Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 20

Post on X

Wellington Phoenix

Away

Coopers Stadium, Adelaide

AI call Difficult Adelaide United win or draw

63%

23%

14%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix prediction: Sportiko gives Adelaide United a 63% chance of winning, Wellington Phoenix 14% and the draw 23%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Adelaide United win or draw

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Adelaide United

LWLDD

Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Last 2 meetings Adelaide United · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash on March 6, Adelaide United will host Wellington Phoenix at Coopers Stadium. Adelaide has shown strong home form, boasting a win rate of 60% in their last 10 home matches, while Wellington struggles on the road, with only 30% of their away games resulting in points this season. Key players to watch include Adelaide's top scorer, who has netted 8 goals, and Wellington's playmaker, who leads in assists. This match could be pivotal for both teams as they vie for playoff positions, making it crucial for Adelaide to capitalize on their home advantage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

63%

45%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

14%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Wellington Phoenix goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	6	2
1	15	11	4	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	6	2
4	4	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Adelaide United goals · most likely 1–0 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Adelaide United

L. Jovanović 11 gls

Wellington Phoenix

I. Eze 9 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix

0 Adelaide United Wins

1 Draws

1 Wellington Phoenix Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Jan 2026	Wellington Phoenix	2 - 2	Adelaide United
29 Nov 2025	Wellington Phoenix	2 - 1	Adelaide United

Adelaide United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 May	A Auckland	L	1 - 0
26 Apr	A Melbourne City	W	1 - 2
19 Apr	H Macarthur	L	0 - 1
11 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	D	1 - 1
03 Apr	H Auckland	D	1 - 1

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle Jets	26	15	3	8	55	39	+16	48
2	Adelaide United	26	12	7	7	46	36	+10	43
3	Auckland	26	11	9	6	42	29	+13	42
4	Melbourne Victory	26	11	7	8	44	33	+11	40
5	Sydney	26	11	6	9	33	25	+8	39
6	Melbourne City	26	10	8	8	33	33	0	38
7	Macarthur	26	9	7	10	37	44	-7	34
8	Wellington Phoenix	26	9	6	11	36	48	-12	33
9	Central Coast Mariners	26	8	8	10	35	42	-7	32
10	Perth Glory	26	8	7	11	32	39	-7	31
11	Brisbane Roar	26	6	8	12	27	36	-9	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers	26	5	6	15	27	43	-16	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.