Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

Henan Jianye

Away

Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, Wuhan

AI call Henan Jianye or draw

24%

34%

42%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye prediction: Sportiko gives Wuhan Three Towns a 24% chance of winning, Henan Jianye 42% and the draw 34%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 13:31.

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Draw or Away 76%
1st Half Home or Draw 70%

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Timeline

HT 0–0

Jhonder Cádiz Penalty

52' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 58'

Zheng Dalun ⇄ Yihao Zhong

⇄ 77'

Yeljan Shinar

⇄ 77'

Huang Ruifeng ⇄ Abraham Halik

▮ 81'

Yellow Card

Xiaobing Zhang ⇄ Liao Chengjian

82' ⇄

Antoine Leautey ⇄ Jinxian Wang

82' ⇄

⇄ 83'

He Chao ⇄ O. Gerbig

Kaimu Zheng Yellow Card

84' ▮

Gustavo Sauer ⇄ Yiming Liu

87' ⇄

Xu Haofeng ⇄ Zhechao Chen

90+1' ⇄

▮ 90+3'

Yellow Card

Zhechao Chen Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

⚽ 1–1 90+5'

Gustavo assist: Pedro Maranhão

Kaimu Zheng Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

Kaimu Zheng Red Card

90+7' ▮

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean

Henan Jianye or draw

Most likely score

0:0 · 16.4%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

30%

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Wuhan Three Towns

LDDWD

Henan Jianye

DDDDL

Last 1 meetings Wuhan Three Towns · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Wuhan Three Towns face Henan Jianye in a Super League matchup on July 11, 2026. Wuhan has demonstrated solid form at home, leveraging their attacking prowess, averaging 2 goals per game this season. Henan Jianye, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match away from home. The key match-up will likely be Wuhan's forward line against Henan's back four, which needs to improve to secure a positive result. Given the statistical trends, Wuhan is favored to capitalize on their offensive opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

24%

45%

Draw

34%

45%

Away

42%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Henan Jianye goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	16	15	9	4	1
1	10	15	7	3	1
2	5	5	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Wuhan Three Towns goals · most likely 0–0 (16.4%)

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Players in form

Wuhan Three Towns

J. Cádiz 12 gls

Gustavo Sauer 5 gls

Henan Jianye

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

34%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

87%

3.5

13%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

34%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

64% Away (No Draw) 36% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 34% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

87%

3.5

13%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

25%

29%

17%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.4%	14.9%	9.4%	3.5%	1.0%
1	9.9%	14.8%	7.4%	2.8%	0.8%
2	4.6%	5.2%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
3	1.2%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

34%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Wuhan Three Towns	Draw	Henan Jianye
Wuhan Three Towns	13.1%	3.8%	1.4%
Draw	10.7%	24.6%	16.9%
Henan Jianye	1.0%	3.9%	24.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye

0 Wuhan Three Towns Wins

1 Draws

0 Henan Jianye Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Henan Jianye	1 - 1	Wuhan Three Towns

Wuhan Three Towns — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Hangzhou Greentown	L	4 - 1
12 Sep	H Henan Jianye	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Qingdao Youth Island	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Qingdao Jonoon	W	1 - 5
22 Aug	H Tianjin Teda	D	0 - 0

Henan Jianye — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
12 Sep	A Wuhan Three Towns	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Chengdu Better City	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Chongqing Tongliang Long	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Shenyang Urban	D	4 - 4
15 Aug	A Shanghai Shenhua	L	4 - 1

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	19	13	4	2	39	18	+21	43
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	7	8	5	23	22	+1	29
3	Dalian Zhixing	18	9	1	8	28	32	-4	28
4	Qingdao Youth Island	20	6	10	4	24	29	-5	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	+1	25
6	Shandong Luneng	19	9	3	7	35	34	+1	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	+6	22
8	Hangzhou Greentown	19	7	5	7	27	32	-5	21
9	Shenyang Urban	19	6	3	10	25	31	-6	21
10	Sichuan Jiuniu	19	6	2	11	25	33	-8	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	+5	19
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	6	6	7	30	26	+4	19
13	Henan Jianye	18	7	3	8	23	23	0	18
14	Tianjin Teda	19	6	6	7	26	22	+4	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	-7	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	6	3	11	30	38	-8	14

Henan Jianye

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Wuhan Three Towns

Coach: Ricardo Soares