Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

Shanghai Shenhua

Away

AI call Difficult Dalian Zhixing win or draw

54%

28%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua prediction: Sportiko gives Dalian Zhixing a 54% chance of winning, Shanghai Shenhua 18% and the draw 28%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Under 3.5 Goals 77%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%

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Timeline

▮ 7'

Yellow Card

9' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 15'

⚽ 1–1 25'

Penalty

⚽ 1–2 32'

HT 1–2

46' ⇄

⇄ 56'

⚽ 1–3 59'

▮ 60'

Yellow Card

69' ⇄

75' ⇄

78' ⇄

⚽ 1–4 90'

⇄ 90+2'

FT 1–4

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Dalian Zhixing win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Dalian Zhixing

WWDWL

Shanghai Shenhua

WWLLW

Last 2 meetings Dalian Zhixing · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League clash on June 28, 2026, Dalian Zhixing will host Shanghai Shenhua. Dalian has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per match, which could be exploited by Shanghai's potent attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Conversely, Dalian's home advantage may bolster their performance, as they typically see a slight uptick in goal-scoring when playing at home. However, Shanghai's recent form, with three wins in their last four matches, suggests they are in better shape heading into this encounter. Overall, the match is likely to be competitive, with key battles in midfield potentially determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

54%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

18%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Shanghai Shenhua goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	3	1
1	12	13	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Dalian Zhixing goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Dalian Zhixing

C. Malele 6 gls

F. Acheampong 5 gls

Shanghai Shenhua

Rafael Ratão 10 gls

M. Gueye 5 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

28%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

28%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	5.7%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
1	12.2%	13.2%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.2%	9.5%	4.1%	1.2%	0.2%
3	6.1%	5.2%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.5%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dalian Zhixing	Draw	Shanghai Shenhua
Dalian Zhixing	33.9%	3.8%	1.1%
Draw	19.3%	18.1%	7.7%
Shanghai Shenhua	2.2%	3.8%	10.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua

1 Dalian Zhixing Wins

0 Draws

1 Shanghai Shenhua Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Sep 2026	Dalian Zhixing	1 - 0	Shanghai Shenhua
07 Mar 2026	Shanghai Shenhua	5 - 3	Dalian Zhixing

Dalian Zhixing — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Sep	H Qingdao Jonoon	W	2 - 1
01 Sep	H Shanghai Shenhua	W	1 - 0
28 Aug	H Beijing Guoan	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Chongqing Tongliang Long	W	0 - 1
15 Aug	A Yunnan Yukun	L	3 - 1

Shanghai Shenhua — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H Tampines Rovers	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Chongqing Tongliang Long	W	1 - 3
01 Sep	A Dalian Zhixing	L	1 - 0
28 Aug	H Shandong Luneng	L	2 - 3
22 Aug	A Chengdu Better City	W	4 - 5

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	19	13	4	2	39	18	+21	43
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	7	8	5	23	22	+1	29
3	Dalian Zhixing	18	9	1	8	28	32	-4	28
4	Qingdao Youth Island	20	6	10	4	24	29	-5	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	+1	25
6	Shandong Luneng	19	9	3	7	35	34	+1	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	+6	22
8	Hangzhou Greentown	19	7	5	7	27	32	-5	21
9	Shenyang Urban	19	6	3	10	25	31	-6	21
10	Sichuan Jiuniu	19	6	2	11	25	33	-8	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	+5	19
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	6	6	7	30	26	+4	19
13	Henan Jianye	18	7	3	8	23	23	0	18
14	Tianjin Teda	19	6	6	7	26	22	+4	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	-7	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	6	3	11	30	38	-8	14

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.