New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City Prediction
FT
Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, New Jersey
AI call
Difficult St. Louis City win or draw
25%
24%
51%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City prediction: Sportiko gives New York Red Bulls a 25% chance of winning, St. Louis City 51% and the draw 24%. Last updated 1 Oct 2026, 01:35.
Premium picks
Premium- Home to Score 75%
- Under 4.5 75%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
5'
Rafael Navarro
assist: Conrad Wallem
▮
35'
Timo Baumgartl
Yellow Card
HT 0–1
Devin Padelford
⇄ C. Faello
63'
⇄
Jorge Ruvalcaba
64'
⇄
⇄
71'
Alexandru Mățan
⇄ Simon Becher
⇄
71'
Carlo Holse
⇄ Jeong Sang-bin
S. Kone
⇄ N. Worth
84'
⇄
⇄
85'
Daniel Edelman
⇄ Lukas MacNaughton
⇄
85'
Rafael Navarro
⇄ Tomáš Ostrák
Emil Forsberg
Yellow Card
86'
▮
⚽
0–2
87'
Simon Becher
assist: Christopher Durkin
Mohammed Sofo
⇄ Andy Rojas
87'
⇄
Tim Parker
⇄ Robert Voloder
87'
⇄
⚽
0–3
90+1'
Tomáš Ostrák
FT 0–3
New York Red Bulls
Match Stats
St. Louis City
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
8
3
Shots off Goal
3
2
Blocked Shots
4
5
Shots insidebox
10
5
Shots outsidebox
5
4
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
4
12
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4
423
Total passes
502
336
Passes accurate
411
12
Free Kicks
12
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Cade Cowell F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 45 C. Faello D | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 34 Ethan Horvath G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (15%) | – |
| 11 Jorge Ruvalcaba F | 6.5 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 24 (15%) | – |
| 13 Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 18 (13%) | – |
| 14 Julián Bazán D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (51%) | 2 |
| 70 Andy Rojas F | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 10 Emil Forsberg M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 28 (26%) | 2 |
| 60 S. Kone M | 6.2 | 84' | – | – | – | 52 (41%) | 4 |
| 6 Robert Voloder D | 6.1 | 3' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 59 Devin Padelford D | 6.0 | 63' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | – |
| Seamus Maughan | 5.9 | 26' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 37 Mohammed Sofo M | 5.9 | 87' | – | – | 2 | 19 (14%) | 4 |
| 12 Dylan Nealis D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (37%) | 1 |
| 26 Tim Parker D | 5.8 | 87' | – | – | – | 48 (39%) | – |
| 80 N. Worth M | 5.7 | 6' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
St. Louis City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Rafael Navarro F | 8.2 | 85' | 1 | – | 2 | 27 (21%) | 4 |
| 8 Christopher Durkin M | 8.1 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 60 (53%) | 2 |
| 21 Dante Polvara D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 53 (46%) | 6 |
| 7 Tomáš Ostrák M | 7.8 | 5' | 1 | – | 2 | – | – |
| 11 Simon Becher F | 7.7 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 6 (2%) | – |
| 1 Roman Bürki G | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | – |
| 6 Conrad Wallem M | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 56 (49%) | 2 |
| 27 Fallou Fall D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (51%) | 3 |
| 5 Lukas MacNaughton D | 7.0 | 5' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 32 Timo Baumgartl D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (42%) | 3 |
| 24 Daniel Edelman M | 6.6 | 85' | – | – | – | 52 (42%) | 1 |
| 77 Jeong Sang-bin F | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 19 Carlo Holse F | 6.5 | 71' | – | – | 5 | 27 (18%) | 2 |
| 14 Tomas Totland M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (24%) | 2 |
| 23 Alexandru Mățan F | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 35 (26%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (51%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult St. Louis City win or draw
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New York Red Bulls
WLLWL
St. Louis City
WLLLD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
25%
10%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
51%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
New York Red Bulls
No scorer data.
St. Louis City
Rafael Navarro
19 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
New York Red Bulls — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Atlanta United FC | W | 3 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A Nashville SC | L | 3 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | A New England Revolution | L | 3 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Inter Miami | W | 2 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Toronto FC | L | 0 - 2 |
St. Louis City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Houston Dynamo | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H San Diego | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | H Portland Timbers | L | 2 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | A Real Salt Lake | L | 3 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A Columbus Crew | D | 0 - 0 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
New York Red Bulls
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
34
Horvath
59
Padelford
14
Bazán
26
Parker
12
Nealis
10
Forsberg
60
Kone
37
Sofo
7
Cowell
13
Choupo-Moting
11
Ruvalcaba
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | E. Horvath | G |
| 12 | D. Nealis | D |
| 26 | T. Parker | D |
| 14 | J. Bazán | D |
| 59 | D. Padelford | D |
| 37 | M. Sofo | M |
| 60 | S. Kone | M |
| 10 | E. Forsberg | M |
| 11 | J. Ruvalcaba | F |
| 13 | E. Choupo-Moting | F |
| 7 | C. Cowell | F |
Substitutes
| 45 | C. Faello | D |
| 88 | Pedro Castro | M |
| 80 | N. Worth | M |
| 6 | R. Voloder | D |
| 66 | T. Rosborough | M |
| 70 | A. Rojas | F |
| 77 | J. McCarthy | G |
St. Louis City
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Y. Damet
1
Bürki
27
Fall
32
Baumgartl
21
Polvara
14
Totland
8
Durkin
24
Edelman
6
Wallem
23
Mățan
9
Navarro
19
Holse
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Bürki | G |
| 21 | D. Polvara | D |
| 32 | T. Baumgartl | D |
| 27 | F. Fall | D |
| 6 | C. Wallem | M |
| 24 | D. Edelman | M |
| 8 | C. Durkin | M |
| 14 | T. Totland | M |
| 19 | C. Holse | F |
| 9 | Rafael Navarro | F |
| 23 | A. Mățan | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | M. Perez | M |
| 20 | Rafael Santos | D |
| 11 | S. Becher | F |
| 77 | Jeong Sang-Bin | F |
| 59 | M. Joyner | M |
| 39 | B. Lundt | G |
| 5 | L. MacNaughton | D |
| 99 | J. Orozco | D |
| 7 | T. Ostrák | M |