CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction
FT
Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec
AI call
Difficult Vancouver Whitecaps win or draw
21%
23%
56%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction: Sportiko gives CF Montreal a 21% chance of winning, Vancouver Whitecaps 56% and the draw 23%. Last updated 7 Nov 2026, 23:01.
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Timeline
▮
25'
Mihail Gherasimencov
Yellow Card
▮
42'
Édier Ocampo
Yellow Card
Victor Loturi
Yellow Card
45'
▮
Hennadii Synchuk
⇄ Noah Streit
45'
⇄
⇄
45'
Yadaly Diaby
⇄ Bruno Quiñonez
⇄
45'
Édier Ocampo
⇄ Rui Modesto
HT 0–0
⚽
0–1
50'
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
▮
62'
Ralph Priso
Yellow Card
⇄
63'
Ryan Gauld
⇄ Thomas Müller
Olger Escobar
⇄ Fabian Herbers
66'
⇄
Daniel Rios
⇄ Alexis Sánchez
66'
⇄
Dawid Bugaj
⇄ Brayan Ceballos
66'
⇄
⇄
71'
Ralph Priso
⇄ Tristan Blackmon
Luca Petrasso
Yellow Card
74'
▮
⚽
0–2
83'
Mihail Gherasimencov
assist: Bruno Quiñonez
⇄
86'
Oliver Larraz
⇄ Sebastián Ramírez
FT 0–2
CF Montreal
Match Stats
Vancouver Whitecaps
36%
Ball Possession
64%
0.92
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
8
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Goal
8
4
Shots off Goal
7
1
Blocked Shots
1
3
Shots insidebox
12
3
Shots outsidebox
4
4
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3
331
Total passes
589
263
Passes accurate
523
15
Free Kicks
14
CF Montreal
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Samsy Keita G | 7.5 | 89' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | – |
| 21 Fabian Herbers F | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 7 (7%) | – |
| 4 Brayan Vera D | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 38 (26%) | 3 |
| 5 Brandan Craig D | 6.5 | 89' | – | – | – | 48 (39%) | 1 |
| 8 Matthew Longstaff M | 6.4 | 89' | – | – | – | 51 (47%) | 1 |
| 16 Wikelman Carmona M | 6.4 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 23 (17%) | 6 |
| 3 Brayan Ceballos D | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 10 Alexis Sánchez F | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 27 Dawid Bugaj D | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | – | 22 (15%) | 4 |
| 29 Olger Escobar M | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 9 (5%) | 1 |
| 22 Victor Loturi M | 6.1 | 89' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | – |
| 18 Hennadii Synchuk M | 6.1 | 46' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 14 Daniel Rios F | 6.0 | 66' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | – |
| 23 Noah Streit M | 5.9 | 43' | – | – | 1 | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 13 Luca Petrasso D | 5.8 | 89' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mihail Gherasimencov D | 8.2 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 54 (51%) | 4 |
| 7 Cheick Tidiane Sabaly M | 8.2 | 89' | 1 | – | 3 | 37 (32%) | 1 |
| 6 Ralph Priso D | 7.9 | 71' | – | – | – | 84 (81%) | 4 |
| 14 Bruno Quiñonez F | 7.5 | 43' | – | 1 | – | 13 (7%) | 1 |
| 4 Ranko Veselinović D | 7.5 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 87 (82%) | 1 |
| 1 Yohei Takaoka G | 7.4 | 89' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | – |
| 25 Ryan Gauld M | 7.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | 1 |
| 23 Aleksa Cvetković M | 7.2 | 89' | – | – | 3 | 63 (55%) | 6 |
| 70 Rui Modesto M | 7.2 | 43' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | – |
| 33 Tristan Blackmon D | 7.0 | 18' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 15 Sebastián Ramírez M | 6.9 | 3' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 77 Yadaly Diaby M | 6.9 | 46' | – | – | 2 | 20 (18%) | – |
| 18 Édier Ocampo D | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | – |
| 8 Oliver Larraz M | 6.6 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 55 (46%) | 3 |
| 13 Thomas Müller F | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 19 Rayan Elloumi F | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | 4 | 11 (8%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Vancouver Whitecaps win or draw
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CF Montreal
LDLLD
Vancouver Whitecaps
WWWLW
Last 2 meetings
CF Montreal · 1W 1D 0L
Live insights
84'
Goal
85% sure
Vancouver Whitecaps now leads 0-2 with 99.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 20.1%.
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Vancouver Whitecaps leads 0-1. Win probability: 87%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13%.
51'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 0-1. Vancouver Whitecaps win: 81%. BTTS: 41.6%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 79.9%. Over 1.5 remaining: 51.9%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
21%
10%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
56%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
CF Montreal
P. Owusu
15 gls
Vancouver Whitecaps
B. White
20 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1
CF Montreal Wins
1
Draws
0
Vancouver Whitecaps Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | CF Montreal | 2 - 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 03 Sep 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 - 1 | CF Montreal |
CF Montreal — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Vancouver Whitecaps | L | 0 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A New York City FC | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Charlotte | L | 4 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Nashville SC | L | 0 - 2 |
| 21 Oct | H Forge | D | 1 - 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A CF Montreal | W | 0 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Seattle Sounders | W | 5 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | H San Diego | W | 4 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A Colorado Rapids | L | 1 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Austin | W | 1 - 2 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Sørensen
1
Takaoka
29
Gherasimencov
6
Priso
4
Veselinović
18
Ocampo
23
Cvetković
8
Larraz
77
Diaby
25
Gauld
7
Sabaly
19
Elloumi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Y. Takaoka | G |
| 18 | É. Ocampo | D |
| 4 | R. Veselinović | D |
| 6 | R. Priso | D |
| 29 | M. Gherasimencov | D |
| 8 | O. Larraz | M |
| 23 | A. Cvetković | M |
| 7 | C. Sabaly | M |
| 25 | R. Gauld | M |
| 77 | Y. Diaby | M |
| 19 | R. Elloumi | F |
Substitutes
| 24 | B. White | F |
| 14 | Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez | F |
| 32 | I. Boehmer | G |
| 33 | T. Blackmon | D |
| 28 | T. Johnson | D |
| 70 | Rui Modesto | M |
| 13 | T. Müller | F |
| 15 | S. Ramíirez | M |
| 63 | Johnny Selemani | F |
CF Montreal
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
41
Keita
13
Petrasso
4
Vera
5
Craig
27
Bugaj
22
Loturi
8
Longstaff
16
Carmona
29
Escobar
18
Synchuk
14
Ríos
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | S. Keita | G |
| 27 | D. Bugaj | D |
| 5 | B. Craig | D |
| 4 | B. Vera | D |
| 13 | L. Petrasso | D |
| 8 | M. Longstaff | M |
| 22 | V. Loturi | M |
| 18 | H. Synchuk | M |
| 29 | O. Escobar | M |
| 16 | W. Carmona | M |
| 14 | D. Ríos | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | B. Ceballos | D |
| 21 | F. Herbers | F |
| 24 | E. Morales | D |
| 36 | Josh-Duc Nteziryayo | M |
| 7 | D. Pereira | M |
| 6 | S. Piette | M |
| 23 | N. Streit | M |
| 1 | S. Breza | G |
| 10 | A. Sánchez | F |