Auckland vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

Melbourne Victory

Away

Go Media Stadium, Auckland

AI call Auckland or draw

40%

25%

35%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Auckland vs Melbourne Victory prediction: Sportiko gives Auckland a 40% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory 35% and the draw 25%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Our lean

Auckland or draw

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Auckland

LLLWD

Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Last 1 meetings Auckland · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash between Auckland and Melbourne Victory, the home side will look to leverage their strong home form, having secured 2.1 points per game at home this season. Conversely, Melbourne Victory struggles on the road, averaging only 1.1 points per game away from home. Key players to watch include Auckland's forward, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Melbourne's midfielder, who leads the team in assists. Historical data indicates that Auckland has a slight edge in head-to-head encounters, winning 3 of the last 5 matches. Expect a competitive fixture, with Auckland aiming to maintain their playoff push.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Melbourne Victory goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	8	5	2	1
1	8	12	8	4	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Auckland goals · most likely 1–1 (11.6%)

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Players in form

Auckland

S. Cosgrove 12 gls

J. Randall 9 gls

L. Brook 9 gls

G. May 6 gls

Melbourne Victory

N. Vergos 7 gls

Clarismario Rodrigues 6 gls

Mata 5 gls

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Head to Head: Auckland vs Melbourne Victory

0 Auckland Wins

1 Draws

0 Melbourne Victory Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Oct 2025	Melbourne Victory	0 - 0	Auckland

Auckland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Western Sydney Wanderers	L	1 - 3
26 Aug	A Al-Ahli Jeddah	L	1 - 0
26 Jul	H Tottenham	L	0 - 2
09 May	H Adelaide United	W	1 - 0
02 May	H Melbourne City	D	1 - 1

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle Jets	26	15	3	8	55	39	+16	48
2	Adelaide United	26	12	7	7	46	36	+10	43
3	Auckland	26	11	9	6	42	29	+13	42
4	Melbourne Victory	26	11	7	8	44	33	+11	40
5	Sydney	26	11	6	9	33	25	+8	39
6	Melbourne City	26	10	8	8	33	33	0	38
7	Macarthur	26	9	7	10	37	44	-7	34
8	Wellington Phoenix	26	9	6	11	36	48	-12	33
9	Central Coast Mariners	26	8	8	10	35	42	-7	32
10	Perth Glory	26	8	7	11	32	39	-7	31
11	Brisbane Roar	26	6	8	12	27	36	-9	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers	26	5	6	15	27	43	-16	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.