Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Prediction
FT
AT&T Stadium, Arlington
AI call
Nashville SC to win or draw
67%
20%
13%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC prediction: Sportiko gives Nashville SC a 67% chance of winning, Toronto FC 13% and the draw 20%. Last updated 27 Sep 2026, 02:38.
Premium picks
Premium- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 75%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
- Home 2H Over 0.5 75%
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Timeline
Hany Mukhtar
assist: Cristian Espinoza
16'
⚽
1–0
Hany Mukhtar
assist: Sam Surridge
43'
⚽
2–0
⇄
45'
Lewis Morgan
⇄ Alonso Coello
HT 2–0
⇄
63'
Nickseon Gomis
⇄ Kobe Franklin
Elias Saad
⇄ Shakur Mohammed
71'
⇄
⇄
73'
Dániel Sallói
⇄ Emilio Aristizábal
⇄
73'
Jonathan Osorio
⇄ A. Piedrahita
Cristian Espinoza
⇄ Alex Muyl
78'
⇄
Sam Surridge
Yellow Card
81'
▮
Edvard Tagseth
⇄ Bryan Acosta
86'
⇄
Andy Najar
⇄ Josh Bauer
87'
⇄
⇄
87'
Theo Corbeanu
⇄ Derrick Etienne
FT 2–0
Nashville SC
Match Stats
Toronto FC
62%
Ball Possession
38%
23
Total Shots
11
11
Shots on Goal
3
7
Shots off Goal
3
5
Blocked Shots
5
17
Shots insidebox
5
6
Shots outsidebox
6
9
Corner Kicks
3
5
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
9
509
Total passes
316
442
Passes accurate
228
9
Free Kicks
12
Nashville SC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Hany Mukhtar M | 9.9 | 90' | 2 | – | 5 | 35 (31%) | – |
| 4 Jeisson Palacios D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 69 (65%) | 1 |
| 31 Andy Najar D | 7.9 | 87' | – | – | 2 | 48 (40%) | 1 |
| 27 Reed Baker-Whiting D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 38 (31%) | 3 |
| 7 Cristian Espinoza M | 7.7 | 78' | – | 1 | 3 | 34 (29%) | 1 |
| 20 Edvard Tagseth M | 7.6 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 60 (56%) | 1 |
| 16 Matthew Corcoran M | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (48%) | 4 |
| 11 Elias Saad M | 7.2 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 23 (21%) | 1 |
| 3 Maxwell Woledzi D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (57%) | – |
| 22 Josh Bauer D | 7.1 | 3' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 1 Joe Willis G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (25%) | – |
| 14 Shakur Mohammed M | 6.9 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 9 Sam Surridge F | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | 5 | 20 (12%) | – |
| 19 Alex Muyl M | 6.9 | 12' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 6 Bryan Acosta M | 6.8 | 4' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
Toronto FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Luka Gavran G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (11%) | – |
| 27 A. Piedrahita F | 6.7 | 17' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 9 Josh Sargent F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 18 (13%) | 1 |
| 90 Lewis Morgan F | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 19 Kobe Franklin D | 6.4 | 27' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 2 |
| 21 Jonathan Osorio M | 6.3 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 11 Derrick Etienne F | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 6 Niklas Dorsch M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (31%) | 1 |
| 17 Emilio Aristizábal F | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 14 Alonso Coello M | 6.1 | 45' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 20 Dániel Sallói M | 6.1 | 73' | – | – | 3 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 38 Jackson Gilman D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (36%) | 2 |
| 7 Theo Corbeanu M | 5.9 | 87' | – | – | 3 | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 3 Matheus Pereira D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (25%) | 2 |
| 12 Zane Monlouis D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (23%) | – |
| 15 Nickseon Gomis D | 5.5 | 63' | – | – | – | 32 (20%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (67%)
At a glance
Our lean
Nashville SC to win or draw
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Nashville SC
WWDWD
Toronto FC
LLWLW
Last 1 meetings
Nashville SC · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
67%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
13%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Nashville SC
S. Surridge
19 gls
H. Mukhtar
16 gls
Toronto FC
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
0
Nashville SC Wins
0
Draws
1
Toronto FC Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep 2026 | Toronto FC | 2 - 1 | Nashville SC |
Nashville SC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A FC Cincinnati | W | 0 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H New York Red Bulls | W | 3 - 2 |
| 29 Oct | H Philadelphia Union | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A CF Montreal | W | 0 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | A San Jose Earthquakes | D | 1 - 1 |
Toronto FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Philadelphia Union | L | 4 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Atlanta United FC | L | 3 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H DC United | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Columbus Crew | L | 4 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A New York Red Bulls | W | 0 - 2 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Toronto FC
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: R. Fraser
1
Gavran
3
Pereira
15
Gomis
12
Monlouis
38
Gilman
20
Sallói
6
Dorsch
21
Osorio
7
Corbeanu
9
Sargent
90
Morgan
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Gavran | G |
| 38 | J. Gilman | D |
| 12 | Z. Monlouis | D |
| 15 | N. Gomis | D |
| 3 | Matheus Pereira | D |
| 7 | T. Corbeanu | M |
| 21 | J. Osorio | M |
| 6 | N. Dorsch | M |
| 20 | D. Sallói | M |
| 90 | L. Morgan | F |
| 9 | J. Sargent | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | W. Yarbrough | G |
| 99 | J. Vilsaint | F |
| 76 | L. Stefanovic | D |
| 27 | A. Piedrahita | F |
| 19 | K. Franklin | D |
| 11 | D. Etienne | F |
| 44 | R. Edwards | D |
| 14 | Alonso Coello | M |
| 17 | Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga | F |
Nashville SC
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: B. Callaghan
1
Willis
27
Baker-Whiting
3
Woledzi
4
Palacios
31
Najar
16
Corcoran
20
Tagseth
11
Saad
10
Mukhtar
7
Espinoza
9
Surridge
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Willis | G |
| 31 | A. Najar | D |
| 4 | J. Palacios | D |
| 3 | M. Woledzi | D |
| 27 | R. Baker-Whiting | D |
| 20 | E. Tagseth | M |
| 16 | M. Corcoran | M |
| 7 | C. Espinoza | M |
| 10 | H. Mukhtar | M |
| 11 | E. Saad | M |
| 9 | S. Surridge | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | B. Acosta | M |
| 22 | J. Bauer | D |
| 23 | J. Knight | D |
| 2 | D. Lovitz | D |
| 95 | W. Mackay | G |
| 5 | J. Maher | D |
| 14 | S. Mohammed | M |
| 19 | A. Muyl | M |
| 17 | Owen Presthus | D |