Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30
FT
Post on X
Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, Kansas
AI call Real Salt Lake or draw
33%
25%
41%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake prediction: Sportiko gives Sporting Kansas City a 33% chance of winning, Real Salt Lake 41% and the draw 25%. Last updated 18 Oct 2026, 02:36.

Premium picks

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  • Under 4.5 76%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 11'
Morgan Guilavogui assist: Noel Caliskan
⚽ 0–2 14'
Sergi Solans
Taylor Calheira assist: André Luiz
26' ⚽ 1–2
▮ 45+1'
Luc De Fougerolles Yellow Card
HT 1–2
⚽ 1–3 61'
Morgan Guilavogui assist: Noel Caliskan
Stephen Afrifa ⇄ Capita
61' ⇄
Kwaku Agyabeng ⇄ Jacob Davis
62' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Dominik Marczuk ⇄ Zach Booth
▮ 72'
Juan Sanabria Yellow Card
Zorhan Bassong ⇄ Ian James
73' ⇄
Taylor Calheira ⇄ Seymour Garfield-Reid
73' ⇄
Calvin Harris Yellow Card
74' ▮
Jacob Bartlett Yellow Card
76' ▮
⇄ 77'
Saba Lobzhanidze ⇄ Aiden Hezarkhani
⇄ 77'
Sergi Solans ⇄ A. Piol
⇄ 85'
Luc De Fougerolles ⇄ Sam Junqua
⇄ 85'
Morgan Guilavogui ⇄ Alexandros Katranis
Calvin Harris ⇄ Ruben Ramos
87' ⇄
▮ 90+1'
Zach Booth Yellow Card
▮ 90+1'
Stijn Spierings Yellow Card
Jansen Miller Yellow Card
90+2' ▮
FT 1–3
Sporting Kansas City

Match Stats

Real Salt Lake
52% Ball Possession 48%
0.79 Expected Goals (xG) 1.05
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 8
3 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 9
1 Shots outsidebox 4
7 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
528 Total passes 517
466 Passes accurate 456
10 Free Kicks 13
Sporting Kansas City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Taylor Calheira F 7.6 73' 1 – 2 17 (9%) –
30 Stefan Cleveland G 7.0 90' – – – 22 (19%) –
22 Zorhan Bassong M 6.8 73' – – – 52 (47%) 2
18 Emir Karić D 6.6 90' – – – 76 (68%) 1
11 André Luiz M 6.6 90' – 1 2 31 (27%) –
29 Seymour Garfield-Reid F 6.5 17' – – – 4 (3%) –
20 Kwaku Agyabeng M 6.4 62' – – – 36 (33%) –
28 Wyatt Meyer D 6.4 90' – – 1 68 (64%) –
7 Capita F 6.3 29' – – – 10 (10%) –
24 Ruben Ramos F 6.3 3' – – – 4 (4%) –
17 Stephen Afrifa F 6.2 61' – – 1 16 (15%) 1
2 Ian James D 6.1 17' – – 1 14 (13%) –
16 Jacob Bartlett D 6.0 90' – – – 59 (53%) 1
15 Jansen Miller D 5.9 90' – – – 60 (54%) –
8 Jacob Davis M 5.7 28' – – – 31 (24%) –
14 Calvin Harris M 5.6 87' – – 1 26 (21%) –
Real Salt Lake
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Morgan Guilavogui M 9.1 85' 2 – 4 54 (45%) 3
92 Noel Caliskan M 8.6 90' – 2 – 62 (57%) 4
22 Sergi Solans F 8.0 77' 1 – 1 20 (16%) 1
8 Juan Sanabria D 7.3 90' – – 2 51 (47%) –
6 Stijn Spierings M 7.1 90' – – 1 69 (63%) 1
3 Kobi Henry D 6.9 90' – – 1 50 (44%) 4
11 Dominik Marczuk D 6.8 63' – – 1 25 (24%) 2
44 Luc De Fougerolles D 6.6 85' – – 1 54 (48%) 1
26 Philip Quinton D 6.6 90' – – – 60 (56%) 2
39 Aiden Hezarkhani F 6.5 13' – – – 8 (7%) 1
19 A. Piol F 6.4 13' – – – 4 (4%) –
29 Sam Junqua D 6.3 5' – – – – –
98 Alexandros Katranis D 6.3 5' – – – – –
12 Saba Lobzhanidze M 6.3 77' – – 2 16 (14%) –
23 Zach Booth M 6.1 27' – – – 14 (11%) 1
1 Rafael Cabral G 6.0 90' – – – 30 (20%) –
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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean
Real Salt Lake or draw
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Sporting Kansas City
WDLLL
Real Salt Lake
WLWWW
Last 3 meetings Sporting Kansas City · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
41%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Sporting Kansas City

No scorer data.

