Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo Prediction
FT
Allianz Field, Saint Paul, Minnesota
AI call
Minnesota United FC or draw
44%
28%
28%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo prediction: Sportiko gives Minnesota United FC a 44% chance of winning, Houston Dynamo 28% and the draw 28%. Last updated 11 Oct 2026, 02:40.
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Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
- Away to Score 71%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
18'
Lyle Foster
HT 0–1
Kelvin Yeboah
assist: Morris Duggan
48'
⚽
1–1
⇄
63'
Lyle Foster
⇄ Nick Markanich
⇄
63'
Felipe Andrade
⇄ Franco Negri
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
⇄ Marcus Caldeira
63'
⇄
Aziel Jackson
⇄ Mauricio González
63'
⇄
Owen Gene
⇄ Nectarios Triantis
63'
⇄
Mauricio González
Yellow Card
66'
▮
⇄
75'
Jonathan Bond
⇄ Blake Gillingham
Marcus Caldeira
assist: Cherrion Valerius
78'
⚽
2–1
Wil Trapp
Yellow Card
82'
▮
⇄
84'
Lawrence Ennali
⇄ Duane Holmes
⇄
84'
Diadié Samassékou
⇄ Matthew Arana
Tomás Chancalay
⇄ Carlos Harvey
88'
⇄
Cherrion Valerius
⇄ Kyle Duncan
88'
⇄
⇄
89'
Agustín Bouzat
⇄ Duncan McGuire
⚽
2–2
90+2'
Duncan McGuire
assist: Nick Markanich
Kelvin Yeboah
⇄ M. Malone
90+6'
⇄
FT 2–2
Minnesota United FC
Match Stats
Houston Dynamo
46%
Ball Possession
54%
1.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
15
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
6
7
Shots off Goal
6
2
Blocked Shots
2
10
Shots insidebox
11
5
Shots outsidebox
2
2
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
5
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
433
Total passes
507
372
Passes accurate
443
4
Free Kicks
14
Minnesota United FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Marcus Caldeira F | 8.2 | 27' | 1 | – | 2 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 9 Kelvin Yeboah F | 8.1 | 96' | 1 | – | 4 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 23 Morris Duggan D | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 68 (62%) | 2 |
| 20 Wil Trapp M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 60 (55%) | – |
| 52 Cherrion Valerius D | 6.8 | 88' | – | 1 | – | 38 (37%) | 1 |
| 12 Drake Callender G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (9%) | – |
| 13 Anthony Markanich M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | 2 |
| 15 Michael Boxall D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (45%) | 1 |
| 16 Aziel Jackson F | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 25 Nectarios Triantis D | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 18 Mauricio González F | 6.2 | 27' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 3 Kyle Duncan D | 6.1 | 2' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 21 Bongokuhle Hlongwane M | 6.1 | 63' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | – |
| 67 Carlos Harvey M | 6.0 | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 30 Owen Gene M | 6.0 | 63' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | 2 |
| 8 Tomás Chancalay F | 5.9 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 45 (34%) | 5 |
Houston Dynamo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Duncan McGuire F | 8.1 | 1' | 1 | – | 1 | – | – |
| 9 Lyle Foster F | 7.9 | 63' | 1 | – | 3 | 14 (13%) | – |
| 20 Guilherme F | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 45 (40%) | 3 |
| 17 Nick Markanich F | 6.9 | 27' | – | 1 | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 6 Artur M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (51%) | 5 |
| 3 Antônio Carlos D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (59%) | 1 |
| 5 Lucas Halter D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (66%) | 1 |
| 31 Jonathan Bond G | 6.6 | 75' | – | – | – | 40 (33%) | – |
| 11 Lawrence Ennali D | 6.6 | 84' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 2 |
| 21 Franco Negri D | 6.5 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 15 (10%) | – |
| 30 Agustín Bouzat M | 6.5 | 89' | – | – | – | 37 (33%) | 1 |
| 19 Mateusz Bogusz F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 32 (24%) | 2 |
| 18 Diadié Samassékou M | 6.4 | 84' | – | – | – | 30 (28%) | – |
| 36 Felipe Andrade D | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | – |
| 14 Duane Holmes M | 6.1 | 6' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 22 Matthew Arana M | 6.1 | 6' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 26 Blake Gillingham G | 5.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (44%)
At a glance
Our lean
Minnesota United FC or draw
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Minnesota United FC
WWWDW
Houston Dynamo
LLWDD
Last 1 meetings
Minnesota United FC · 0W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
44%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
28%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Minnesota United FC
K. Yeboah
18 gls
Houston Dynamo
Guilherme
16 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo
0
Minnesota United FC Wins
1
Draws
0
Houston Dynamo Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | Houston Dynamo | 0 - 0 | Minnesota United FC |
Minnesota United FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H San Jose Earthquakes | W | 3 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | A Los Angeles FC | W | 1 - 3 |
| 29 Oct | H Sporting Kansas City | W | 3 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A Houston Dynamo | D | 0 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H St. Louis City | W | 3 - 2 |
Houston Dynamo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H St. Louis City | L | 0 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | A Portland Timbers | L | 3 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Seattle Sounders | W | 0 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Minnesota United FC | D | 0 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H FC Dallas | D | 2 - 2 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Houston Dynamo
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
31
Bond
11
Ennali
5
Halter
3
Carlos
36
Andrade
30
Bouzat
6
Artur
18
Samassékou
20
Guilherme
9
Foster
19
Bogusz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | J. Bond | G |
| 36 | Felipe Andrade | D |
| 3 | Antônio Carlos | D |
| 5 | Lucas Halter | D |
| 11 | L. Ennali | D |
| 18 | D. Samassékou | M |
| 6 | Artur | M |
| 30 | A. Bouzat | M |
| 19 | M. Bogusz | F |
| 9 | L. Foster | F |
| 20 | Guilherme | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | M. Arana | M |
| 24 | A. Ibrahim | F |
| 17 | N. Markanich | F |
| 26 | B. Gillingham | G |
| 14 | D. Holmes | M |
| 23 | D. McGuire | F |
| 21 | F. Negri | D |
| 37 | G. Rivera | M |
Minnesota United FC
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: C. Knowles
12
Callender
23
Duggan
15
Boxall
52
Valerius
13
Markanich
20
Trapp
30
Gene
21
Hlongwane
8
Chancalay
9
Yeboah
16
Jackson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | D. Callender | G |
| 52 | Cherrion Valerius | D |
| 15 | M. Boxall | D |
| 23 | M. Duggan | D |
| 21 | B. Hlongwane | M |
| 30 | O. Gene | M |
| 20 | W. Trapp | M |
| 13 | A. Markanich | M |
| 16 | A. Jackson | F |
| 9 | K. Yeboah | F |
| 8 | T. Chancalay | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | N. Triantis | D |
| 3 | K. Duncan | D |
| 18 | M. Gonzalez | F |
| 67 | C. Harvey | M |
| 11 | M. Malone | F |
| 94 | Kayne Rizvanovich | G |
| 5 | N. Romero | D |
| 27 | D. Taylor | D |
| 22 | Marcus Caldeira | F |