Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28
FT
Post on X
Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, Florida
AI call Orlando City SC or draw
45%
25%
30%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew prediction: Sportiko gives Orlando City SC a 45% chance of winning, Columbus Crew 30% and the draw 25%. Last updated 11 Oct 2026, 01:37.

Premium picks

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  • Under 4.5 74%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 73%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Harvey Sarajian assist: Antoine Griezmann
1' ⚽ 1–0
Vinicius Nogueira Yellow Card
3' ▮
⚽ 1–1 7'
Taha Habroune assist: Santiago Rodríguez
Antoine Griezmann
16' ⚽ 2–1
▮ 21'
Taha Habroune Yellow Card
Robin Jansson Yellow Card
23' ▮
▮ 36'
Brais Méndez Yellow Card
David Brekalo Yellow Card
41' ▮
Harvey Sarajian ⇄ Bernardo Rhein
45' ⇄
HT 2–1
Vinicius Nogueira ⇄ Zakaria Taifi
52' ⇄
⚽ 2–2 53'
Brais Méndez assist: Taha Habroune
Marco Pašalić Yellow Card
59' ▮
Eduard Atuesta ⇄ Luis Otávio
62' ⇄
Marco Pašalić ⇄ Daryl Dike
62' ⇄
⇄ 70'
Josef Martínez ⇄ Gonzalo Tapia
⇄ 70'
Dylan Chambost ⇄ André Gomes
David Brekalo ⇄ Justin Ellis
83' ⇄
⇄ 83'
Anass Zaroury ⇄ Brooks Lennon
⇄ 83'
Taha Habroune ⇄ Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
Iván Angulo assist: Martín Ojeda
89' ⚽ 3–2
⇄ 90'
Mohamed Farsi ⇄ Andres Herrera
FT 3–2
Orlando City SC

Match Stats

Columbus Crew
47% Ball Possession 53%
1.8 Expected Goals (xG) 3.09
20 Total Shots 27
7 Shots on Goal 15
11 Shots off Goal 10
2 Blocked Shots 2
13 Shots insidebox 18
7 Shots outsidebox 9
2 Corner Kicks 11
1 Offsides 5
14 Fouls 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
12 Goalkeeper Saves 4
401 Total passes 438
346 Passes accurate 398
10 Free Kicks 14
Orlando City SC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Antoine Griezmann F 9.0 90' 1 1 3 39 (33%) 1
71 Maxime Crépeau G 8.2 90' – – – 26 (16%) –
77 Iván Angulo D 7.8 90' 1 – 1 39 (35%) 2
10 Martín Ojeda F 7.6 90' – 1 5 32 (29%) 1
23 Harvey Sarajian M 7.4 46' 1 – 4 13 (10%) –
9 Daryl Dike F 6.7 28' – – 1 7 (6%) –
22 Justin Ellis F 6.6 7' – – 2 5 (4%) –
16 Wilder Cartagena M 6.6 90' – – – 52 (47%) 4
44 Bernardo Rhein F 6.5 44' – – 1 16 (14%) –
87 Marco Pašalić M 6.4 62' – – 2 18 (14%) 1
4 David Brekalo D 6.2 83' – – – 43 (39%) 2
6 Robin Jansson D 6.1 90' – – – 39 (34%) 1
5 Luis Otávio M 6.1 28' – – – 17 (15%) 1
19 Zakaria Taifi M 6.0 38' – – 1 8 (7%) 1
27 Vinicius Nogueira D 5.7 52' – – – 21 (19%) 2
20 Eduard Atuesta M 5.6 62' – – – 19 (18%) 1
Columbus Crew
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Taha Habroune M 8.9 83' 1 1 1 43 (38%) 1
10 Brais Méndez F 8.2 90' 1 – 6 39 (37%) 3
8 Santiago Rodríguez M 7.7 90' – 1 6 31 (28%) 1
33 Gonzalo Tapia F 7.0 20' – – 3 6 (6%) –
31 Steven Moreira D 6.8 90' – – – 48 (42%) –
28 Patrick Schulte G 6.7 90' – – – 28 (22%) –
21 Anass Zaroury M 6.7 83' – – 4 29 (25%) –
23 Mohamed Farsi D 6.5 90' – – – 43 (41%) 1
25 Sean Zawadzki D 6.5 90' – – 1 50 (47%) 1
18 Malte Amundsen D 6.4 90' – – – 39 (35%) 1
7 Dylan Chambost M 6.4 70' – – 2 47 (44%) 2
77 Josef Martínez F 6.2 70' – – 3 8 (7%) –
11 Brooks Lennon D 5.9 7' – – – 4 (4%) –
17 Sekou Tidiany Bangoura M 5.8 7' – – – 7 (6%) –
20 André Gomes M 5.8 20' – – 1 14 (14%) –
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean
Orlando City SC or draw
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Orlando City SC
WLDDW
Columbus Crew
WWWWD
Last 2 meetings Orlando City SC · 0W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
45%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
30%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Orlando City SC
M. Ojeda 16 gls
A. Griezmann 14 gls
Columbus Crew

