Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 21

Post on X

Hangzhou Greentown

Away

AI call Difficult Beijing Guoan win or draw

58%

24%

18%

Home Win · 1.57 Draw · 4.90 Away Win · 5.50

Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown prediction: Sportiko gives Beijing Guoan a 58% chance of winning, Hangzhou Greentown 18% and the draw 24%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 13:34.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

Uroš Spajić Penalty confirmed

6' 🖵

Fabio Abreu Penalty

8' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 12'

Cheng Jin assist: Wang Yudong

Tze-Nam Yue Yellow Card

41' ▮

HT 1–1

▮ 46'

Marko Tolić Yellow Card

Yang Liyu ⇄ Sai Erjini'ao

57' ⇄

⇄ 61'

Marko Tolić ⇄ Felippe Cardoso

⇄ 61'

Tong Lei ⇄ Guowen Sun

Uroš Spajić ⇄ Xizhe Zhang

69' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Xu Junchi ⇄ Qianglong Tao

Yongjing Cao ⇄ Feifan Jia

78' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Cheng Jin ⇄ Alexander N'Doumbou

Yang Bai

78' ⇄

Tze-Nam Yue ⇄ Abdugheni Abduhamit

79' ⇄

Xizhe Zhang

81' 🖵

Xizhe Zhang assist: Sai Erjini'ao

82' ⚽ 2–1

Feifan Jia Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

FT 2–1

Beijing Guoan

Match Stats

Hangzhou Greentown

64% Ball Possession 36%

21 Total Shots 11

2 Shots on Goal 5

10 Shots off Goal 3

9 Blocked Shots 3

13 Shots insidebox 4

8 Shots outsidebox 6

4 Corner Kicks 8

2 Offsides 5

10 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 0

525 Total passes 287

480 Passes accurate 240

13 Free Kicks 9

Beijing Guoan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Xizhe Zhang M	8.0	21'	1	–	3	12 (10%)	–
29 Fabio Abreu F	7.6	90'	1	–	3	10 (9%)	1
8 Aboubacar Konte M	7.2	90'	–	–	2	63 (58%)	–
25 Uroš Spajić D	7.2	69'	–	–	1	68 (66%)	1
7 Sai Erjini'ao M	7.1	33'	–	1	1	26 (24%)	–
23 Dawhan M	7.0	90'	–	–	1	61 (56%)	–
37 Yongjing Cao F	6.9	78'	–	–	3	34 (31%)	–
5 Guilherme Ramos D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	75 (73%)	1
26 Yang Bai D	6.7	78'	–	–	–	62 (57%)	1
17 Yang Liyu F	6.6	57'	–	–	2	13 (11%)	2
34 Hou Sen G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	–
21 Tze-Nam Yue D	6.5	79'	–	–	2	61 (56%)	2
9 Zhang Yuning F	6.4	90'	–	–	3	15 (9%)	–
24 Abdugheni Abduhamit D	6.3	11'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
36 Feifan Jia M	6.0	12'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

Hangzhou Greentown

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Cheng Jin M	7.3	78'	1	–	1	17 (14%)	2
11 Wang Yudong F	7.1	90'	–	1	1	13 (11%)	–
5 Liu Haofan D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	49 (42%)	1
27 Felippe Cardoso F	6.9	29'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
7 Qianglong Tao F	6.5	12'	–	–	2	8 (7%)	–
38 Zhang Aihui D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	2
4 Jin-seob Park M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	27 (25%)	1
28 Alexandru Mitriță F	6.3	90'	–	–	4	17 (15%)	–
16 Tong Lei D	6.3	61'	–	–	–	17 (11%)	1
36 Lucas Possignolo D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	19 (18%)	1
26 Guowen Sun D	6.2	29'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
25 Xu Junchi D	6.0	78'	–	–	–	16 (10%)	–
10 Marko Tolić M	6.0	61'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	–
8 Alexander N'Doumbou M	5.8	12'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
33 Bo Zhao G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	–

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Beijing Guoan win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Beijing Guoan

WWDDW

Hangzhou Greentown

LWDWL

Last 1 meetings Beijing Guoan · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League match, Beijing Guoan will face Hangzhou Greentown. Beijing Guoan has shown solid form, particularly in attack, averaging 2 goals per match over their last five outings. Conversely, Hangzhou Greentown has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game during the same period. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where Guoan's playmakers can exploit Greentown's defensive vulnerabilities. This match will be critical for both teams as they aim to secure vital points in the league standings.

Live insights

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: Beijing Guoan leads 2-1. Win probability: 95.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 4.4%.

82' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Beijing Guoan win probability: 94.7%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 18.1%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 72.8%. Late goal chance: 29.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 41%, Away win 2H: 14.7%.

12' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 31.7%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

18%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hangzhou Greentown goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	6	3	1
1	15	13	4	1
2	12	9	3	1
3	6	5	2
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Beijing Guoan goals · most likely 1–0 (14.6%)

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Players in form

Beijing Guoan

Zhang Yuning 7 gls

Fábio Abreu 5 gls

Hangzhou Greentown

Wang Yudong 5 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

24%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

24%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

78% Home (No Draw) 22% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.0%	6.0%	2.7%	0.7%	0.1%
1	14.6%	13.1%	4.2%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.4%	9.0%	3.2%	0.8%	0.1%
3	6.4%	4.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.5%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

44%

35%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Beijing Guoan	Draw	Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan	31.6%	3.6%	1.0%
Draw	23.0%	20.1%	8.4%
Hangzhou Greentown	2.0%	3.1%	7.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown

0 Beijing Guoan Wins

1 Draws

0 Hangzhou Greentown Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Apr 2026	Hangzhou Greentown	0 - 0	Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Sichuan Jiuniu	W	4 - 0
01 Aug	H Hangzhou Greentown	W	2 - 1
26 Jul	A Chengdu Better City	D	2 - 2
17 Jul	H Shenyang Urban	D	1 - 1
04 Jul	H Shandong Luneng	W	2 - 0

Hangzhou Greentown — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Beijing Guoan	L	2 - 1
26 Jul	H Dalian Zhixing	W	3 - 2
18 Jul	A Chongqing Tongliang Long	D	1 - 1
14 Jul	H Qingdao Jonoon	W	3 - 2
05 Jul	A Shanghai Shenhua	L	3 - 2

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	19	13	4	2	39	18	+21	43
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	7	8	5	23	22	+1	29
3	Dalian Zhixing	18	9	1	8	28	32	-4	28
4	Qingdao Youth Island	20	6	10	4	24	29	-5	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	+1	25
6	Shandong Luneng	19	9	3	7	35	34	+1	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	+6	22
8	Hangzhou Greentown	19	7	5	7	27	32	-5	21
9	Shenyang Urban	19	6	3	10	25	31	-6	21
10	Sichuan Jiuniu	19	6	2	11	25	33	-8	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	+5	19
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	6	6	7	30	26	+4	19
13	Henan Jianye	18	7	3	8	23	23	0	18
14	Tianjin Teda	19	6	6	7	26	22	+4	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	-7	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	6	3	11	30	38	-8	14