Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction
FT
Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
AI call
Too close to call
39%
25%
36%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union prediction: Sportiko gives Chicago Fire a 39% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union 36% and the draw 25%. Last updated 15 Oct 2026, 02:38.
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- 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
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Timeline
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
Yellow Card
34'
▮
Jack Elliott
Yellow Card
41'
▮
Maren Haile-Selassie
assist: Noah Allen
44'
⚽
1–0
Jonathan Bamba
⇄ Andreas Hanche-Olsen
45'
⇄
Jack Elliott
Red Card
45+1'
▮
HT 1–0
⚽
1–1
49'
Milan Iloski
assist: Bruno Damiani
⚽
1–2
55'
Bruno Damiani
assist: Cavan Sullivan
⇄
57'
Jesus Bueno
⇄ Indiana Vassilev
⚽
1–3
67'
Bruno Damiani
assist: Jovan Lukić
Robert Lewandowski
⇄ Philip Zinckernagel
68'
⇄
Johan Gomez
⇄ Puso Dithejane
68'
⇄
Jonathan Dean
⇄ Leonardo Barroso
68'
⇄
Anton Salétros
⇄ Sergio Oregel
72'
⇄
⇄
80'
Bruno Damiani
⇄ Ezekiel Alladoh
⇄
80'
Cavan Sullivan
⇄ Ben Bender
▮
85'
Indiana Vassilev
Yellow Card
Philip Zinckernagel
Yellow Card
88'
▮
⇄
90+2'
Quinn Sullivan
⇄ Japhet Sery Larsen
⇄
90+2'
Milan Iloski
⇄ Malik Jakupovic
▮
90+3'
Neil Pierre
Yellow Card
FT 1–3
Chicago Fire
Match Stats
Philadelphia Union
49%
Ball Possession
51%
0.82
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
8
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Goal
8
2
Shots off Goal
6
2
Blocked Shots
5
5
Shots insidebox
13
3
Shots outsidebox
6
2
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
400
Total passes
409
297
Passes accurate
303
14
Free Kicks
12
Chicago Fire
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Maren Haile-Selassie F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 23 (16%) | 1 |
| 32 Noah Allen D | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 40 (32%) | 1 |
| 12 Puso Dithejane F | 6.7 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 9 Robert Lewandowski F | 6.5 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 16 (12%) | – |
| 11 Philip Zinckernagel F | 6.4 | 22' | – | – | 2 | 8 (4%) | 1 |
| 22 Mauricio Pineda M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (46%) | 1 |
| 19 Jonathan Bamba M | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 24 Jonathan Dean D | 6.1 | 68' | – | – | – | 20 (15%) | – |
| 21 Andreas Hanche-Olsen D | 6.1 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 37 (26%) | 1 |
| 1 Chris Brady G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (17%) | – |
| 2 Leonardo Barroso D | 6.0 | 22' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 6 Anton Salétros M | 5.9 | 72' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | – |
| 35 Sergio Oregel M | 5.9 | 18' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 18 Johan Gomez M | 5.8 | 68' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 4 Mbekezeli Mbokazi D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (45%) | – |
| 3 Jack Elliott D | 4.9 | 46' | – | – | – | 24 (17%) | – |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Bruno Damiani F | 9.4 | 80' | 2 | 1 | 3 | 27 (20%) | 1 |
| 10 Milan Iloski F | 8.2 | 92' | 1 | – | 5 | 33 (26%) | – |
| 4 Jovan Lukić M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 45 (38%) | 3 |
| 6 Cavan Sullivan M | 7.2 | 80' | – | 1 | 4 | 28 (21%) | – |
| 26 Nathan Harriel D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (39%) | – |
| 33 Quinn Sullivan M | 6.7 | 92' | – | – | 2 | 46 (33%) | 1 |
| 18 Andre Blake G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (16%) | – |
| 27 Kai Wagner D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (36%) | 1 |
| 39 Frankie Westfield D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 34 (20%) | 1 |
| 23 Ezekiel Alladoh F | 6.4 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 16 Ben Bender M | 6.2 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 19 Indiana Vassilev M | 6.1 | 33' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | – |
| 44 Neil Pierre D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (21%) | 1 |
| 8 Jesus Bueno M | 6.0 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 20 (13%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (39%)
At a glance
Our lean
Too close to call
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Chicago Fire
LWDWL
Philadelphia Union
WLDLD
Last 3 meetings
Chicago Fire · 2W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
36%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Chicago Fire
No scorer data.
Philadelphia Union
M. Iloski
19 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
2
Chicago Fire Wins
0
Draws
1
Philadelphia Union Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Philadelphia Union | 1 - 2 | Chicago Fire |
| 03 Aug 2013 | Philadelphia Union | 1 - 2 | Chicago Fire |
| 18 May 2013 | Philadelphia Union | 1 - 0 | Chicago Fire |
Chicago Fire — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Columbus Crew | L | 3 - 4 |
| 01 Nov | A Colorado Rapids | W | 2 - 4 |
| 29 Oct | H Orlando City SC | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Atlanta United FC | W | 2 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | A New England Revolution | L | 1 - 0 |
Philadelphia Union — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Toronto FC | W | 4 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A FC Cincinnati | L | 1 - 0 |
| 29 Oct | A Nashville SC | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H New England Revolution | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Charlotte | D | 2 - 2 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Philadelphia Union
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Milos Milojevic
18
Blake
27
Wagner
26
Harriel
44
Pierre
39
Westfield
33
Sullivan
4
Lukić
8
Bueno
6
Sullivan
9
Damiani
10
Iloski
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | A. Blake | G |
| 39 | F. Westfield | D |
| 44 | Neil Pierre | D |
| 26 | N. Harriel | D |
| 27 | K. Wagner | D |
| 6 | Cavan Sullivan | M |
| 8 | J. Bueno | M |
| 4 | J. Lukić | M |
| 33 | Q. Sullivan | M |
| 10 | M. Iloski | F |
| 9 | B. Damiani | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | B. Bender | M |
| 11 | A. Bedoya | M |
| 23 | E. Alladoh | F |
| 19 | I. Vassilev | M |
| 51 | M. Jakupovic | F |
| 2 | G. Martínez | D |
| 14 | J. Rafanello | M |
| 76 | A. Rick | G |
| 5 | J. Sery Larsen | D |
Chicago Fire
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: G. Berhalter
1
Brady
32
Allen
4
Mbokazi
3
Elliott
24
Dean
19
Bamba
22
Pineda
6
Salétros
18
Gómez
7
Haile-Selassie
9
Lewandowski
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Brady | G |
| 24 | J. Dean | D |
| 3 | J. Elliott | D |
| 4 | M. Mbokazi | D |
| 32 | N. Allen | D |
| 18 | J. Gómez | M |
| 6 | A. Salétros | M |
| 22 | M. Pineda | M |
| 19 | J. Bamba | M |
| 9 | R. Lewandowski | F |
| 7 | M. Haile-Selassie | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | A. Gutman | D |
| 25 | J. Gal | G |
| 11 | P. Zinckernagel | F |
| 12 | P. Dithejane | F |
| 44 | J. Cohen | G |
| 2 | Leonardo Barroso | D |
| 21 | A. Hanche-Olsen | D |
| 35 | S. Oregel | M |
| 29 | D. Poręba | M |