Real Salt Lake
S. Solans 14 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake

1 Sporting Kansas City Wins
1 Draws
1 Real Salt Lake Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Apr 2026 Real Salt Lake 3 - 1 Sporting Kansas City
07 Dec 2013 Sporting Kansas City 2 - 2 Real Salt Lake
21 Jul 2013 Real Salt Lake 1 - 2 Sporting Kansas City
See all 4 meetings — Premium

Sporting Kansas City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A San Diego W 0 - 1
31 Oct H FC Dallas D 1 - 1
29 Oct A Minnesota United FC L 3 - 1
25 Oct H Austin L 1 - 2
18 Oct H Real Salt Lake L 1 - 3

Real Salt Lake — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Los Angeles Galaxy W 2 - 1
31 Oct A San Jose Earthquakes L 2 - 1
29 Oct A Austin W 1 - 2
25 Oct H St. Louis City W 3 - 0
18 Oct A Sporting Kansas City W 1 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
34 23 8 3 +46 77
2
Inter Miami
34 16 12 6 +21 60
3
New England Revolution
34 18 4 12 +8 58
4
Chicago Fire
34 16 7 11 +10 55
5
Charlotte
34 15 9 10 +15 54
6
Philadelphia Union
34 14 8 12 +14 50
7
Columbus Crew
34 14 5 15 +7 47
8
Orlando City SC
34 13 7 14 -15 46
9
FC Cincinnati
34 12 10 12 -8 46
10
New York Red Bulls
34 12 6 16 -14 42
11
New York City FC
34 10 12 12 +4 42
12
Toronto FC
34 9 12 13 -15 39
13
Atlanta United FC
34 9 6 19 -17 33
14
DC United
34 7 12 15 -22 33
15
CF Montreal
34 6 8 20 -32 26

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
34 19 7 8 +40 64
2
FC Dallas
34 16 10 8 +11 58
3
St. Louis City
34 15 9 10 +11 54
4
San Jose Earthquakes
34 14 10 10 +6 52
5
Houston Dynamo
34 14 9 11 0 51
6
Los Angeles FC
34 12 11 11 +12 47
7
Portland Timbers
34 13 7 14 +1 46
8
Seattle Sounders
34 12 10 12 -2 46
9
Real Salt Lake
34 13 6 15 +1 45
10
Minnesota United FC
34 11 11 12 -2 44
11
Los Angeles Galaxy
34 11 11 12 -7 44
12
Colorado Rapids
34 12 7 15 -3 43
13
San Diego
34 9 11 14 -6 38
14
Austin
34 8 10 16 -23 34
15
Sporting Kansas City
34 7 5 22 -41 26

Real Salt Lake

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: P. Mastroeni
1 Cabral
8 Sanabria
26 Quinton
44 Fougerolles
3 Henry
11 Marczuk
12 Lobzhanidze
92 Caliskan
6 Spierings
9 Guilavogui
22 Solans

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Rafael Cabral G
11 D. Marczuk D
3 K. Henry D
44 L. De Fougerolles D
26 P. Quinton D
8 J. Sanabria D
9 M. Guilavogui M
6 S. Spierings M
92 N. Caliskan M
12 S. Lobzhanidze M
22 S. Solans F

Substitutes

25 Colin Guske M
39 A. Hezarkhani F
29 S. Junqua D
98 A. Katránis D
19 A. Piol F
31 M. Stajduhar G
2 D. Yedlin D
23 Chadwick Zachary Booth M
28 Dušan Žagar M

Sporting Kansas City

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: R. Wicky
30 Cleveland
18 Karić
28 Meyer
15 Miller
16 Bartlett
14 Harris
22 Bassong
20 Agyabeng
11 Luiz
17 Afrifa
19 Calheira

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 S. Cleveland G
16 J. Bartlett D
15 Jansen Miller D
28 Wyatt Meyer D
18 E. Karić D
11 André Luiz M
20 K. Agyabeng M
22 Z. Bassong M
14 C. Harris M
19 T. Calheira F
17 S. Afrifa F

Substitutes

93 M. Suleymanov F
8 J. Davis M
7 Capita F
23 E. Bartlow D
29 S. Reid F
2 I. James D
1 J. Pulskamp G
24 R. Ramos F
99 J. Reid D

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