Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction
FT
AT&T Stadium, Arlington
AI call
Difficult Nashville SC win or draw
63%
21%
16%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls prediction: Sportiko gives Nashville SC a 63% chance of winning, New York Red Bulls 16% and the draw 21%. Last updated 1 Nov 2026, 23:45.
Premium picks
Premium- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 74%
- Home 2H Over 0.5 76%
- Under 4.5 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
✗
19'
Cade Cowell
Missed Penalty
▮
25'
S. Kone
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
34'
Julian Hall
assist: Adri Mehmeti
⇄
39'
Cameron Harper
⇄ Rafael Mosquera
⚽
0–2
40'
Rafael Mosquera
assist: Cade Cowell
Tim Parker
Own Goal
45'
⚽
1–2
▮
45+2'
Jorge Ruvalcaba
Yellow Card
HT 1–2
⇄
59'
Cade Cowell
⇄ Mijahir Jiménez
Patrick Yazbek
⇄ Edvard Tagseth
67'
⇄
Matthew Corcoran
⇄ Bryan Acosta
67'
⇄
Julián Bazán
Own Goal
78'
⚽
2–2
Cristian Espinoza
Goal confirmed
78'
🖵
Elias Saad
⇄ Warren Madrigal
82'
⇄
⇄
89'
S. Kone
⇄ David Ruíz
⇄
89'
Rafael Mosquera
⇄ C. Faello
⇄
89'
Jorge Ruvalcaba
⇄ Emil Forsberg
Sam Surridge
assist: Cristian Espinoza
90+1'
⚽
3–2
Cristian Espinoza
⇄ Shakur Mohammed
90+3'
⇄
Andy Najar
⇄ Josh Bauer
90+3'
⇄
FT 3–2
Nashville SC
Match Stats
New York Red Bulls
62%
Ball Possession
38%
2.85
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
20
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
6
18
Shots insidebox
11
2
Shots outsidebox
3
11
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
0
5
Fouls
13
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
500
Total passes
313
428
Passes accurate
238
13
Free Kicks
4
Nashville SC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Cristian Espinoza F | 7.7 | 93' | – | 1 | 3 | 35 (25%) | – |
| 9 Sam Surridge F | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 7 | 9 (9%) | – |
| 3 Maxwell Woledzi D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 69 (67%) | 1 |
| 10 Hany Mukhtar F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (21%) | 2 |
| 99 Brian Schwake G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (34%) | – |
| 4 Jeisson Palacios D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 71 (65%) | 1 |
| 6 Bryan Acosta M | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 21 (17%) | 1 |
| 41 Warren Madrigal F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 16 Matthew Corcoran M | 6.4 | 67' | – | – | – | 49 (42%) | 1 |
| 31 Andy Najar D | 6.4 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 55 (45%) | – |
| 11 Elias Saad M | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 29 (27%) | 1 |
| 20 Edvard Tagseth M | 6.2 | 23' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | – |
| 27 Reed Baker-Whiting D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (42%) | – |
| 8 Patrick Yazbek M | 6.1 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 25 (20%) | 2 |
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Julian Hall F | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 7 Cade Cowell F | 7.4 | 59' | – | 1 | 2 | 17 (11%) | – |
| 79 Rafael Mosquera F | 7.3 | 50' | 1 | – | 2 | 11 (11%) | 1 |
| 15 Adri Mehmeti M | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 39 (31%) | 4 |
| 34 Ethan Horvath G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (16%) | – |
| 91 Mijahir Jiménez F | 6.3 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 8 (5%) | 2 |
| 17 Cameron Harper F | 6.3 | 39' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 60 S. Kone M | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 44 (40%) | 4 |
| 3 Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 4 |
| 59 Devin Padelford D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (17%) | – |
| 45 C. Faello D | 5.9 | 1' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 8 David Ruíz M | 5.8 | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 10 Emil Forsberg M | 5.8 | 1' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 11 Jorge Ruvalcaba M | 5.4 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 25 (18%) | 3 |
| 14 Julián Bazán D | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (25%) | 2 |
| 26 Tim Parker D | 5.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (28%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (63%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Nashville SC win or draw
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Nashville SC
WWDWD
New York Red Bulls
WLLWL
Last 1 meetings
Nashville SC · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
16%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Nashville SC
S. Surridge
21 gls
H. Mukhtar
16 gls
New York Red Bulls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls
1
Nashville SC Wins
0
Draws
0
New York Red Bulls Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | New York Red Bulls | 0 - 1 | Nashville SC |
Nashville SC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A FC Cincinnati | W | 0 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H New York Red Bulls | W | 3 - 2 |
| 29 Oct | H Philadelphia Union | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A CF Montreal | W | 0 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | A San Jose Earthquakes | D | 1 - 1 |
New York Red Bulls — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Atlanta United FC | W | 3 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A Nashville SC | L | 3 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | A New England Revolution | L | 3 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Inter Miami | W | 2 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Toronto FC | L | 0 - 2 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
New York Red Bulls
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Dean Brennan
34
Horvath
59
Padelford
14
Bazán
26
Parker
3
Marshall-Rutty
11
Ruvalcaba
60
Kone
15
Mehmeti
17
Harper
16
Hall
7
Cowell
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | E. Horvath | G |
| 3 | J. Marshall-Rutty | D |
| 26 | T. Parker | D |
| 14 | J. Bazán | D |
| 59 | D. Padelford | D |
| 15 | A. Mehmeti | M |
| 60 | S. Kone | M |
| 11 | J. Ruvalcaba | M |
| 7 | C. Cowell | F |
| 16 | J. Hall | F |
| 17 | C. Harper | F |
Substitutes
| 45 | C. Faello | D |
| 10 | E. Forsberg | M |
| 91 | M. Jimenez | F |
| 1 | A. Marcucci | G |
| 77 | J. McCarthy | G |
| 79 | R. Mosquera | F |
| 8 | D. Ruíz | M |
| 37 | M. Sofo | F |
| 56 | M. Dos Santos | D |
Nashville SC
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: B. Callaghan
99
Schwake
27
Baker-Whiting
3
Woledzi
4
Palacios
31
Najar
11
Saad
16
Corcoran
8
Yazbek
9
Surridge
10
Mukhtar
7
Espinoza
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | B. Schwake | G |
| 31 | A. Najar | D |
| 4 | J. Palacios | D |
| 3 | M. Woledzi | D |
| 27 | R. Baker-Whiting | D |
| 8 | P. Yazbek | M |
| 16 | M. Corcoran | M |
| 11 | E. Saad | M |
| 7 | C. Espinoza | F |
| 10 | H. Mukhtar | F |
| 9 | S. Surridge | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | J. Willis | G |
| 20 | E. Tagseth | M |
| 19 | A. Muyl | M |
| 14 | S. Mohammed | M |
| 5 | J. Maher | D |
| 41 | W. Madrigal | F |
| 2 | D. Lovitz | D |
| 22 | J. Bauer | D |
| 6 | B. Acosta | M |