SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shandong Luneng Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 21

Post on X

Shandong Luneng

Away

AI call SHANGHAI SIPG or draw

41%

26%

33%

Home Win · 1.93 Draw · 4.33 Away Win · 3.59

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shandong Luneng prediction: Sportiko gives SHANGHAI SIPG a 41% chance of winning, Shandong Luneng 33% and the draw 26%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 13:43.

Premium picks

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away 75%
Under 3.5 Goals 73% @ 1.95

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 5'

Zeca

▮ 15'

Chen Pu Yellow Card

K. Aziangbe Yellow Card

19' ▮

K. Aziangbe ⇄ Lu Yongtao

38' ⇄

Prince Ampem Goal Disallowed - Foul

45+1' 🖵

▮ 45+7'

Zhengyu Huang Yellow Card

Zhen Wei Yellow Card

45+8' ▮

HT 0–1

⇄ 46'

⇄ Wenneng Xie

⇄ 46'

Zheng Zheng ⇄ Peng Xiao

⇄ 46'

Zeca ⇄ Songchen Shi

▮ 64'

Zhengyu Huang Yellow Card

▮ 64'

Zhengyu Huang Red Card

Liu Zhurun ⇄ Xinxiang Li

65' ⇄

Xi Yang Alex ⇄ Wang Shenchao

65' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Valeri Qazaishvili ⇄ Raphaël Merkies

Mateus Vital Missed Penalty

78' ✗

⇄ 78'

Guilherme Madruga ⇄ Pedro Álvaro

Xinxiang Li Goal Disallowed - video review

78' 🖵

Mateus Vital ⇄ Wu Lei

82' ⇄

Óscar Melendo ⇄ Kuai Jiwen

82' ⇄

Yusup Umidjan Yellow Card

85' ▮

FT 0–1

SHANGHAI SIPG

Match Stats

Shandong Luneng

69% Ball Possession 31%

Expected Goals (xG)

17 Total Shots 8

8 Shots on Goal 4

8 Shots off Goal 3

1 Blocked Shots 1

13 Shots insidebox 4

4 Shots outsidebox 4

8 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 2

9 Fouls 17

3 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 8

520 Total passes 237

462 Passes accurate 176

89% Passes % 74%

goals_prevented

SHANGHAI SIPG

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Zhen Wei D	7.3	98'	–	–	3	75 (67%)	3
40 Yusup Umidjan D	7.3	98'	–	–	–	78 (76%)	–
10 Mateus Vital M	7.3	82'	–	–	2	77 (69%)	–
21 Óscar Melendo M	7.3	82'	–	–	2	33 (27%)	1
1 Yan Junling G	6.9	98'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	–
22 Xi Yang D	6.9	65'	–	–	–	37 (34%)	5
38 Lu Yongtao M	6.9	60'	–	–	–	51 (46%)	2
49 Xinxiang Li F	6.9	33'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	1
45 Leonardo F	6.9	98'	–	–	4	18 (11%)	–
33 Liu Zhurun M	6.9	65'	–	–	1	13 (11%)	2
19 Wang Zhenao D	6.7	98'	–	–	2	53 (49%)	1
47 Kuai Jiwen F	6.7	16'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	1
17 Prince Ampem M	6.5	98'	–	–	–	34 (28%)	1
4 Wang Shenchao D	6.5	33'	–	–	1	9 (8%)	–
8 K. Aziangbe M	6.5	38'	–	–	1	13 (12%)	1
7 Wu Lei F	6.3	16'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

Shandong Luneng

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Yu Jinyong G	9.2	98'	–	–	–	27 (12%)	–
19 Zeca F	7.7	45'	1	–	1	8 (7%)	–
2 Yang Ruiqi D	7.3	98'	–	–	–	17 (11%)	3
28 Maiwulang Mijiti M	7.2	45'	–	1	–	13 (10%)	4
29 Chen Pu M	7.0	98'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	2
15 Songchen Shi D	6.9	53'	–	–	1	6 (4%)	3
7 Wenneng Xie M	6.9	53'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	1
11 Yang Liu D	6.9	98'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	2
23 Pedro Álvaro D	6.7	20'	–	–	–	1	–
8 Guilherme Madruga M	6.7	78'	–	–	1	27 (24%)	2
5 Zheng Zheng D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
3 Peng Xiao D	6.6	53'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
9 Cryzan F	6.6	98'	–	–	2	24 (18%)	–
10 Valeri Qazaishvili F	6.5	67'	–	–	1	25 (23%)	1
17 Raphaël Merkies F	6.3	31'	–	–	1	–	–
35 Zhengyu Huang M	6.0	64'	–	–	–	21 (14%)	1

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shandong Luneng

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Live in-play co-pilot

Go Premium

Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

SHANGHAI SIPG or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

SHANGHAI SIPG

LWDDD

Shandong Luneng

WLDLW

Last 1 meetings SHANGHAI SIPG · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Shanghai SIPG faces Shandong Luneng in a crucial Super League clash. SIPG has shown strong form, with a solid home record and a potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game this season. Shandong Luneng, known for their resilient defense, will need to contain SIPG’s offensive threats, especially with their top scorer contributing significantly to their tally. Both teams have a history of competitive matches, but SIPG's recent performance may give them the edge. Expect a closely contested match with potential playoff implications.

