Shenyang Urban vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 21

Post on X

Shanghai Shenhua

Away

AI call Shanghai Shenhua or draw

29%

27%

44%

Home Win · 4.30 Draw · 4.72 Away Win · 1.72

Shenyang Urban vs Shanghai Shenhua prediction: Sportiko gives Shenyang Urban a 29% chance of winning, Shanghai Shenhua 44% and the draw 27%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 13:37.

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Away to Score 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Jeffinho assist: Dinghao Yan

9' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 23'

Zexiang Yang Yellow Card

Takahiro Kunimoto Penalty

32' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 45+5'

João Teixeira Yellow Card

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

Tianyi Gao ⇄ Haoyang Xu

⇄ 46'

Zexiang Yang ⇄ Li Songyi

▮ 52'

Li Songyi Yellow Card

⇄ 65'

Haijian Wang ⇄ Saulo Mineiro

Dinghao Yan ⇄ Zang Yifeng

65' ⇄

Ximing Pan ⇄ Jiarun Gao

66' ⇄

Dilmurat Mawlanyaz ⇄ Li Haoran

66' ⇄

⚽ 2–1 71'

Saulo Mineiro Penalty

⇄ 78'

Wilson Manafá ⇄ Shilong Wang

Jeffinho assist: Takahiro Kunimoto

86' ⚽ 3–1

Takahiro Kunimoto ⇄ De'ao Tian

88' ⇄

Ange Kouamé ⇄ Yuda Tian

90+4' ⇄

▮ 90+8'

Saulo Mineiro Yellow Card

Mincheng Yuan Yellow Card

90+8' ▮

FT 3–1

Shenyang Urban

Match Stats

Shanghai Shenhua

44% Ball Possession 56%

Expected Goals (xG)

11 Total Shots 12

3 Shots on Goal 2

6 Shots off Goal 6

2 Blocked Shots 4

4 Shots insidebox 8

7 Shots outsidebox 4

4 Corner Kicks 2

2 Offsides 1

14 Fouls 17

0 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 0

317 Total passes 396

239 Passes accurate 320

75% Passes % 81%

goals_prevented

Shenyang Urban

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
47 Jeffinho F	9.2	94'	2	–	5	30 (22%)	2
10 Takahiro Kunimoto M	8.2	88'	1	1	2	30 (28%)	2
11 Binbin Chen M	7.5	94'	–	–	–	40 (30%)	2
7 Ange Kouamé F	7.5	94'	–	–	–	20 (13%)	–
34 Zhang Hongfu D	6.9	94'	–	–	1	20 (18%)	2
3 Ximing Pan D	6.9	66'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	2
8 Dinghao Yan M	6.9	65'	–	1	1	29 (25%)	–
18 Tixiang Li M	6.7	94'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	1
29 Yan Zhang G	6.6	94'	–	–	–	28 (12%)	–
14 Zang Yifeng F	6.5	29'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
26 Mincheng Yuan D	6.5	94'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	–
35 Li Haoran D	6.3	28'	–	–	–	3	–
27 Jiarun Gao D	6.3	28'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	1
5 Dilmurat Mawlanyaz M	6.3	66'	–	–	–	24 (14%)	2
36 De'ao Tian M	—	6'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–

Shanghai Shenhua

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Saulo Mineiro F	7.0	29'	1	–	2	–	–
21 Haoyang Xu M	6.9	49'	–	–	–	17 (11%)	–
17 Tianyi Gao M	6.7	45'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	2
6 Li Songyi D	6.5	49'	–	–	–	29 (27%)	–
5 Chenjie Zhu D	6.3	94'	–	–	1	50 (45%)	2
9 Rafael Ratão M	6.3	94'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	1
10 João Teixeira M	6.3	94'	–	–	–	52 (42%)	–
27 Shinichi Chan D	6.2	94'	–	–	–	42 (38%)	1
15 Xi Wu M	6.2	94'	–	–	2	40 (30%)	–
33 Haijian Wang M	6.2	65'	–	–	–	33 (26%)	1
2 Shilong Wang D	6.2	16'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	1
13 Wilson Manafá D	5.9	78'	–	–	1	40 (28%)	–
16 Zexiang Yang D	5.9	45'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	–
19 Luís Asué F	5.9	94'	–	–	1	9 (5%)	–
1 Xue Qinghao G	5.6	94'	–	–	–	14 (14%)	–

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

Shanghai Shenhua or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Shenyang Urban

WLDDD

Shanghai Shenhua

LLWLW

Last 1 meetings Shenyang Urban · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

Shenyang Urban faces Shanghai Shenhua in a Super League clash on August 2, 2026. Shenyang Urban has shown resilience at home, with a notable defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per game this season. Conversely, Shanghai Shenhua has struggled for consistency, particularly in away matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored per game. Both teams will look to exploit the other's weaknesses, making this a critical matchup for their standings. Key players to watch include Shenyang's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Shanghai's playmaker, who leads in assists with 8.

