Qingdao Youth Island vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction

Super League · Regular Season - 16

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Hangzhou Greentown

Away

AI call Hangzhou Greentown or draw

22%

29%

49%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Qingdao Youth Island vs Hangzhou Greentown prediction: Sportiko gives Qingdao Youth Island a 22% chance of winning, Hangzhou Greentown 49% and the draw 29%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 7'

20' ⚽ 1–1

Yellow Card

44' ▮

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

49' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 61'

66' ⚽ 3–1

70' ⇄

⇄ 80'

89' ⇄

90+3' ⇄

FT 3–1

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Hangzhou Greentown or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Qingdao Youth Island

DDWDD

Hangzhou Greentown

WLWDL

Last 1 meetings Qingdao Youth Island · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League match between Qingdao Youth Island and Hangzhou Greentown, both teams will be looking to secure crucial points. Qingdao has shown vulnerability at home, with a modest win rate of around 30% in their last five matches, while Hangzhou Greentown has been more consistent, boasting a recent away win percentage of approximately 50%. Key players to watch include Qingdao's forward, who has scored in three of their last five fixtures, and Hangzhou's midfielder, who leads the team in assists. The match could hinge on Qingdao's defense, which has conceded an average of 2 goals per game recently, against Hangzhou's attacking prowess. Overall, this encounter promises to be competitive, with both teams having distinct strengths to leverage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

22%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

49%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hangzhou Greentown goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	12	10	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Qingdao Youth Island goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Qingdao Youth Island

No scorer data.

Hangzhou Greentown

Wang Yudong 5 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

29%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

29%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

69% Away (No Draw) 31% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	11.8%	10.1%	5.0%	1.9%
1	6.6%	13.9%	9.3%	4.6%	1.7%
2	3.8%	5.7%	4.3%	2.1%	0.8%
3	1.2%	1.7%	1.3%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Qingdao Youth Island	Draw	Hangzhou Greentown
Qingdao Youth Island	12.1%	4.0%	2.1%
Draw	9.1%	19.2%	17.8%
Hangzhou Greentown	1.2%	4.1%	30.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Qingdao Youth Island vs Hangzhou Greentown

0 Qingdao Youth Island Wins

0 Draws

1 Hangzhou Greentown Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	Hangzhou Greentown	2 - 0	Qingdao Youth Island

Qingdao Youth Island — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Sep	A Wuhan Three Towns	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tianjin Teda	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Shandong Luneng	W	2 - 0
14 Aug	H Chongqing Tongliang Long	D	0 - 0
09 Aug	A Henan Jianye	D	0 - 0

Hangzhou Greentown — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Wuhan Three Towns	W	4 - 1
06 Sep	A Tianjin Teda	L	2 - 1
29 Aug	H Yunnan Yukun	W	6 - 0
22 Aug	A Sichuan Jiuniu	D	1 - 1
15 Aug	H Chengdu Better City	L	2 - 3

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	19	13	4	2	39	18	+21	43
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	7	8	5	23	22	+1	29
3	Dalian Zhixing	18	9	1	8	28	32	-4	28
4	Qingdao Youth Island	20	6	10	4	24	29	-5	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	+1	25
6	Shandong Luneng	19	9	3	7	35	34	+1	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	+6	22
8	Hangzhou Greentown	19	7	5	7	27	32	-5	21
9	Shenyang Urban	19	6	3	10	25	31	-6	21
10	Sichuan Jiuniu	19	6	2	11	25	33	-8	20
11	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	+5	19
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	6	6	7	30	26	+4	19
13	Henan Jianye	18	7	3	8	23	23	0	18
14	Tianjin Teda	19	6	6	7	26	22	+4	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	-7	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	6	3	11	30	38	-8	14

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.