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew

0 Orlando City SC Wins
1 Draws
1 Columbus Crew Wins
Date Home Score Away
16 Sep 2026 Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Orlando City SC
12 Apr 2026 Columbus Crew 1 - 1 Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H New England Revolution W 1 - 0
31 Oct A Charlotte L 4 - 0
29 Oct A Chicago Fire D 2 - 2
24 Oct H New York City FC D 2 - 2
17 Oct H DC United W 4 - 1

Columbus Crew — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Chicago Fire W 3 - 4
31 Oct H DC United W 3 - 0
29 Oct A FC Dallas W 0 - 2
24 Oct H Toronto FC W 4 - 2
22 Oct H St. Louis City D 0 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
34 23 8 3 +46 77
2
Inter Miami
34 16 12 6 +21 60
3
New England Revolution
34 18 4 12 +8 58
4
Chicago Fire
34 16 7 11 +10 55
5
Charlotte
34 15 9 10 +15 54
6
Philadelphia Union
34 14 8 12 +14 50
7
Columbus Crew
34 14 5 15 +7 47
8
Orlando City SC
34 13 7 14 -15 46
9
FC Cincinnati
34 12 10 12 -8 46
10
New York Red Bulls
34 12 6 16 -14 42
11
New York City FC
34 10 12 12 +4 42
12
Toronto FC
34 9 12 13 -15 39
13
Atlanta United FC
34 9 6 19 -17 33
14
DC United
34 7 12 15 -22 33
15
CF Montreal
34 6 8 20 -32 26

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
34 19 7 8 +40 64
2
FC Dallas
34 16 10 8 +11 58
3
St. Louis City
34 15 9 10 +11 54
4
San Jose Earthquakes
34 14 10 10 +6 52
5
Houston Dynamo
34 14 9 11 0 51
6
Los Angeles FC
34 12 11 11 +12 47
7
Portland Timbers
34 13 7 14 +1 46
8
Seattle Sounders
34 12 10 12 -2 46
9
Real Salt Lake
34 13 6 15 +1 45
10
Minnesota United FC
34 11 11 12 -2 44
11
Los Angeles Galaxy
34 11 11 12 -7 44
12
Colorado Rapids
34 12 7 15 -3 43
13
San Diego
34 9 11 14 -6 38
14
Austin
34 8 10 16 -23 34
15
Sporting Kansas City
34 7 5 22 -41 26

Orlando City SC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: M. Perelman
71 Crépeau
27 Nogueira
6 Jansson
4 Brekalo
77 Angulo
23 Sarajian
16 Cartagena
20 Atuesta
87 Pasalic
7 Griezmann
10 Ojeda

Starting XI

# Player Pos
71 M. Crépeau G
77 I. Angulo D
4 D. Brekalo D
6 R. Jansson D
27 Vinícius Nogueira D
87 Marco Pasalic M
20 E. Atuesta M
16 W. Cartagena M
23 Harvey Sarajian M
10 M. Ojeda F
7 A. Griezmann F

Substitutes

5 Luis Otávio M
12 Javier Otero G
11 Tiago F
9 D. Dike F
35 Joran Gerbet M
22 Justin Ellis F
44 Bernardo Rhein Goncalves F
57 Iago D
19 Z. Taifi M

Columbus Crew

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: L. Courtois
28 Schulte
18 Amundsen
25 Zawadzki
31 Moreira
23 Farsi
8 Rodríguez
16 Habroune
7 Chambost
21 Zaroury
77 Martínez
10 Méndez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
28 P. Schulte G
23 M. Farsi D
31 S. Moreira D
25 S. Zawadzki D
18 M. Amundsen D
21 A. Zaroury M
7 D. Chambost M
16 T. Habroune M
8 S. Rodríguez M
10 Brais Méndez F
77 Josef Martínez F

Substitutes

4 R. Camacho D
3 E. Bailly D
26 L. Giaccone M
2 M. Herrera D
11 B. Lennon D
20 André Gomes M
33 G. Tapia F
1 N. Hagen G
17 S. Bangoura M

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