. Paulauskas F
18 Kim Shin-Jin F

Incheon United

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jong-Hwan Yoon
21 Tae-Hui
32 Ju-Yong
2 Ibiza
20 Kyung-sub
39 Myung-soon
72 Chung-Yong
15 Jae-Min
5 Myoung-Joo
10 Dong-Ryul
11 Gerso
9 Mugosa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 Lee Tae-Hui G
39 Kim Myung-soon D
20 Park Kyung-sub D
2 Ibiza D
32 Lee Ju-Yong D
10 Lee Dong-Ryul -
5 Lee Myoung-Joo M
15 Seo Jae-Min -
72 Lee Chung-Yong M
9 S. Mugosa F
11 Gerso F

Substitutes

1 Kim Dong-Heon G
13 Choi Seung-gu D
4 Kim Gun-Hee D
3 Lee Sang-Gi D
8 I. Undabarrena D
17 Kim Seong-Min -
99 M. Ferrier F
19 Park Ho-Min -
77 Park Seung-Ho F

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