Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
CommBank Stadium, Sydney
AI call
Melbourne Victory or draw
27%
23%
50%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory prediction: Sportiko gives Western Sydney Wanderers a 27% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory 50% and the draw 23%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
HT 0–0
Goal cancelled
62'
🖵
⇄
65'
Louis D'Arrigo
⇄ Jordi Valadon
⇄
65'
Matthew Grimaldi
⇄ Keegan Jelacic
⚽
0–1
71'
Clarismario
Bozhidar Kraev
⇄ Jai Rose
76'
⇄
Alex Gersbach
⇄ Jarrod Carluccio
76'
⇄
⇄ Aydan Hammond
76'
⇄
Joshua Brillante
⇄ Awan Lual
81'
⇄
⇄
82'
Clarismario
⚽
0–2
90'
Nikolaos Vergos
assist: Keegan Jelacic
⇄
90+1'
Sebastian Esposito
⇄ Brendan Hamill
⇄
90+1'
Nishan Velupillay
⇄ Nikolaos Vergos
▮
90+3'
Nikolaos Vergos
Yellow Card
FT 0–2
Western Sydney Wanderers
Match Stats
Melbourne Victory
56%
Ball Possession
44%
1.40
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
16
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots off Goal
6
2
Blocked Shots
4
11
Shots insidebox
8
5
Shots outsidebox
6
4
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
4
8
Fouls
7
0
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
459
Total passes
376
389
Passes accurate
291
85%
Passes %
77%
goals_prevented
Western Sydney Wanderers
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Alex Gersbach D | 7.5 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 28 (22%) | 1 |
| 25 Joshua Brillante M | 7.0 | 81' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | – |
| 7 Ryan Fraser F | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 48 (46%) | – |
| 22 Anthony Pantazopoulos D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (50%) | – |
| 5 Dylan Scicluna D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (42%) | 2 |
| 26 Brandon Borrello F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 20 (18%) | – |
| 21 Aydan Hammond M | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 39 Awan Lual F | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 38 Jai Rose F | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 24 Nathan Barrie D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 59 (50%) | 1 |
| 52 Atiya Waraga M | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 28 (21%) | 1 |
| 23 Bozhidar Kraev M | 6.3 | 76' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | – |
| 30 Jordan Holmes G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | – |
| 17 Jarrod Carluccio F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 8 (8%) | – |
| 32 Angus Thurgate M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (31%) | – |
Melbourne Victory
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Jack Warshawsky G | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (19%) | – |
| 11 Clarismario M | 8.3 | 82' | 1 | – | 3 | 19 (10%) | 4 |
| 21 Roderick Miranda D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (50%) | 2 |
| 9 Nikolaos Vergos F | 7.5 | 5' | 1 | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 15 Sebastian Esposito D | 7.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 61 (54%) | 1 |
| 2 Jason Davidson D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (34%) | 1 |
| 10 Denis Genreau M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 35 (27%) | 3 |
| 22 Joshua Rawlins M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 28 (21%) | 2 |
| 8 Jordi Valadon M | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | – |
| 27 Louis D'Arrigo M | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 64 Juan Mata M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 23 Keegan Jelacic F | 6.6 | 25' | – | 1 | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 44 Charles Nduka F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 17 Nishan Velupillay F | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 14 Matthew Grimaldi F | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | – | 17 (8%) | 1 |
| 5 Brendan Hamill D | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (53%)
At a glance
Our lean
Melbourne Victory or draw
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Western Sydney Wanderers
WDWLL
Melbourne Victory
DWDWW
Last 2 meetings
Western Sydney Wanderers · 1W 1D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming A-League clash, Western Sydney Wanderers host Melbourne Victory on April 25, 2026. The Wanderers have shown a strong home record, winning 65% of their last ten matches at Bankwest Stadium, with a solid defensive line conceding only seven goals in that span. Meanwhile, Melbourne Victory's away form has been inconsistent, managing only two wins in their last six fixtures on the road. Key players to watch include Wanderers' top scorer, who has netted six goals this season, and Victory’s playmaker, who leads the league in assists. Match dynamics will likely hinge on the Wanderers’ ability to capitalize on home advantage against a Victory side seeking to regain form.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory
1
Western Sydney Wanderers Wins
1
Draws
0
Melbourne Victory Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 1 - 1 | Melbourne Victory |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Melbourne Victory | 0 - 1 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
Western Sydney Wanderers — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Auckland | W | 1 - 3 |
| 08 Aug | H Melbourne Victory | D | 1 - 1 |
| 22 Jul | A Cooma Tigers FC | W | 0 - 2 |
| 25 Apr | H Melbourne Victory | L | 0 - 2 |
| 18 Apr | A Wellington Phoenix | L | 2 - 1 |
Melbourne Victory — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | A Viettel | D | 1 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | A Sydney | W | 0 - 2 |
| 08 Aug | A Western Sydney Wanderers | D | 1 - 1 |
| 26 Jul | A Kingborough Lions | W | 0 - 4 |
| 25 Apr | A Western Sydney Wanderers | W | 0 - 2 |
A-League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Adelaide United
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Central Coast Mariners
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Newcastle Jets
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Perth Glory
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Brisbane Roar
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Sydney
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Wellington Phoenix
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Melbourne Victory
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Melbourne City
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Macarthur
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Auckland
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Western Sydney Wanderers
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Gary van Egmond
30
Holmes
3
Gersbach
22
Pantazopoulos
24
Barrie
5
Scicluna
23
Kraev
25
Brillante
32
Thurgate
52
Waraga
26
Borrello
7
Fraser
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | J. Holmes | G |
| 5 | D. Scicluna | D |
| 24 | N. Barrie | D |
| 22 | A. Pantazopoulos | D |
| 3 | A. Gersbach | D |
| 52 | A. Waraga | M |
| 32 | A. Thurgate | M |
| 25 | J. Brillante | M |
| 23 | B. Kraev | M |
| 7 | R. Fraser | F |
| 26 | B. Borrello | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | L. Thomas | G |
| 19 | R. Tongyik | D |
| 39 | A. Lual | F |
| 38 | J. Rose | F |
| 8 | S. Ugarkovic | M |
| 17 | J. Carluccio | F |
| 21 | A. Hammond | M |
Melbourne Victory
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Arthur Diles
40
Warshawsky
2
Davidson
21
Roderick
15
Esposito
11
Clarismario
27
D'Arrigo
10
Genreau
22
Rawlins
14
Grimaldi
17
Velupillay
44
Nduka
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | J. Warshawsky | G |
| 15 | S. Esposito | D |
| 21 | Roderick | D |
| 2 | J. Davidson | D |
| 22 | J. Rawlins | M |
| 10 | D. Genreau | M |
| 27 | L. D'Arrigo | M |
| 11 | Clarismario | M |
| 17 | N. Velupillay | F |
| 14 | M. Grimaldi | F |
| 44 | C. Nduka | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | J. Duncan | G |
| 64 | J. Mata | M |
| 3 | A. Traore | D |
| 5 | B. Hamill | D |
| 8 | J. Valadon | M |
| 9 | N. Vergos | F |
| 23 | K. Jelacic | F |