Qingdao Youth Island vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 17

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SHANGHAI SIPG

Away

AI call Qingdao Youth Island or draw

48%

32%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Qingdao Youth Island vs SHANGHAI SIPG prediction: Sportiko gives Qingdao Youth Island a 48% chance of winning, SHANGHAI SIPG 20% and the draw 32%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home to Score 73%

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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Our lean

Qingdao Youth Island or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Qingdao Youth Island

DDWDD

SHANGHAI SIPG

DWWWW

Last 1 meetings Qingdao Youth Island · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League match, Qingdao Youth Island hosts Shanghai SIPG on July 4, 2026. Qingdao has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per match, while SIPG boasts a strong attacking unit, led by naturalized striker Elkeson, who has netted 12 goals this season. SIPG's recent form shows they are unbeaten in their last five matches, with a powerful midfield controlling possession at 58% per game. Qingdao will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on set-pieces to challenge SIPG effectively. Overall, SIPG enters this match as the favorites, given their superior squad depth and form.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

20%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SHANGHAI SIPG goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	15	8	4	1
1	15	14	5	1
2	11	8	3	1
3	5	4	1
4	2	1
5

↑ Qingdao Youth Island goals · most likely 1–0 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Qingdao Youth Island

No scorer data.

SHANGHAI SIPG

Leonardo 5 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

32%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

32%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

71% Home (No Draw) 29% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.5%	8.0%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
1	15.1%	14.2%	4.7%	1.2%	0.2%
2	10.9%	8.2%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%
3	4.7%	3.5%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.5%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Qingdao Youth Island	Draw	SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Youth Island	28.7%	3.7%	0.9%
Draw	18.8%	22.6%	8.8%
SHANGHAI SIPG	1.7%	3.8%	11.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Qingdao Youth Island vs SHANGHAI SIPG

0 Qingdao Youth Island Wins

0 Draws

1 SHANGHAI SIPG Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	SHANGHAI SIPG	4 - 1	Qingdao Youth Island

Qingdao Youth Island — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Sep	A Wuhan Three Towns	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tianjin Teda	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Shandong Luneng	W	2 - 0
14 Aug	H Chongqing Tongliang Long	D	0 - 0
09 Aug	A Henan Jianye	D	0 - 0

SHANGHAI SIPG — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Sep	H Beijing Guoan	D	0 - 0
01 Sep	A Shandong Luneng	W	0 - 3
28 Aug	A Sichuan Jiuniu	W	0 - 1
23 Aug	H Qingdao Jonoon	W	2 - 1
14 Aug	A Wuhan Three Towns	W	2 - 3

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	19	13	4	2	39	18	+21	43
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	7	8	5	23	22	+1	29
3	Dalian Zhixing	18	9	1	8	28	32	-4	28
4	Qingdao Youth Island	20	6	10	4	24	29	-5	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	+1	25
6	Shandong Luneng	19	9	3	7	35	34	+1	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	+6	22
8	Hangzhou Greentown	19	7	5	7	27	32	-5	21
9	Shenyang Urban	19	6	3	10	25	31	-6	21
10	Sichuan Jiuniu	19	6	2	11	25	33	-8	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	+5	19
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	6	6	7	30	26	+4	19
13	Henan Jianye	18	7	3	8	23	23	0	18
14	Tianjin Teda	19	6	6	7	26	22	+4	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	-7	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	6	3	11	30	38	-8	14

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.