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Shandong Luneng leads 0-1. Win probability: 92.1%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 7.9%.

80' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 76.4%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Shandong Luneng leads 0-1. Win probability: 86.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.5%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 42.4%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 42.4%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

33%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Shandong Luneng goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	7	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ SHANGHAI SIPG goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

SHANGHAI SIPG

Leonardo 5 gls

Shandong Luneng

Cryzan 11 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

33%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

33%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 30% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	8.7%	7.5%	3.7%	1.3%
1	6.8%	13.9%	9.0%	4.4%	1.6%
2	5.1%	7.4%	5.4%	2.6%	1.0%
3	2.0%	3.0%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SHANGHAI SIPG	Draw	Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG	17.4%	4.9%	2.7%
Draw	11.4%	18.1%	16.8%
Shandong Luneng	1.6%	4.0%	23.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shandong Luneng

0 SHANGHAI SIPG Wins

1 Draws

0 Shandong Luneng Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Apr 2026	Shandong Luneng	1 - 1	SHANGHAI SIPG

SHANGHAI SIPG — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Shandong Luneng	L	0 - 1
25 Jul	H Shanghai Shenhua	W	2 - 0
21 Jul	H Sichuan Jiuniu	D	1 - 1
17 Jul	A Yunnan Yukun	D	2 - 2
04 Jul	A Qingdao Youth Island	D	0 - 0

Shandong Luneng — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A SHANGHAI SIPG	W	0 - 1
26 Jul	H Henan Jianye	L	1 - 2
21 Jul	A Wuhan Three Towns	D	2 - 2
18 Jul	A Dalian Zhixing	L	3 - 1
10 Jul	H Yunnan Yukun	W	4 - 3

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	19	13	4	2	39	18	+21	43
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	7	8	5	23	22	+1	29
3	Dalian Zhixing	18	9	1	8	28	32	-4	28
4	Qingdao Youth Island	20	6	10	4	24	29	-5	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	+1	25
6	Shandong Luneng	19	9	3	7	35	34	+1	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	+6	22
8	Hangzhou Greentown	19	7	5	7	27	32	-5	21
9	Shenyang Urban	19	6	3	10	25	31	-6	21
10	Sichuan Jiuniu	19	6	2	11	25	33	-8	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	+5	19
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	6	6	7	30	26	+4	19
13	Henan Jianye	18	7	3	8	23	23	0	18
14	Tianjin Teda	19	6	6	7	26	22	+4	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	-7	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	6	3	11	30	38	-8	14

SHANGHAI SIPG

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Angel Villacampa Carrasco

1 Junling

33 Zhurun

22 Alex

40 Umidjan

13 Zhen

8 Aziangbe

45 Leonardo

17 Ampem

21 Melendo

10 Vital

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Yan Junling	G
8	K. Aziangbe	M
13	Wei Zhen	D
40	Yusup Umidjan	D
22	Xi Yang Alex	D
33	Liu Zhurun	F
10	Mateus Vital	M
21	Óscar Melendo	M
17	P. Ampem	F
45	Leonardo	F

Substitutes

49	Li Xinxiang	F
47	Jiwen Kuai	M
38	Lu Yongtao	M
37	Zhang Junjie	F
28	Yue Xin	D
26	Liu Ruofan	F
3	Jiang Guangtai	D
23	Fu Huan	D
20	Yang Shiyuan	M
12	Chen Wei	G
7	Wu Lei	F
4	Wang Shenchao	D

Shandong Luneng

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Angel Villacampa Carrasco

1 Jinyong

29 Pu

11 Yang

5 Zheng

2 Ruiqi

28 Mijiti

10 Qazaishvili

8 Madruga

35 Zhengyu

9 Cryzan

19 Zeca

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Yu Jinyong	G
28	Maiwulang Mijiti	M
2	Yang Ruiqi	D
5	Zheng Zheng	D
11	Liu Yang	D
29	Chen Pu	F
9	Cryzan	F
35	Huang Zhengyu	M
8	Guilherme Madruga	M
10	V. Qazaishvili	F
19	Zeca	F

Substitutes

3	Peng Xiao	D
7	Xie Wenneng	F
15	Shi Songchen	D
17	R. Merkies	F
23	Pedro Álvaro	D
32	Sun Qihang	G
33	Gao Zhunyi	D
34	Yin Jiaxi	M
36	Liu Qiwei	G
38	Imran Memet	M
41	J. Lu	F
42	Peng Yixiang	F