Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake Prediction
FT
Subaru Park, Chester, Pennsylvania
AI call
Philadelphia Union to win or draw
70%
19%
12%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake prediction: Sportiko gives Philadelphia Union a 70% chance of winning, Real Salt Lake 12% and the draw 19%. Last updated 11 Oct 2026, 01:38.
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- Home to Score 2+ 72%
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Timeline
Danley Jean Jacques
Yellow Card
2'
▮
▮
13'
DeAndre Yedlin
Yellow Card
Frankie Westfield
Yellow Card
23'
▮
Bruno Damiani
assist: Frankie Westfield
31'
⚽
1–0
⇄
45'
Sam Junqua
⇄ Juan Sanabria
⇄
45'
DeAndre Yedlin
⇄ Luc De Fougerolles
HT 1–0
▮
62'
Dominik Marczuk
Yellow Card
Indiana Vassilev
⇄ Quinn Sullivan
64'
⇄
⇄
65'
Aiden Hezarkhani
⇄ Saba Lobzhanidze
⇄
70'
Dominik Marczuk
⇄ Zach Booth
Jovan Lukić
⇄ Jesus Bueno
74'
⇄
⇄
79'
Sergi Solans
⇄ A. Piol
Jesus Bueno
Yellow Card
80'
▮
Milan Iloski
assist: Cavan Sullivan
81'
⚽
2–0
Milan Iloski
Goal confirmed
82'
🖵
Bruno Damiani
Yellow Card
89'
▮
Cavan Sullivan
⇄ Ben Bender
90+1'
⇄
Milan Iloski
⇄ Malik Jakupovic
90+2'
⇄
Danley Jean Jacques
⇄ Alejandro Bedoya
90+2'
⇄
⚽
2–1
90+6'
Saba Lobzhanidze
assist: Luc De Fougerolles
FT 2–1
Philadelphia Union
Match Stats
Real Salt Lake
53%
Ball Possession
47%
1.85
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots off Goal
3
2
Blocked Shots
4
9
Shots insidebox
8
5
Shots outsidebox
3
4
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
2
21
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
479
Total passes
438
383
Passes accurate
348
12
Free Kicks
21
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Milan Iloski F | 8.1 | 92' | 1 | – | 3 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 9 Bruno Damiani F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 31 (22%) | 2 |
| 6 Cavan Sullivan M | 7.4 | 91' | – | 1 | 3 | 35 (26%) | 2 |
| 26 Nathan Harriel D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (41%) | 1 |
| 44 Neil Pierre D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (41%) | 1 |
| 39 Frankie Westfield D | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 45 (34%) | – |
| 27 Kai Wagner D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 80 (62%) | – |
| 18 Andre Blake G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (8%) | – |
| 4 Jovan Lukić M | 6.7 | 74' | – | – | – | 50 (43%) | 4 |
| 19 Indiana Vassilev M | 6.5 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 28 (24%) | 1 |
| 33 Quinn Sullivan M | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
| 8 Jesus Bueno M | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 21 Danley Jean Jacques M | 6.2 | 92' | – | – | – | 49 (39%) | 2 |
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Saba Lobzhanidze F | 7.6 | 25' | 1 | – | 3 | 7 (7%) | – |
| 1 Rafael Cabral G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | – |
| 6 Stijn Spierings M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 61 (51%) | 2 |
| 92 Noel Caliskan M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 55 (50%) | – |
| 8 Juan Sanabria M | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 33 (29%) | 1 |
| 44 Luc De Fougerolles D | 6.4 | 44' | – | 1 | – | 28 (23%) | 2 |
| 22 Sergi Solans F | 6.3 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 19 A. Piol F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 9 Morgan Guilavogui M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (34%) | 4 |
| 39 Aiden Hezarkhani M | 6.2 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 11 (6%) | – |
| 3 Kobi Henry D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (43%) | 3 |
| 2 DeAndre Yedlin D | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | 2 |
| 23 Zach Booth M | 6.0 | 20' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 26 Philip Quinton D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (41%) | 1 |
| 29 Sam Junqua M | 5.5 | 46' | – | – | – | 25 (15%) | 3 |
| 11 Dominik Marczuk M | 5.5 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 21 (12%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (70%)
At a glance
Our lean
Philadelphia Union to win or draw
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Philadelphia Union
WLDLD
Real Salt Lake
WLWWW
Last 2 meetings
Philadelphia Union · 0W 2D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
70%
45%
Draw
19%
45%
Away
12%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Philadelphia Union
M. Iloski
19 gls
Real Salt Lake
S. Solans
14 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake
0
Philadelphia Union Wins
2
Draws
0
Real Salt Lake Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul 2013 | Real Salt Lake | 2 - 2 | Philadelphia Union |
| 24 Aug 2012 | Philadelphia Union | 0 - 0 | Real Salt Lake |
Philadelphia Union — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Toronto FC | W | 4 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A FC Cincinnati | L | 1 - 0 |
| 29 Oct | A Nashville SC | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H New England Revolution | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Charlotte | D | 2 - 2 |
Real Salt Lake — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Los Angeles Galaxy | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A San Jose Earthquakes | L | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Austin | W | 1 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H St. Louis City | W | 3 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Sporting Kansas City | W | 1 - 3 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Philadelphia Union
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
18
Blake
27
Wagner
26
Harriel
44
Pierre
39
Westfield
19
Vassilev
4
Lukić
21
Jean-Jacques
6
Sullivan
9
Damiani
10
Iloski
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | A. Blake | G |
| 39 | F. Westfield | D |
| 44 | Neil Pierre | D |
| 26 | N. Harriel | D |
| 27 | K. Wagner | D |
| 6 | Cavan Sullivan | M |
| 21 | D. Jean-Jacques | M |
| 4 | J. Lukić | M |
| 19 | I. Vassilev | M |
| 10 | M. Iloski | F |
| 9 | B. Damiani | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | E. Alladoh | F |
| 11 | A. Bedoya | M |
| 16 | B. Bender | M |
| 8 | J. Bueno | M |
| 51 | M. Jakupovic | F |
| 2 | G. Martínez | D |
| 14 | J. Rafanello | M |
| 76 | A. Rick | G |
| 33 | Q. Sullivan | M |
Real Salt Lake
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Mastroeni
1
Cabral
3
Henry
26
Quinton
2
Yedlin
29
Junqua
6
Spierings
92
Caliskan
11
Marczuk
9
Guilavogui
39
Hezarkhani
22
Solans
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Cabral | G |
| 2 | D. Yedlin | D |
| 26 | P. Quinton | D |
| 3 | K. Henry | D |
| 11 | D. Marczuk | M |
| 92 | N. Caliskan | M |
| 6 | S. Spierings | M |
| 29 | S. Junqua | M |
| 39 | A. Hezarkhani | M |
| 9 | M. Guilavogui | M |
| 22 | S. Solans | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | L. De Fougerolles | D |
| 25 | Colin Guske | M |
| 98 | A. Katránis | D |
| 12 | S. Lobzhanidze | F |
| 34 | L. Moisa | M |
| 19 | A. Piol | F |
| 8 | J. Sanabria | M |
| 31 | M. Stajduhar | G |
| 23 | Chadwick Zachary Booth | M |