Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction
FT
America First Field, Sandy, Utah
AI call
Real Salt Lake or draw
48%
25%
27%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction: Sportiko gives Real Salt Lake a 48% chance of winning, San Jose Earthquakes 27% and the draw 25%. Last updated 15 Oct 2026, 03:34.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 76%
- Under 4.5 76%
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Timeline
⇄
45'
Paul Marie
⇄ Eduard Löwen
HT 0–0
Dominik Marczuk
⇄ Zach Booth
57'
⇄
⇄
59'
Nick Fernandez
⇄ Timo Werner
⇄
59'
Beau Leroux
⇄ Jack Jasinski
⇄
68'
Jamar Ricketts
⇄ Vitor Costa
Sergi Solans
⇄ A. Piol
74'
⇄
Saba Lobzhanidze
⇄ Aiden Hezarkhani
74'
⇄
Luc De Fougerolles
assist: Juan Sanabria
79'
⚽
1–0
Luc De Fougerolles
⇄ DeAndre Yedlin
82'
⇄
⇄
83'
Max Floriani
⇄ Luka Jovanovic
A. Piol
Yellow Card
90+1'
▮
⚽
1–1
90+4'
Jack Jasinski
FT 1–1
Real Salt Lake
Match Stats
San Jose Earthquakes
51%
Ball Possession
49%
1.96
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
22
Total Shots
16
8
Shots on Goal
2
9
Shots off Goal
4
5
Blocked Shots
10
13
Shots insidebox
11
9
Shots outsidebox
5
5
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
485
Total passes
466
414
Passes accurate
371
9
Free Kicks
11
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Luc De Fougerolles D | 7.8 | 82' | 1 | – | 2 | 47 (36%) | 2 |
| 8 Juan Sanabria M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 51 (43%) | – |
| 26 Philip Quinton D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 35 (32%) | – |
| 92 Noel Caliskan M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 76 (71%) | – |
| 9 Morgan Guilavogui M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 55 (48%) | 2 |
| 6 Stijn Spierings M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 75 (67%) | – |
| 23 Zach Booth M | 6.8 | 33' | – | – | 2 | 10 (8%) | 2 |
| 39 Aiden Hezarkhani F | 6.8 | 16' | – | – | 2 | 8 (8%) | – |
| 1 Rafael Cabral G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | – |
| 2 DeAndre Yedlin D | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 3 Kobi Henry D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 43 (35%) | 1 |
| 22 Sergi Solans F | 6.4 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 15 (9%) | – |
| 11 Dominik Marczuk M | 6.4 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 17 (12%) | – |
| 12 Saba Lobzhanidze M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | 3 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 19 A. Piol F | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jack Jasinski D | 8.1 | 31' | 1 | – | 1 | 8 (4%) | – |
| 1 Angus Gunn G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (15%) | – |
| 11 Timo Werner F | 7.2 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | – |
| 25 Max Floriani D | 7.2 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 45 (39%) | 1 |
| 23 Eduard Löwen M | 7.1 | 44' | – | – | – | 38 (36%) | – |
| 3 Paul Marie D | 7.1 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 17 (12%) | – |
| 18 Reid Roberts D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 49 (45%) | 2 |
| 4 Dave Romney D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (51%) | – |
| 6 Ian Harkes M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (54%) | – |
| 34 Beau Leroux M | 6.6 | 59' | – | – | 3 | 30 (20%) | 1 |
| 9 Luka Jovanovic F | 6.5 | 7' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 87 Vitor Costa D | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 7 Ousseni Bouda F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 33 (29%) | 2 |
| 19 Preston Judd F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 14 (7%) | – |
| 2 Jamar Ricketts D | 6.2 | 68' | – | – | 2 | 22 (14%) | – |
| 20 Nick Fernandez M | 5.7 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 31 (21%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (48%)
At a glance
Our lean
Real Salt Lake or draw
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Real Salt Lake
WLWWW
San Jose Earthquakes
LWDLD
Last 3 meetings
Real Salt Lake · 0W 1D 2L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
48%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
27%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Real Salt Lake
S. Solans
14 gls
San Jose Earthquakes
P. Judd
16 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes
0
Real Salt Lake Wins
1
Draws
2
San Jose Earthquakes Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 - 1 | Real Salt Lake |
| 16 Mar 2014 | San Jose Earthquakes | 3 - 3 | Real Salt Lake |
| 21 Sep 2013 | Real Salt Lake | 1 - 2 | San Jose Earthquakes |
Real Salt Lake — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Los Angeles Galaxy | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A San Jose Earthquakes | L | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Austin | W | 1 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H St. Louis City | W | 3 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Sporting Kansas City | W | 1 - 3 |
San Jose Earthquakes — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Minnesota United FC | L | 3 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Real Salt Lake | W | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | H Colorado Rapids | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A FC Dallas | L | 3 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H Nashville SC | D | 1 - 1 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
San Jose Earthquakes
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: B. Arena
1
Gunn
2
Ricketts
18
Roberts
4
Romney
25
Floriani
3
Marie
34
Leroux
20
Fernandez
6
Harkes
7
Bouda
19
Judd
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Gunn | G |
| 3 | P. Marie | D |
| 25 | M. Floriani | D |
| 4 | D. Romney | D |
| 18 | R. Roberts | D |
| 2 | J. Ricketts | D |
| 6 | I. Harkes | M |
| 20 | N. Fernandez | M |
| 34 | Beau Leroux | M |
| 19 | P. Judd | F |
| 7 | O. Bouda | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | R. Vieira | M |
| 23 | E. Löwen | M |
| 9 | L. Jovanović | F |
| 17 | Jack Jasinski | D |
| 36 | E. Edwards | G |
| 87 | Vítor Costa | D |
| 21 | N. Buck | M |
| 11 | T. Werner | F |
| 5 | D. Munie | D |
Real Salt Lake
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Mastroeni
1
Cabral
3
Henry
26
Quinton
44
Fougerolles
8
Sanabria
6
Spierings
92
Caliskan
11
Marczuk
12
Lobzhanidze
9
Guilavogui
22
Solans
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Cabral | G |
| 44 | L. De Fougerolles | D |
| 26 | P. Quinton | D |
| 3 | K. Henry | D |
| 11 | D. Marczuk | M |
| 92 | N. Caliskan | M |
| 6 | S. Spierings | M |
| 8 | J. Sanabria | M |
| 9 | M. Guilavogui | M |
| 12 | S. Lobzhanidze | M |
| 22 | S. Solans | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | Chadwick Zachary Booth | M |
| 25 | Colin Guske | M |
| 39 | A. Hezarkhani | F |
| 29 | S. Junqua | D |
| 98 | A. Katránis | D |
| 34 | L. Moisa | M |
| 19 | A. Piol | F |
| 31 | M. Stajduhar | G |
| 2 | D. Yedlin | D |