FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC Prediction
FT
TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
AI call
Too close to call
36%
26%
38%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC prediction: Sportiko gives FC Cincinnati a 36% chance of winning, Nashville SC 38% and the draw 26%. Last updated 7 Nov 2026, 23:08.
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Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
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Timeline
Obinna Nwobodo
Yellow Card
31'
▮
Evander
Yellow Card
41'
▮
Teenage Hadebe
⇄ Miles Robinson
45'
⇄
Samuel Gidi
Yellow Card
45+3'
▮
HT 0–0
⚽
0–1
61'
Sam Surridge
assist: Andy Najar
Kyle Smith
Yellow Card
65'
▮
Tom Barlow
⇄ Kenji Mboma Dem
66'
⇄
David Douděra
⇄ Ender Echenique
66'
⇄
⇄
74'
Cristian Espinoza
⇄ Shakur Mohammed
⇄
74'
Matthew Corcoran
⇄ Bryan Acosta
Kyle Smith
⇄ Ayoub Jabbari
81'
⇄
⇄
83'
Elias Saad
⇄ Alex Muyl
⇄
83'
Andy Najar
⇄ Josh Bauer
⚽
0–2
86'
Sam Surridge
assist: Patrick Yazbek
Obinna Nwobodo
⇄ J. Martínez
87'
⇄
Pavel Bucha
Yellow Card
88'
▮
▮
90'
Alex Muyl
Yellow Card
⇄
90'
Hany Mukhtar
⇄ Warren Madrigal
▮
90+6'
Maxwell Woledzi
Yellow Card
FT 0–2
FC Cincinnati
Match Stats
Nashville SC
49%
Ball Possession
51%
0.91
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
14
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots off Goal
3
5
Blocked Shots
6
7
Shots insidebox
11
7
Shots outsidebox
3
6
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
6
5
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
442
Total passes
477
359
Passes accurate
407
6
Free Kicks
13
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 David Douděra M | 6.9 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 11 Samuel Gidi D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 68 (61%) | – |
| 12 Miles Robinson D | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | – | 27 (26%) | 1 |
| 15 Teenage Hadebe D | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | 3 |
| 66 Ender Echenique F | 6.5 | 24' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | – |
| 29 Bryan Ramirez M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (43%) | 2 |
| 20 Pavel Bucha M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (35%) | – |
| 9 Kévin Denkey F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 25 (16%) | – |
| 10 Evander M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 34 (30%) | 1 |
| 17 Kenji Mboma Dem F | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 70 J. Martínez M | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 18 Roman Celentano G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | – |
| 5 Obinna Nwobodo M | 6.2 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 44 (36%) | 3 |
| 99 Ayoub Jabbari F | 6.1 | 9' | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| 16 Tom Barlow F | 6.1 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 24 Kyle Smith D | 5.4 | 81' | – | – | – | 36 (19%) | 2 |
Nashville SC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sam Surridge F | 9.0 | 90' | 2 | – | 5 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 99 Brian Schwake G | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (30%) | – |
| 31 Andy Najar D | 7.8 | 83' | – | 1 | 1 | 51 (41%) | 3 |
| 27 Reed Baker-Whiting D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (41%) | 2 |
| 8 Patrick Yazbek M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 47 (41%) | 7 |
| 5 Jack Maher D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 68 (64%) | – |
| 3 Maxwell Woledzi D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (55%) | – |
| 22 Josh Bauer D | 7.2 | 7' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 3 |
| 7 Cristian Espinoza M | 7.2 | 74' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 6 Bryan Acosta M | 7.0 | 16' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 3 |
| 16 Matthew Corcoran M | 6.9 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 47 (39%) | 2 |
| 14 Shakur Mohammed M | 6.8 | 16' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 11 Elias Saad M | 6.7 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 34 (27%) | 1 |
| 19 Alex Muyl M | 6.7 | 7' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 2 |
| 10 Hany Mukhtar M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 31 (24%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (38%)
At a glance
Our lean
Too close to call
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FC Cincinnati
LWDWW
Nashville SC
WWDWD
Last 1 meetings
FC Cincinnati · 0W 0D 1L
Live insights
87'
Goal
85% sure
Nashville SC now leads 0-2 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 10.1%.
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Nashville SC leads 0-1. Win probability: 82.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 17.6%.
62'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 0-1. Nashville SC win: 75.2%. BTTS: 38.6%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
36%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
38%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
FC Cincinnati
K. Denkey
17 gls
Nashville SC
S. Surridge
19 gls
H. Mukhtar
16 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC
0
FC Cincinnati Wins
0
Draws
1
Nashville SC Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Nashville SC | 4 - 0 | FC Cincinnati |
FC Cincinnati — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Nashville SC | L | 0 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Philadelphia Union | W | 1 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Inter Miami | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A DC United | W | 0 - 2 |
| 21 Oct | H DC United | W | 2 - 1 |
Nashville SC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A FC Cincinnati | W | 0 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H New York Red Bulls | W | 3 - 2 |
| 29 Oct | H Philadelphia Union | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A CF Montreal | W | 0 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | A San Jose Earthquakes | D | 1 - 1 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
FC Cincinnati
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
18
Celentano
11
Gidi
15
Hadebe
24
Smith
29
León
5
Nwobodo
20
Bucha
23
Douděra
10
Evander
16
Barlow
9
Denkey
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | R. Celentano | G |
| 24 | K. Smith | D |
| 15 | T. Hadebe | D |
| 11 | S. Gidi | D |
| 23 | D. Douděra | M |
| 20 | P. Bucha | M |
| 5 | O. Nwobodo | M |
| 29 | Bryan Josías Ramírez León | M |
| 10 | Evander | M |
| 9 | K. Denkey | F |
| 16 | T. Barlow | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | M. Robinson | D |
| 22 | G. Valenzuela | M |
| 27 | B. Anunga | M |
| 66 | E. Echenique | F |
| 99 | A. Jabbari | F |
| 13 | E. Louro | G |
| 70 | J. Martínez | M |
| 17 | K. Mboma Dem | F |
| 2 | A. Powell | D |
Nashville SC
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: B. Callaghan
99
Schwake
27
Baker-Whiting
5
Maher
3
Woledzi
31
Najar
16
Corcoran
8
Yazbek
11
Saad
10
Mukhtar
7
Espinoza
9
Surridge
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | B. Schwake | G |
| 31 | A. Najar | D |
| 3 | M. Woledzi | D |
| 5 | J. Maher | D |
| 27 | R. Baker-Whiting | D |
| 8 | P. Yazbek | M |
| 16 | M. Corcoran | M |
| 7 | C. Espinoza | M |
| 10 | H. Mukhtar | M |
| 11 | E. Saad | M |
| 9 | S. Surridge | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | J. Bauer | D |
| 2 | D. Lovitz | D |
| 41 | W. Madrigal | F |
| 14 | S. Mohammed | M |
| 19 | A. Muyl | M |
| 20 | E. Tagseth | M |
| 21 | T. Williams | D |
| 1 | J. Willis | G |
| 6 | B. Acosta | M |