Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

Yunnan Yukun

Away

AI call Yunnan Yukun or draw

27%

28%

44%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun prediction: Sportiko gives Shandong Luneng a 27% chance of winning, Yunnan Yukun 44% and the draw 28%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Under 3.5 Goals 71%

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Timeline

10' ⚽ 1–0

16' ⚽ 2–0

26' ⚽ 3–0

Yellow Card

30' ▮

⚽ 3–1 42'

A. Ioniță assist: O. Maritu

HT 3–1

46' ⇄

54' ⚽ 4–1

⇄ 67'

⇄ Cléber

⇄ 67'

Tsui Wang Kit ⇄ Huang Zichang

68' ⇄

⚽ 4–2 76'

Cléber Penalty

⇄ 79'

Abdusalam Bunyamin ⇄ Tang Miao

86' ⇄

⇄ 90'

Zhang Chenliang ⇄ Yi Teng

⇄ 90'

A. Ioniță ⇄ Fei Ernanduo

⚽ 4–3 90+1'

Cléber assist: O. Maritu

FT 4–3

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

Yunnan Yukun or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Shandong Luneng

DLWLW

Yunnan Yukun

WWLDW

Last 1 meetings Shandong Luneng · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In this Super League clash, Shandong Luneng will face Yunnan Yukun. Shandong Luneng's recent form has been strong, with a solid attack averaging 2.1 goals per match over their last five outings, paired with a defense conceding only 1 goal per game. Conversely, Yunnan Yukun has struggled on the road, with a record of just one win in their last five matches, and they have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game during this stretch. The matchup favors Shandong Luneng, who are likely to leverage their offensive prowess against Yunnan's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

27%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Yunnan Yukun goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	8	4	2	1
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Shandong Luneng goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Shandong Luneng

Cryzan 11 gls

Yunnan Yukun

O. Maritu 11 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

28%

Home Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

28%

Home Win

27%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	8.6%	7.9%	4.1%	1.6%
1	6.1%	13.5%	9.3%	4.9%	1.9%
2	4.5%	7.1%	5.5%	2.9%	1.1%
3	1.8%	2.8%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shandong Luneng	Draw	Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng	15.8%	4.5%	2.4%
Draw	10.6%	17.4%	16.0%
Yunnan Yukun	1.7%	4.4%	27.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun

0 Shandong Luneng Wins

0 Draws

1 Yunnan Yukun Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Yunnan Yukun	4 - 0	Shandong Luneng

Shandong Luneng — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Sep	H Sichuan Jiuniu	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	H SHANGHAI SIPG	L	0 - 3
28 Aug	A Shanghai Shenhua	W	2 - 3
22 Aug	A Qingdao Youth Island	L	2 - 0
14 Aug	H Qingdao Jonoon	W	3 - 1

Yunnan Yukun — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Sep	H Shenyang Urban	W	5 - 0
02 Sep	H Chongqing Tongliang Long	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Hangzhou Greentown	L	6 - 0
22 Aug	A Beijing Guoan	D	3 - 3
15 Aug	H Dalian Zhixing	W	3 - 1

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	19	13	4	2	39	18	+21	43
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	7	8	5	23	22	+1	29
3	Dalian Zhixing	18	9	1	8	28	32	-4	28
4	Qingdao Youth Island	20	6	10	4	24	29	-5	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	+1	25
6	Shandong Luneng	19	9	3	7	35	34	+1	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	+6	22
8	Hangzhou Greentown	19	7	5	7	27	32	-5	21
9	Shenyang Urban	19	6	3	10	25	31	-6	21
10	Sichuan Jiuniu	19	6	2	11	25	33	-8	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	+5	19
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	6	6	7	30	26	+4	19
13	Henan Jianye	18	7	3	8	23	23	0	18
14	Tianjin Teda	19	6	6	7	26	22	+4	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	-7	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	6	3	11	30	38	-8	14

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.