Chicago Fire vs New York City FC Prediction
FT
Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
AI call
Chicago Fire or draw
48%
25%
27%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Chicago Fire vs New York City FC prediction: Sportiko gives Chicago Fire a 48% chance of winning, New York City FC 27% and the draw 25%. Last updated 10 Oct 2026, 20:41.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 74%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
19'
Hannes Wolf
assist: Agustin Ojeda
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Yellow Card
20'
▮
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Red Card
43'
▮
Jonathan Bamba
⇄ Mauricio Pineda
45'
⇄
⇄
45'
Nico Cavallo
⇄ Kevin O'Toole
HT 0–1
Anton Salétros
assist: Maren Haile-Selassie
55'
⚽
1–1
⇄
60'
A. Martínez
⇄ Luighi Hanri
⇄
60'
Andrés Perea
⇄ Raul Gustavo
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
Yellow Card
64'
▮
Philip Zinckernagel
⇄ Puso Dithejane
71'
⇄
Robert Lewandowski
⇄ Johan Gomez
71'
⇄
Leonardo Barroso
⇄ Noah Allen
71'
⇄
⇄
75'
Agustin Ojeda
⇄ Bénie Traoré
⇄
76'
James Sands
⇄ Jonathan Shore
⇄
82'
Hannes Wolf
⇄ Malachi Jones
Maren Haile-Selassie
87'
⚽
2–1
Mauricio Pineda
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
Maren Haile-Selassie
⇄ Andreas Hanche-Olsen
90+5'
⇄
FT 2–1
Chicago Fire
Match Stats
New York City FC
48%
Ball Possession
52%
1.46
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
14
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
5
6
Shots off Goal
6
4
Blocked Shots
2
9
Shots insidebox
7
5
Shots outsidebox
6
4
Corner Kicks
4
4
Offsides
2
18
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
377
Total passes
413
297
Passes accurate
333
10
Free Kicks
18
Chicago Fire
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Maren Haile-Selassie F | 9.0 | 95' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 (14%) | 2 |
| 6 Anton Salétros M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 33 (26%) | 1 |
| 11 Philip Zinckernagel M | 7.0 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 15 (11%) | 3 |
| 1 Chris Brady G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (26%) | – |
| 12 Puso Dithejane F | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 18 Johan Gomez F | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | – |
| 2 Leonardo Barroso D | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | 1 |
| 4 Mbekezeli Mbokazi D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (37%) | 1 |
| 3 Jack Elliott D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 57 (45%) | 1 |
| 24 Jonathan Dean D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | 2 |
| 32 Noah Allen D | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 19 Jonathan Bamba M | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 9 Robert Lewandowski F | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | – |
| 42 Dje Tah D'Avilla M | 5.9 | 43' | – | – | 1 | 42 (38%) | – |
| 22 Mauricio Pineda D | 5.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | 1 |
New York City FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Hannes Wolf M | 7.6 | 82' | 1 | – | 1 | 22 (19%) | – |
| 7 Nicolás Fernández M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 30 (23%) | – |
| 13 Thiago Martins D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (54%) | 1 |
| 24 Tayvon Gray D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (37%) | 2 |
| 26 Agustin Ojeda M | 6.9 | 75' | – | 1 | 1 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 21 Aiden O'Neill M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (38%) | 7 |
| 88 Malachi Jones F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 22 Kevin O'Toole D | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 33 (29%) | – |
| 2 Nico Cavallo D | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 2 |
| 6 James Sands D | 6.3 | 76' | – | – | – | 40 (33%) | 1 |
| 9 Bénie Traoré F | 6.2 | 15' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 16 A. Martínez F | 6.2 | 60' | – | – | 3 | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 32 Jonathan Shore M | 6.1 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 34 Raul Gustavo D | 6.1 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 26 (22%) | – |
| 8 Andrés Perea M | 6.0 | 60' | – | – | – | 24 (17%) | 1 |
| 20 Luighi Hanri F | 6.0 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 49 Matthew Freese G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (13%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (48%)
At a glance
Our lean
Chicago Fire or draw
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Chicago Fire
LWDWL
New York City FC
WDWDD
Last 1 meetings
Chicago Fire · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
48%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
27%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Chicago Fire
No scorer data.
New York City FC
N. Fernández Mercau
16 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Chicago Fire vs New York City FC
0
Chicago Fire Wins
0
Draws
1
New York City FC Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | New York City FC | 3 - 1 | Chicago Fire |
Chicago Fire — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Columbus Crew | L | 3 - 4 |
| 01 Nov | A Colorado Rapids | W | 2 - 4 |
| 29 Oct | H Orlando City SC | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Atlanta United FC | W | 2 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | A New England Revolution | L | 1 - 0 |
New York City FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A DC United | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H CF Montreal | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Atlanta United FC | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Orlando City SC | D | 2 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Los Angeles FC | D | 1 - 1 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
New York City FC
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: P. Jansen
49
Freese
2
Cavallo
6
Sands
13
Martins
24
Gray
8
Perea
21
O'Neill
17
Wolf
7
Mercau
26
Ojeda
16
Martínez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | M. Freese | G |
| 24 | T. Gray | D |
| 13 | Thiago Martins | D |
| 6 | J. Sands | D |
| 2 | Nico Cavallo | D |
| 21 | A. O'Neill | M |
| 8 | A. Perea | M |
| 26 | A. Ojeda | M |
| 7 | N. Fernández Mercau | M |
| 17 | H. Wolf | M |
| 16 | A. Martínez | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | M. Miazga | D |
| 23 | Maxwell Murray | D |
| 22 | K. O'Toole | D |
| 34 | Raul Gustavo | D |
| 30 | T. Romero | G |
| 32 | J. Shore | M |
| 9 | B. Traoré | F |
| 20 | Luighi Hanri | F |
| 88 | M. Jones | F |
Chicago Fire
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: G. Berhalter
1
Brady
2
Barroso
4
Mbokazi
3
Elliott
24
Dean
19
Bamba
42
D'Avilla
6
Salétros
11
Zinckernagel
7
Haile-Selassie
9
Lewandowski
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Brady | G |
| 24 | J. Dean | D |
| 3 | J. Elliott | D |
| 4 | M. Mbokazi | D |
| 2 | Leonardo Barroso | D |
| 11 | P. Zinckernagel | M |
| 6 | A. Salétros | M |
| 42 | T. D'Avilla | M |
| 19 | J. Bamba | M |
| 9 | R. Lewandowski | F |
| 7 | M. Haile-Selassie | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | N. Allen | D |
| 44 | J. Cohen | G |
| 12 | P. Dithejane | F |
| 18 | J. Gómez | F |
| 21 | A. Hanche-Olsen | D |
| 35 | S. Oregel | M |
| 22 | M. Pineda | D |
| 29 | D. Poręba | M |
| 15 | A. Gutman | D |