Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 22

Post on X

Wellington Phoenix

Away

Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

AI call Wellington Phoenix or draw

25%

29%

46%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix prediction: Sportiko gives Brisbane Roar a 25% chance of winning, Wellington Phoenix 46% and the draw 29%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Our lean

Wellington Phoenix or draw

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Brisbane Roar

LLLDD

Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Last 2 meetings Brisbane Roar · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash on March 21, 2026, Brisbane Roar will host Wellington Phoenix at Suncorp Stadium. Historically, Brisbane has been strong at home, with a win rate of over 60% in their last 10 home fixtures. Conversely, Wellington Phoenix has struggled on the road, securing only one win in their last five away matches. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with Brisbane conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game this season. This match could be pivotal for both sides as they vie for crucial points in the league standings. Expect a competitive encounter, with Brisbane likely to leverage their home advantage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

25%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

46%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Wellington Phoenix goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	15	10	4	1
1	10	13	8	3	1
2	4	6	3	1
3	1	2	1
4
5

↑ Brisbane Roar goals · most likely 0–1 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Brisbane Roar

No scorer data.

Wellington Phoenix

I. Eze 9 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix

0 Brisbane Roar Wins

0 Draws

2 Wellington Phoenix Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Jan 2026	Brisbane Roar	0 - 3	Wellington Phoenix
26 Oct 2025	Wellington Phoenix	2 - 1	Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 Aug	H Sydney	L	2 - 4
25 Apr	A Perth Glory	L	2 - 1
18 Apr	H Melbourne City	L	2 - 3
10 Apr	A Central Coast Mariners	D	2 - 2
02 Apr	H Sydney	D	0 - 0

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle Jets	26	15	3	8	55	39	+16	48
2	Adelaide United	26	12	7	7	46	36	+10	43
3	Auckland	26	11	9	6	42	29	+13	42
4	Melbourne Victory	26	11	7	8	44	33	+11	40
5	Sydney	26	11	6	9	33	25	+8	39
6	Melbourne City	26	10	8	8	33	33	0	38
7	Macarthur	26	9	7	10	37	44	-7	34
8	Wellington Phoenix	26	9	6	11	36	48	-12	33
9	Central Coast Mariners	26	8	8	10	35	42	-7	32
10	Perth Glory	26	8	7	11	32	39	-7	31
11	Brisbane Roar	26	6	8	12	27	36	-9	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers	26	5	6	15	27	43	-16	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.