Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 22

Post on X

Beijing Guoan

Home

4 : 0

HT 2 - 0

Sichuan Jiuniu

Away

AI call Beijing Guoan to win

67%

19%

14%

Home Win · 1.40 Draw · 5.65 Away Win · 7.85

Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu prediction: Sportiko gives Beijing Guoan a 67% chance of winning, Sichuan Jiuniu 14% and the draw 19%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 13:30.

Premium picks

Premium

Home 2H Over 0.5 72%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Zhang Yuning

16' ⚽ 1–0

Dawhan assist: Deng Jiefu

26' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 41'

Shen Huanming Yellow Card

HT 2–0

▮ 50'

Zhang Yufeng Yellow Card

Dawhan assist: Zhang Yuning

51' ⚽ 3–0

Guilherme Ramos Yellow Card

56' ▮

⇄ 61'

Shen Huanming ⇄ Yang Yiming

Zhang Yuning ⇄ Yang Liyu

62' ⇄

Deng Jiefu ⇄ Xizhe Zhang

62' ⇄

⇄ 64'

Eden Karzev ⇄ Menghui Yu

Fabio Abreu Yellow Card

68' ▮

Tze-Nam Yue ⇄ Wang Gang

72' ⇄

Yongjing Cao ⇄ Feifan Jia

72' ⇄

▮ 75'

Jiang Zhipeng Yellow Card

Fabio Abreu

79' ⚽ 4–0

Yang Bai ⇄ Jiang Zicheng

83' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Zhang Yufeng ⇄ Zhao Jianfei

FT 4–0

Beijing Guoan

Match Stats

Sichuan Jiuniu

52% Ball Possession 48%

Expected Goals (xG)

14 Total Shots 11

8 Shots on Goal 4

2 Shots off Goal 4

4 Blocked Shots 3

14 Shots insidebox 7

0 Shots outsidebox 4

5 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 0

19 Fouls 10

2 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

405 Total passes 363

342 Passes accurate 288

84% Passes % 79%

goals_prevented

Beijing Guoan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Dawhan M	10.0	92'	2	–	3	65 (59%)	3
29 Fabio Abreu F	7.6	92'	1	–	3	9 (7%)	–
8 Aboubacar Konte M	7.3	92'	–	–	–	57 (53%)	1
21 Tze-Nam Yue D	7.3	72'	–	–	–	27 (21%)	4
34 Hou Sen G	7.2	92'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	–
9 Zhang Yuning F	7.2	62'	1	1	3	17 (12%)	–
5 Guilherme Ramos D	6.9	92'	–	–	–	56 (47%)	–
26 Yang Bai D	6.9	83'	–	–	–	30 (25%)	–
47 Deng Jiefu M	6.9	62'	–	1	–	8 (5%)	1
10 Xizhe Zhang M	6.9	30'	–	–	–	11 (11%)	–
24 Abdugheni Abduhamit D	6.6	92'	–	–	–	46 (40%)	3
37 Yongjing Cao M	6.6	72'	–	–	–	30 (23%)	1
36 Feifan Jia M	6.6	20'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
27 Wang Gang D	6.5	20'	–	–	1	6 (3%)	–
58 Jiang Zicheng F	6.5	9'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
17 Yang Liyu F	6.3	30'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

Sichuan Jiuniu

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Peng Peng G	7.0	92'	–	–	–	24 (12%)	–
7 Wesley Moraes F	6.9	92'	–	–	2	15 (12%)	–
11 A. Ademi F	6.7	92'	–	–	1	16 (14%)	–
4 Jiang Zhipeng M	6.7	92'	–	–	1	32 (27%)	–
23 Yang Yiming D	6.6	31'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
36 Eden Karzev M	6.5	64'	–	–	1	32 (20%)	–
39 Menghui Yu M	6.5	28'	–	–	1	8 (8%)	–
19 Zhang Yufeng M	6.3	84'	–	–	–	37 (30%)	2
25 Zhao Jianfei D	6.3	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
8 Chow Tim M	6.3	92'	–	–	1	39 (34%)	–
16 Tang Miao D	6.2	92'	–	–	1	34 (30%)	2
20 Zhijian Xuan D	6.2	92'	–	–	–	32 (23%)	4
46 Shen Huanming D	5.9	61'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	–
3 Gabriel Xavier D	5.6	92'	–	–	–	49 (40%)	2

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Live in-play co-pilot

Go Premium

Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Our lean

Beijing Guoan to win

Most likely score

2:0 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Beijing Guoan

WWDDW

Sichuan Jiuniu

LWLDL

Last 1 meetings Beijing Guoan · 1W 0D 0L

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Beijing Guoan leads 4-0. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

