Shanghai Shenhua vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 17

Post on X

Hangzhou Greentown

Away

Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai

AI call Difficult Hangzhou Greentown win or draw

19%

31%

50%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Shanghai Shenhua vs Hangzhou Greentown prediction: Sportiko gives Shanghai Shenhua a 19% chance of winning, Hangzhou Greentown 50% and the draw 31%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Timeline

Goal Disallowed - offside

14' 🖵

19' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 44'

Yellow Card

HT 1–0

51' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 59'

⚽ 2–1 66'

66' ⇄

⇄ 68'

▮ 72'

Yellow Card

73' ⇄

⇄ 75'

⚽ 2–2 79'

Penalty

86' ⚽ 3–2

88' ⇄

FT 3–2

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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Hangzhou Greentown win or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Shanghai Shenhua

WWLLW

Hangzhou Greentown

WLWDL

Last 1 meetings Shanghai Shenhua · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League clash on July 5, 2026, Shanghai Shenhua will host Hangzhou Greentown at their home ground. Historically, Shanghai Shenhua has a strong home record, winning approximately 60% of their matches at home last season, while Hangzhou Greentown struggled on the road, securing only 30% of their away points. Key players to watch include Shenhua's prolific striker, who has been averaging 0.5 goals per game, and Greentown's creative midfielder, contributing significantly to their goal creation. With Shenhua's defensive solidity and Greentown's inconsistencies away from home, the hosts are favored to secure a crucial victory in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

19%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

50%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hangzhou Greentown goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	14	11	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	3	5	3	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Shanghai Shenhua goals · most likely 0–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Shanghai Shenhua

Rafael Ratão 10 gls

M. Gueye 5 gls

Hangzhou Greentown

Wang Yudong 5 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

31%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

31%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

73% Away (No Draw) 27% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 19% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.9%	14.4%	11.3%	5.3%	1.9%
1	7.1%	13.9%	8.7%	4.1%	1.4%
2	3.4%	4.7%	3.3%	1.6%	0.6%
3	0.9%	1.2%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Hangzhou Greentown
Shanghai Shenhua	10.6%	3.8%	1.9%
Draw	8.2%	21.0%	19.2%
Hangzhou Greentown	0.9%	3.7%	30.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua vs Hangzhou Greentown

0 Shanghai Shenhua Wins

1 Draws

0 Hangzhou Greentown Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Hangzhou Greentown	1 - 1	Shanghai Shenhua

Shanghai Shenhua — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H Tampines Rovers	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Chongqing Tongliang Long	W	1 - 3
01 Sep	A Dalian Zhixing	L	1 - 0
28 Aug	H Shandong Luneng	L	2 - 3
22 Aug	A Chengdu Better City	W	4 - 5

Hangzhou Greentown — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Wuhan Three Towns	W	4 - 1
06 Sep	A Tianjin Teda	L	2 - 1
29 Aug	H Yunnan Yukun	W	6 - 0
22 Aug	A Sichuan Jiuniu	D	1 - 1
15 Aug	H Chengdu Better City	L	2 - 3

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	19	13	4	2	39	18	+21	43
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	7	8	5	23	22	+1	29
3	Dalian Zhixing	18	9	1	8	28	32	-4	28
4	Qingdao Youth Island	20	6	10	4	24	29	-5	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	+1	25
6	Shandong Luneng	19	9	3	7	35	34	+1	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	+6	22
8	Hangzhou Greentown	19	7	5	7	27	32	-5	21
9	Shenyang Urban	19	6	3	10	25	31	-6	21
10	Sichuan Jiuniu	19	6	2	11	25	33	-8	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	+5	19
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	6	6	7	30	26	+4	19
13	Henan Jianye	18	7	3	8	23	23	0	18
14	Tianjin Teda	19	6	6	7	26	22	+4	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	-7	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	6	3	11	30	38	-8	14

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.