Inter Miami vs New York City FC Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult Inter Miami win or draw
61%
22%
18%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Inter Miami vs New York City FC prediction: Sportiko gives Inter Miami a 61% chance of winning, New York City FC 18% and the draw 22%. Last updated 15 Oct 2026, 01:41.
Premium picks
Premium- Under 4.5 75%
- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 72%
- Home 2H Over 0.5 71%
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Timeline
Germán Berterame
assist: Luis Suárez
20'
⚽
1–0
Rodrigo De Paul
assist: Lionel Messi
45+5'
⚽
2–0
HT 2–0
Matías Galarza
Yellow Card
52'
▮
⇄
58'
A. Martínez
⇄ Hannes Wolf
⇄
58'
Nico Cavallo
⇄ Kevin O'Toole
Matías Galarza
⇄ Telasco Segovia
65'
⇄
⇄
65'
Bénie Traoré
⇄ Luighi Hanri
Sergio Reguilón
⇄ Fricio Caicedo
74'
⇄
Germán Berterame
⇄ Riquelme Fillipi
75'
⇄
Riquelme Fillipi
Yellow Card
85'
▮
⇄
85'
Agustin Ojeda
⇄ Malachi Jones
⇄
85'
Aiden O'Neill
⇄ Talles Magno
David Ayala
⇄ Ian Fray
90'
⇄
✗
90+7'
Nicolás Fernández
Missed Penalty
FT 2–0
Inter Miami
Match Stats
New York City FC
57%
Ball Possession
43%
1.93
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
13
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
6
9
Shots insidebox
4
4
Shots outsidebox
10
3
Corner Kicks
5
14
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
661
Total passes
486
600
Passes accurate
436
8
Free Kicks
14
Inter Miami
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Rodrigo De Paul M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 72 (67%) | – |
| 5 Casemiro D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 78 (74%) | 2 |
| 97 Dayne St. Clair G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (36%) | – |
| 2 Gonzalo Luján D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (32%) | 1 |
| 19 Germán Berterame F | 7.8 | 75' | 1 | – | 1 | 24 (17%) | 1 |
| 10 Lionel Messi F | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 5 | 46 (37%) | – |
| 16 Micael D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 90 (84%) | 3 |
| 9 Luis Suárez F | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 45 (38%) | – |
| 8 Telasco Segovia M | 7.2 | 25' | – | – | – | 20 (20%) | – |
| 22 David Ayala M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 104 (99%) | 4 |
| 3 Sergio Reguilón D | 7.0 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 29 (23%) | – |
| 15 Fricio Caicedo D | 7.0 | 16' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 2 |
| 80 Matías Galarza M | 6.9 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 68 (62%) | – |
| 11 Riquelme Fillipi F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
New York City FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nicolás Fernández M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 54 (51%) | 1 |
| 24 Tayvon Gray D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | – |
| 49 Matthew Freese G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 9 (4%) | – |
| 9 Bénie Traoré M | 6.8 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 21 (17%) | – |
| 6 James Sands D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (53%) | – |
| 21 Aiden O'Neill M | 6.6 | 85' | – | – | 3 | 56 (51%) | 1 |
| 8 Andrés Perea M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (58%) | 1 |
| 13 Thiago Martins D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (32%) | – |
| 22 Kevin O'Toole D | 6.5 | 32' | – | – | – | 20 (20%) | – |
| 11 Talles Magno F | 6.4 | 5' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 20 Luighi Hanri F | 6.4 | 25' | – | – | 2 | 7 (7%) | – |
| 88 Malachi Jones F | 6.3 | 5' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 17 Hannes Wolf F | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 2 Nico Cavallo D | 6.2 | 58' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | – |
| 26 Agustin Ojeda M | 6.1 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 38 (29%) | 3 |
| 16 A. Martínez F | 6.0 | 58' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (61%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Inter Miami win or draw
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Inter Miami
DWDLW
New York City FC
WDWDD
Last 1 meetings
Inter Miami · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
61%
45%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
18%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Inter Miami
L. Messi
26 gls
L. Suárez
16 gls
New York City FC
N. Fernández Mercau
16 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Inter Miami vs New York City FC
1
Inter Miami Wins
0
Draws
0
New York City FC Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | New York City FC | 2 - 3 | Inter Miami |
Inter Miami — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Charlotte | D | 3 - 3 |
| 02 Nov | A New England Revolution | W | 1 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | H FC Cincinnati | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A New York Red Bulls | L | 2 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Atlanta United FC | W | 1 - 3 |
New York City FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A DC United | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H CF Montreal | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Atlanta United FC | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Orlando City SC | D | 2 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Los Angeles FC | D | 1 - 1 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Inter Miami
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Dean Brennan
97
Clair
3
Reguilón
16
Micael
5
Casemiro
2
Luján
80
Galarza
22
Ayala
7
Paul
19
Berterame
9
Suárez
10
Messi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 97 | D. St. Clair | G |
| 2 | G. Luján | D |
| 5 | Casemiro | D |
| 16 | Micael | D |
| 3 | Reguilón | D |
| 7 | R. De Paul | M |
| 22 | D. Ayala | M |
| 80 | M. Galarza | M |
| 10 | L. Messi | F |
| 9 | L. Suárez | F |
| 19 | G. Berterame | F |
Substitutes
| 37 | M. Falcón | D |
| 17 | I. Fray | D |
| 56 | Daniel Pinter | F |
| 34 | R. Ríos Novo | G |
| 11 | Riquelme Fillipi | F |
| 8 | T. Segovia | M |
| 88 | A. Shaw | M |
| 15 | F. Caicedo | D |
| 20 | S. Morales | M |
New York City FC
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: P. Jansen
49
Freese
2
Cavallo
6
Sands
13
Martins
24
Gray
8
Perea
21
O'Neill
9
Traoré
7
Mercau
26
Ojeda
16
Martínez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | M. Freese | G |
| 24 | T. Gray | D |
| 13 | Thiago Martins | D |
| 6 | J. Sands | D |
| 2 | Nico Cavallo | D |
| 21 | A. O'Neill | M |
| 8 | A. Perea | M |
| 26 | A. Ojeda | M |
| 7 | N. Fernández Mercau | M |
| 9 | B. Traoré | M |
| 16 | A. Martínez | F |
Substitutes
| 88 | M. Jones | F |
| 17 | H. Wolf | F |
| 3 | M. Miazga | D |
| 22 | K. O'Toole | D |
| 34 | Raul Gustavo | D |
| 30 | T. Romero | G |
| 32 | J. Shore | M |
| 11 | Talles Magno | F |
| 20 | Luighi Hanri | F |