Live insights

89' Goal 85% sure

Shenyang Urban now leads 3-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Shenyang Urban leads 2-1. Win probability: 83.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 16.8%.

72' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Shenyang Urban win: 79.9%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. Shenyang Urban leads. Win probability: 89.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 69.5%.

33' Goal 85% sure

Shenyang Urban now leads 2-0 with 86% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 77.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

29%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Shanghai Shenhua goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	9	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Shenyang Urban goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Shenyang Urban

G. Mbenza 9 gls

Shanghai Shenhua

Rafael Ratão 10 gls

M. Gueye 5 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

29%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

29%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 26% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	10.4%	8.6%	4.1%	1.4%
1	7.3%	14.3%	9.0%	4.3%	1.5%
2	4.7%	6.7%	4.7%	2.2%	0.8%
3	1.6%	2.3%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shenyang Urban	Draw	Shanghai Shenhua
Shenyang Urban	13.7%	3.5%	1.5%
Draw	11.5%	19.1%	14.0%
Shanghai Shenhua	1.9%	5.2%	29.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shenyang Urban vs Shanghai Shenhua

0 Shenyang Urban Wins

0 Draws

1 Shanghai Shenhua Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Apr 2026	Shanghai Shenhua	3 - 1	Shenyang Urban

Shenyang Urban — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Shanghai Shenhua	W	3 - 1
25 Jul	H Qingdao Youth Island	L	0 - 1
17 Jul	A Beijing Guoan	D	1 - 1
04 Jul	H Chongqing Tongliang Long	D	0 - 0
27 Jun	H Shandong Luneng	D	0 - 0

Shanghai Shenhua — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A Shenyang Urban	L	3 - 1
25 Jul	A SHANGHAI SIPG	L	2 - 0
21 Jul	H Qingdao Jonoon	W	4 - 1
18 Jul	H Tianjin Teda	L	0 - 2
05 Jul	H Hangzhou Greentown	W	3 - 2

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	19	13	4	2	39	18	+21	43
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	7	8	5	23	22	+1	29
3	Dalian Zhixing	18	9	1	8	28	32	-4	28
4	Qingdao Youth Island	20	6	10	4	24	29	-5	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	+1	25
6	Shandong Luneng	19	9	3	7	35	34	+1	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	+6	22
8	Hangzhou Greentown	19	7	5	7	27	32	-5	21
9	Shenyang Urban	19	6	3	10	25	31	-6	21
10	Sichuan Jiuniu	19	6	2	11	25	33	-8	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	+5	19
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	6	6	7	30	26	+4	19
13	Henan Jianye	18	7	3	8	23	23	0	18
14	Tianjin Teda	19	6	6	7	26	22	+4	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	-7	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	6	3	11	30	38	-8	14

Shanghai Shenhua

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Leonid Slutski

1 Xue

13 Manafá

27 Chan

5 Zhu

16 Yang

15 Xi

33 Wang

9 Ratão

10 Teixeira

17 Gao

19 Asué

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Qinghao Xue	G
16	Zexiang Yang	D
5	Chenjie Zhu	D
27	Shinichi Chan	D
13	Wilson Manafá	D
33	Haijian Wang	M
15	Wu Xi	M
17	Tianyi Gao	M
10	João Carlos Teixeira	M
9	Rafael Ratão	M
19	Luís Asué	F

Substitutes

24	Zhen Ma	G
38	Wu Qipeng	D
26	Shuai Yang	D
2	Shilong Wang	D
6	Songyi Li	D
25	Zhu Yue	D
36	Ming Huang	D
45	Jiawen Han	M
30	Xie Pengfei	M
21	Haoyang Xu	M
11	Saulo Mineiro	F

Shenyang Urban

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: Sasa Kolic

29 Zhang

3 Pan

26 Mincheng

34 Hongfu

18 Li

11 Chen

8 Yan

10 Kunimoto

5 Mawlanyaz

47 Jeffinho

7 Kouamé

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
29	Yan Zhang	G
34	Zhang Hongfu	D
26	Yuan Mincheng	D
3	Ximing Pan	D
18	Tixiang Li	M
5	Dilmurat Mawlanyaz	M
10	Takahiro Kunimoto	M
8	Dinghao Yan	M
11	Binbin Chen	M
7	Ange Kouamé	F
47	Jeffinho	F

Substitutes

13	Xie Jintian	G
27	Jiarun Gao	D
6	Pavle Vagić	D
30	Pang Shenghan	D
35	Li Haoran	D
28	Dong Xu	D
19	Mingyu Wu	D
22	Liu Guobo	F
36	De'ao Tian	M
14	Zang Yifeng	F
33	Yinong Tian	M
17	Yuda Tian	F