Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami Prediction
FT
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
AI call
Inter Miami or draw
28%
23%
49%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami prediction: Sportiko gives Atlanta United FC a 28% chance of winning, Inter Miami 49% and the draw 23%. Last updated 18 Oct 2026, 01:41.
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- Away 2H Over 0.5 70%
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Timeline
Tomás Jacob
Yellow Card
44'
▮
⚽
0–1
45'
Germán Berterame
assist: Luis Suárez
HT 0–1
Mauricio Amaro
Yellow Card
54'
▮
⚽
0–2
56'
Lionel Messi
assist: Germán Berterame
⚽
0–3
60'
Lionel Messi
assist: Luis Suárez
Tristan Muyumba
⇄ Steven Alzate
61'
⇄
Breel Embolo
Yellow Card
71'
▮
🖵
71'
Luis Suárez
Penalty cancelled
⇄
75'
Casemiro
⇄ Maximiliano Falcón
⇄
81'
Matías Galarza
⇄ Telasco Segovia
⇄
81'
Germán Berterame
⇄ Facundo Mura
Giuliano Galoppo
⇄ Cooper Sanchez
81'
⇄
Miguel Almirón
⇄ Fafà Picault
82'
⇄
Elías Báez
⇄ Matthew Edwards
82'
⇄
▮
89'
Maximiliano Falcón
Yellow Card
Fafà Picault
Penalty
89'
⚽
1–3
▮
90+6'
Lionel Messi
Yellow Card
FT 1–3
Atlanta United FC
Match Stats
Inter Miami
44%
Ball Possession
56%
2.3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
20
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Goal
5
10
Shots off Goal
1
7
Blocked Shots
1
10
Shots insidebox
5
10
Shots outsidebox
2
5
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
3
8
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
429
Total passes
565
379
Passes accurate
505
11
Free Kicks
7
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Fafà Picault F | 7.4 | 8' | 1 | – | 1 | 14 (11%) | – |
| 8 Tristan Muyumba M | 6.7 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 30 (27%) | – |
| 27 Paulo Díaz D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (41%) | 2 |
| 59 Aleksey Miranchuk F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 46 (39%) | 4 |
| 36 Breel Embolo F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 15 (14%) | 1 |
| 55 Tomás Jacob D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 34 (32%) | 1 |
| 10 Miguel Almirón F | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | 3 | 23 (17%) | – |
| 11 Giuliano Galoppo M | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 23 (20%) | 1 |
| 6 Junior Alonso D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (35%) | 2 |
| 14 Mauricio Amaro M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (44%) | 1 |
| 47 Matthew Edwards D | 6.0 | 8' | – | – | 1 | 10 (10%) | – |
| 7 Steven Alzate M | 6.0 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 26 (20%) | 1 |
| 3 Elías Báez D | 5.9 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 38 (36%) | 1 |
| 1 Lucas Hoyos G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | – |
| 48 Cooper Sanchez M | 5.8 | 9' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
Inter Miami
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Lionel Messi F | 9.1 | 90' | 2 | – | 5 | 44 (37%) | – |
| 19 Germán Berterame F | 8.5 | 81' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 (22%) | – |
| 9 Luis Suárez F | 7.4 | 90' | – | 2 | – | 28 (23%) | – |
| 5 Casemiro D | 7.3 | 75' | – | – | – | 62 (59%) | – |
| 2 Gonzalo Luján D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | 3 |
| 22 David Ayala M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 74 (71%) | 1 |
| 16 Micael D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 90 (83%) | 1 |
| 7 Rodrigo De Paul M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (59%) | – |
| 97 Dayne St. Clair G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | – |
| 4 Facundo Mura D | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 3 Sergio Reguilón D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (44%) | – |
| 8 Telasco Segovia M | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 80 Matías Galarza M | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | 2 |
| 37 Maximiliano Falcón D | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (49%)
At a glance
Our lean
Inter Miami or draw
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Atlanta United FC
LWLLL
Inter Miami
DWDLW
Last 1 meetings
Atlanta United FC · 0W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
49%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Atlanta United FC
No scorer data.
Inter Miami
L. Messi
26 gls
L. Suárez
16 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami
0
Atlanta United FC Wins
1
Draws
0
Inter Miami Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep 2026 | Inter Miami | 2 - 2 | Atlanta United FC |
Atlanta United FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A New York Red Bulls | L | 3 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | H Toronto FC | W | 3 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A New York City FC | L | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Chicago Fire | L | 2 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | H Inter Miami | L | 1 - 3 |
Inter Miami — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Charlotte | D | 3 - 3 |
| 02 Nov | A New England Revolution | W | 1 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | H FC Cincinnati | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A New York Red Bulls | L | 2 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Atlanta United FC | W | 1 - 3 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Inter Miami
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Byron Webster
97
Clair
3
Reguilón
16
Micael
5
Casemiro
2
Luján
80
Galarza
22
Ayala
7
Paul
19
Berterame
9
Suárez
10
Messi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 97 | D. St. Clair | G |
| 2 | G. Luján | D |
| 5 | Casemiro | D |
| 16 | Micael | D |
| 3 | Reguilón | D |
| 7 | R. De Paul | M |
| 22 | D. Ayala | M |
| 80 | M. Galarza | M |
| 10 | L. Messi | F |
| 9 | L. Suárez | F |
| 19 | G. Berterame | F |
Substitutes
| 37 | M. Falcón | D |
| 17 | I. Fray | D |
| 20 | S. Morales | M |
| 4 | F. Mura | D |
| 56 | Daniel Pinter | F |
| 34 | R. Ríos Novo | G |
| 11 | Riquelme Fillipi | F |
| 8 | T. Segovia | M |
| 88 | A. Shaw | M |
Atlanta United FC
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: G. Martino
1
Hoyos
3
Báez
6
Alonso
27
Díaz
55
Jacob
11
Galoppo
14
Amaro
8
Muyumba
10
Almirón
36
Embolo
59
Miranchuk
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Hoyos | G |
| 55 | T. Jacob | D |
| 27 | P. Díaz | D |
| 6 | J. Alonso | D |
| 3 | E. Báez | D |
| 8 | T. Muyumba | M |
| 14 | M. Amaro | M |
| 11 | G. Galoppo | M |
| 59 | A. Miranchuk | F |
| 36 | B. Embolo | F |
| 10 | M. Almirón | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | S. Alzate | M |
| 20 | L. Brennan | M |
| 47 | Matthew Edwards | D |
| 35 | A. Fortune | M |
| 42 | Jayden Hibbert | G |
| 4 | E. Mihaj | D |
| 22 | F. Picault | F |
| 48 | C. Sanchez | M |
| 19 | Sergio Santos | F |