79' Goal 85% sure

Beijing Guoan now leads 4-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 29%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Beijing Guoan leads 3-0. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

52' Goal 85% sure

Beijing Guoan now leads 3-0 with 99.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 68.6%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. Beijing Guoan leads. Win probability: 97.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

67%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

14%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sichuan Jiuniu goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	2	1
1	11	11	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	8	7	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	2	1	1

↑ Beijing Guoan goals · most likely 2–0 (12.1%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Beijing Guoan

Zhang Yuning 7 gls

Fábio Abreu 5 gls

Sichuan Jiuniu

Wesley Moraes 8 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

19%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

19%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	3.6%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
1	10.8%	11.2%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.1%	10.0%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
3	8.1%	6.7%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
4	4.1%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

19%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Beijing Guoan	Draw	Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan	37.2%	3.1%	0.9%
Draw	24.4%	14.8%	5.9%
Sichuan Jiuniu	3.2%	3.6%	7.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu

1 Beijing Guoan Wins

0 Draws

0 Sichuan Jiuniu Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Apr 2026	Sichuan Jiuniu	0 - 1	Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Sichuan Jiuniu	W	4 - 0
01 Aug	H Hangzhou Greentown	W	2 - 1
26 Jul	A Chengdu Better City	D	2 - 2
17 Jul	H Shenyang Urban	D	1 - 1
04 Jul	H Shandong Luneng	W	2 - 0

Sichuan Jiuniu — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Beijing Guoan	L	4 - 0
02 Aug	H Chongqing Tongliang Long	W	2 - 0
26 Jul	A Yunnan Yukun	L	4 - 3
21 Jul	A SHANGHAI SIPG	D	1 - 1
18 Jul	A Wuhan Three Towns	L	2 - 0

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	19	13	4	2	39	18	+21	43
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	7	8	5	23	22	+1	29
3	Dalian Zhixing	18	9	1	8	28	32	-4	28
4	Qingdao Youth Island	20	6	10	4	24	29	-5	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	+1	25
6	Shandong Luneng	19	9	3	7	35	34	+1	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	+6	22
8	Hangzhou Greentown	19	7	5	7	27	32	-5	21
9	Shenyang Urban	19	6	3	10	25	31	-6	21
10	Sichuan Jiuniu	19	6	2	11	25	33	-8	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	+5	19
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	6	6	7	30	26	+4	19
13	Henan Jianye	18	7	3	8	23	23	0	18
14	Tianjin Teda	19	6	6	7	26	22	+4	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	-7	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	6	3	11	30	38	-8	14

Beijing Guoan

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Nick Montgomery

34 Sen

26 Bai

5 Ramos

24 Abduhamit

21 Yue

47 Jiefu

8 Konte

23 Dawhan

37 Cao

9 Yuning

29 Abreu

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
34	Hou Sen	G
21	Tze-Nam Yue	D
24	Abdugheni Abduhamit	D
5	Guilherme Ramos	D
26	Yang Bai	D
37	Yongjing Cao	M
23	Dawhan	M
8	Aboubacar Konte	M
47	Deng Jiefu	M
29	Fabio Abreu	F
9	Zhang Yuning	F

Substitutes

31	Shaoziyang Liu	G
30	Shuangjie Fan	D
27	Gang Wang	D
17	Yang Liyu	F
10	Zhang Xizhe	M
41	Cheng Xi	M
50	Zhang Haoran	M
43	Xia Xiaoyu	M
7	Sai Erjini'ao	M
18	Wang Yu	M
36	Feifan Jia	M
58	Zicheng Jiang	F

Sichuan Jiuniu

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Robbie Neilson

13 Peng

20 Xuan

46 Shen

3 Xavier

16 Tang

4 Jiang

11 Ademi

19 Yufeng

8 Chow

7 Moraes

36 Karzev

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Peng Peng	G
16	Miao Tang	D
3	Gabriel Xavier	D
46	Huanming Shen	D
20	Zhijian Xuan	D
8	Tim Chow	M
19	Zhang Yufeng	M
11	Albion Ademi	M
4	Zhipeng Jiang	M
36	Eden Karzev	F
7	Wesley Moraes	F

Substitutes

35	Minzhe Wei	G
1	Jiabao Ji	G
15	Rui Yu	D
56	Yuheng Wang	M
23	Yiming Yang	D
14	Li Long	M
25	Jianfei Zhao	D
39	Menghui Yu	M
17	Li Ning	M
2	Tian Yifan	D
54	Yao Junyi	F
29	Dalong Xia	F