Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction
FT
AT&T Stadium, Arlington
AI call
Nashville SC to win or draw
77%
15%
8%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction: Sportiko gives Nashville SC a 77% chance of winning, Sporting Kansas City 8% and the draw 15%. Last updated 15 Oct 2026, 02:36.
Premium picks
Premium- Home 1H Over 0.5 75%
- Over 2.5 Goals 73%
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Timeline
Hany Mukhtar
assist: Andy Najar
10'
⚽
1–0
Sam Surridge
assist: Hany Mukhtar
17'
⚽
2–0
Andy Najar
assist: Cristian Espinoza
29'
⚽
3–0
⇄
45'
Zorhan Bassong
⇄ Jacob Bartlett
⇄
45'
André Luiz
⇄ Calvin Harris
HT 3–0
⇄
53'
Seymour Garfield-Reid
⇄ Taylor Calheira
Sam Surridge
Goal cancelled
65'
🖵
Andy Najar
⇄ Daniel Lovitz
68'
⇄
Cristian Espinoza
⇄ Shakur Mohammed
68'
⇄
⇄
69'
Ian James
⇄ Jacob Davis
Matthew Corcoran
⇄ Bryan Acosta
76'
⇄
Hany Mukhtar
⇄ Warren Madrigal
76'
⇄
⇄
81'
Jayden Reid
⇄ Emir Karić
Sam Surridge
⇄ Alex Muyl
83'
⇄
Warren Madrigal
Penalty confirmed
90+3'
🖵
Warren Madrigal
Penalty
90+5'
⚽
4–0
FT 4–0
Nashville SC
Match Stats
Sporting Kansas City
49%
Ball Possession
51%
3.02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
18
Total Shots
8
11
Shots on Goal
1
2
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
2
16
Shots insidebox
6
2
Shots outsidebox
2
7
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
374
Total passes
380
324
Passes accurate
329
8
Free Kicks
12
Nashville SC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Hany Mukhtar M | 9.0 | 76' | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 (21%) | 2 |
| 31 Andy Najar D | 8.8 | 68' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 (22%) | 2 |
| 9 Sam Surridge F | 7.9 | 83' | 1 | – | 5 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 4 Jeisson Palacios D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (60%) | 3 |
| 7 Cristian Espinoza M | 7.7 | 68' | – | 1 | 2 | 22 (17%) | 2 |
| 3 Maxwell Woledzi D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (48%) | – |
| 11 Elias Saad M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (19%) | 4 |
| 2 Daniel Lovitz D | 7.1 | 22' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 16 Matthew Corcoran M | 7.1 | 76' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | 4 |
| 27 Reed Baker-Whiting D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (25%) | 1 |
| 99 Brian Schwake G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | – |
| 6 Bryan Acosta M | 6.9 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 19 Alex Muyl M | 6.9 | 7' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 20 Edvard Tagseth M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (35%) | 3 |
| 14 Shakur Mohammed M | 6.7 | 22' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 41 Warren Madrigal F | 6.4 | 14' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
Sporting Kansas City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Stefan Cleveland G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | – |
| 24 Ruben Ramos F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (19%) | – |
| 20 Kwaku Agyabeng M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (40%) | 3 |
| 28 Wyatt Meyer D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (49%) | 1 |
| 14 Calvin Harris F | 6.4 | 44' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 19 Taylor Calheira F | 6.4 | 37' | – | – | 2 | 4 (2%) | 2 |
| 99 Jayden Reid D | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 49 (45%) | 1 |
| 2 Ian James D | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | – |
| 22 Zorhan Bassong M | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 15 Jansen Miller D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | – |
| 29 Seymour Garfield-Reid F | 6.1 | 53' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 16 Jacob Bartlett D | 6.0 | 44' | – | – | – | 17 (17%) | – |
| 93 Shapi Suleymanov M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (26%) | – |
| 18 Emir Karić D | 5.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 8 Jacob Davis M | 5.8 | 21' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 11 André Luiz M | 5.8 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | 1 |
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Confidence
High (77%)
At a glance
Our lean
Nashville SC to win or draw
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Nashville SC
WWDWD
Sporting Kansas City
WDLLL
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
77%
45%
Draw
15%
45%
Away
8%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Nashville SC
S. Surridge
19 gls
H. Mukhtar
16 gls
Sporting Kansas City
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Nashville SC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A FC Cincinnati | W | 0 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H New York Red Bulls | W | 3 - 2 |
| 29 Oct | H Philadelphia Union | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A CF Montreal | W | 0 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | A San Jose Earthquakes | D | 1 - 1 |
Sporting Kansas City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A San Diego | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H FC Dallas | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Minnesota United FC | L | 3 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Austin | L | 1 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H Real Salt Lake | L | 1 - 3 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Sporting Kansas City
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: R. Wicky
30
Cleveland
99
Reid
28
Meyer
15
Miller
2
James
93
Suleymanov
20
Agyabeng
22
Bassong
11
Luiz
29
Reid
24
Ramos
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | S. Cleveland | G |
| 2 | I. James | D |
| 15 | Jansen Miller | D |
| 28 | Wyatt Meyer | D |
| 99 | J. Reid | D |
| 11 | André Luiz | M |
| 22 | Z. Bassong | M |
| 20 | K. Agyabeng | M |
| 93 | M. Suleymanov | M |
| 24 | R. Ramos | F |
| 29 | S. Reid | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | E. Bartlow | D |
| 16 | J. Bartlett | D |
| 17 | S. Afrifa | F |
| 1 | J. Pulskamp | G |
| 7 | Capita | F |
| 8 | J. Davis | M |
| 14 | C. Harris | F |
| 18 | E. Karić | D |
| 19 | T. Calheira | F |
Nashville SC
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: B. Callaghan
99
Schwake
27
Baker-Whiting
3
Woledzi
4
Palacios
31
Najar
16
Corcoran
20
Tagseth
11
Saad
10
Mukhtar
7
Espinoza
9
Surridge
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | B. Schwake | G |
| 31 | A. Najar | D |
| 4 | J. Palacios | D |
| 3 | M. Woledzi | D |
| 27 | R. Baker-Whiting | D |
| 20 | E. Tagseth | M |
| 16 | M. Corcoran | M |
| 7 | C. Espinoza | M |
| 10 | H. Mukhtar | M |
| 11 | E. Saad | M |
| 9 | S. Surridge | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | P. Yazbek | M |
| 6 | B. Acosta | M |
| 22 | J. Bauer | D |
| 2 | D. Lovitz | D |
| 41 | W. Madrigal | F |
| 5 | J. Maher | D |
| 14 | S. Mohammed | M |
| 19 | A. Muyl | M |
| 1 | J. Willis | G |