Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction
McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
AI call
Difficult Newcastle Jets win or draw
57%
23%
20%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners prediction: Sportiko gives Newcastle Jets a 57% chance of winning, Central Coast Mariners 20% and the draw 23%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Will Dobson
assist: Ben Gibson
21'
⚽
1–0
Clayton Taylor
assist: Eli Adams
25'
⚽
2–0
Eli Adams
44'
⚽
3–0
HT 3–0
⇄
46'
Brad Tapp
⇄ Nathan Paull
Eli Adams
⇄ Zach Clough
56'
⇄
Joe Shaughnessy
⇄ Max Cooper
56'
⇄
⇄
62'
Nathaniel Blair
⇄ Bailey Brandtman
⇄
62'
Jesse Mantell
Will Dobson
⇄ Kota Mizunuma
68'
⇄
Ben Gibson
⇄ Xavier Bertoncello
68'
⇄
Lachlan Bayliss
Yellow Card
77'
▮
▮
78'
Oliver Lavale
Yellow Card
Clayton Taylor
⇄ Kosta Grozos
80'
⇄
⇄
80'
Ali Auglah
Kota Mizunuma
assist: Lachlan Bayliss
86'
⚽
4–0
⇄
86'
Haine Eames
⇄ Harrison Steele
FT 4–0
Newcastle Jets
Match Stats
Central Coast Mariners
54%
Ball Possession
46%
3.06
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40
18
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots off Goal
7
4
Blocked Shots
2
12
Shots insidebox
4
6
Shots outsidebox
7
5
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
488
Total passes
419
410
Passes accurate
339
84%
Passes %
81%
goals_prevented
Newcastle Jets
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Eli Adams M | 8.3 | 56' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 18 Kota Mizunuma M | 8.2 | 22' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 33 Mark Natta D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 85 (79%) | 1 |
| 28 Will Dobson M | 7.9 | 68' | 1 | – | 1 | 22 (16%) | 4 |
| 22 Joel Bertolissio D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (41%) | 5 |
| 1 James Delianov G | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (43%) | – |
| 8 Lachlan Bayliss M | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 35 (29%) | 1 |
| 10 Zach Clough M | 7.5 | 34' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 5 Joe Shaughnessy D | 7.3 | 56' | – | – | – | 37 (36%) | 1 |
| 14 Max Burgess M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (45%) | 3 |
| 23 Daniel Wilmering D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (28%) | 1 |
| 13 Clayton Taylor M | 7.0 | 80' | 1 | – | 4 | 16 (11%) | 1 |
| 42 Max Cooper D | 7.0 | 34' | – | – | – | 37 (35%) | – |
| 17 Kosta Grozos M | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 11 Ben Gibson F | 6.2 | 68' | – | 1 | 1 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 43 Xavier Bertoncello F | 6.0 | 22' | – | – | 3 | 4 (2%) | – |
Central Coast Mariners
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nathan Paull D | 7.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | 1 |
| 5 Lucas Mauragis D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (20%) | 5 |
| 6 Haine Eames M | 6.9 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 53 (44%) | 2 |
| 37 Bailey Brandtman F | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 45 Jesse Mantell M | 6.7 | 62' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | 3 |
| 7 Christian Theoharous F | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 2 |
| 48 Chris Donnell M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (57%) | 3 |
| 18 Nathaniel Blair F | 6.6 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 10 Miguel Di Pizio M | 6.5 | 28' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 30 Andrew Redmayne G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | – |
| 72 Ali Auglah M | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 30 (23%) | 2 |
| 26 Brad Tapp D | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 23 (19%) | – |
| 23 Oliver Lavale M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (18%) | 2 |
| 15 Storm Roux D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | 4 |
| 2 James Donachie D | 5.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (44%) | 2 |
| 16 Harrison Steele M | — | 4' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Newcastle Jets win or draw
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Newcastle Jets
LWDDL
Central Coast Mariners
DLWDL
Last 2 meetings
Newcastle Jets · 0W 1D 1L
Match summary
In this A-League clash on April 25, 2026, Newcastle Jets host Central Coast Mariners at McDonald Jones Stadium. The Jets are currently sitting mid-table, showcasing a solid home record with a 60% win rate at home this season, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game. Meanwhile, the Mariners have struggled on the road, with only a 30% win rate away from home and a tendency to concede an average of 2 goals per match. Key players to watch include Newcastle's forward, who has been prolific in recent fixtures, and Central Coast's defense, which will need to tighten up to avoid being overwhelmed. Overall, Newcastle is favored to leverage their home advantage against a Mariners side lacking consistency on the road.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners
0
Newcastle Jets Wins
1
Draws
1
Central Coast Mariners Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Central Coast Mariners | 0 - 0 | Newcastle Jets |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Central Coast Mariners | 3 - 2 | Newcastle Jets |
Newcastle Jets — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul | A Preston Lions | L | 3 - 2 |
| 25 Apr | H Central Coast Mariners | W | 4 - 0 |
| 17 Apr | A Melbourne Victory | D | 2 - 2 |
| 11 Apr | H Adelaide United | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Apr | A Macarthur | L | 3 - 2 |
Central Coast Mariners — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul | A Sydney United | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Apr | A Newcastle Jets | L | 4 - 0 |
| 19 Apr | A Auckland | W | 0 - 1 |
| 10 Apr | H Brisbane Roar | D | 2 - 2 |
| 07 Apr | A Melbourne City | L | 2 - 1 |
A-League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Adelaide United
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Central Coast Mariners
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Newcastle Jets
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Perth Glory
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Brisbane Roar
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Sydney
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Wellington Phoenix
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Melbourne Victory
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Melbourne City
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Macarthur
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Auckland
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Central Coast Mariners
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Warren Moon
30
Redmayne
5
Mauragis
26
Tapp
2
Donachie
15
Roux
6
Eames
48
Donnell
23
Lavale
45
Mantell
72
Auglah
18
Blair
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | A. Redmayne | G |
| 15 | S. Roux | D |
| 2 | J. Donachie | D |
| 26 | B. Tapp | D |
| 5 | L. Mauragis | D |
| 48 | C. Donnell | M |
| 6 | H. Eames | M |
| 72 | A. Auglah | M |
| 45 | J. Mantell | M |
| 23 | O. Lavale | M |
| 18 | N. Blair | F |
Substitutes
| 40 | D. Peraic-Cullen | G |
| 7 | C. Theoharous | F |
| 16 | H. Steele | M |
| 3 | N. Paull | D |
| 43 | J. Nasso | D |
| 37 | B. Brandtman | F |
| 10 | M. Di Pizio | M |
Newcastle Jets
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Mark Milligan
1
Delianov
23
Wilmering
33
Natta
5
Shaughnessy
22
Bertolissio
14
Burgess
13
Taylor
8
Bayliss
28
Dobson
7
Adams
11
Gibson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Delianov | G |
| 22 | J. Bertolissio | D |
| 5 | J. Shaughnessy | D |
| 33 | M. Natta | D |
| 23 | D. Wilmering | D |
| 14 | M. Burgess | M |
| 7 | E. Adams | M |
| 28 | W. Dobson | M |
| 8 | L. Bayliss | M |
| 13 | C. Taylor | M |
| 11 | B. Gibson | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | A. Nassiep | G |
| 18 | K. Mizunuma | M |
| 43 | X. Bertoncello | F |
| 10 | Z. Clough | M |
| 17 | K. Grozos | M |
| 24 | A. Nunes | M |
| 42 | M. Cooper | D |