Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC Prediction
FT
Subaru Park, Chester, Pennsylvania
AI call
Difficult Philadelphia Union win or draw
61%
20%
18%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC prediction: Sportiko gives Philadelphia Union a 61% chance of winning, Orlando City SC 18% and the draw 20%. Last updated 27 Sep 2026, 01:41.
Premium picks
Premium- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 75%
- Away to Score 75%
- Home to Score 2+ 73%
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Timeline
Milan Iloski
Penalty
11'
⚽
1–0
▮
12'
Eduard Atuesta
Yellow Card
Milan Iloski
assist: Indiana Vassilev
19'
⚽
2–0
▮
37'
Iago Silva
Yellow Card
▮
43'
Joran Gerbet
Yellow Card
HT 2–0
Indiana Vassilev
assist: Jesus Bueno
47'
⚽
3–0
Milan Iloski
assist: Indiana Vassilev
51'
⚽
4–0
⇄
54'
Bernardo Rhein
⇄ Harvey Sarajian
⇄
54'
Joran Gerbet
⇄ Luis Otávio
⇄
54'
Zakaria Taifi
⇄ Vinicius Nogueira
Quinn Sullivan
Yellow Card
62'
▮
Japhet Sery Larsen
Yellow Card
77'
▮
⚽
4–1
78'
Iván Angulo
assist: Antoine Griezmann
Quinn Sullivan
⇄ Alejandro Bedoya
79'
⇄
Milan Iloski
⇄ Agustin Anello
79'
⇄
▮
84'
Iván Angulo
Yellow Card
Bruno Damiani
⇄ Ezekiel Alladoh
85'
⇄
Indiana Vassilev
⇄ Jeremy Rafanello
85'
⇄
⇄
89'
Daryl Dike
⇄ Tiago Souza
⚽
4–2
90'
Martín Ojeda
assist: Harvey Sarajian
Ben Bender
⇄ J. Griffin
90+1'
⇄
FT 4–2
Philadelphia Union
Match Stats
Orlando City SC
36%
Ball Possession
64%
20
Total Shots
11
9
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots off Goal
5
7
Blocked Shots
4
13
Shots insidebox
9
7
Shots outsidebox
2
7
Corner Kicks
7
5
Offsides
1
19
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
308
Total passes
576
228
Passes accurate
478
13
Free Kicks
18
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Milan Iloski F | 9.3 | 79' | 3 | – | 6 | 17 (11%) | 1 |
| 19 Indiana Vassilev M | 9.2 | 85' | 1 | 2 | 3 | 26 (22%) | – |
| 8 Jesus Bueno M | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 37 (31%) | 1 |
| 23 Ezekiel Alladoh F | 6.7 | 5' | – | – | 3 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 27 Kai Wagner D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 2 |
| 26 Nathan Harriel D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (19%) | 1 |
| 28 Agustin Anello F | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 9 Bruno Damiani F | 6.4 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 23 (15%) | 3 |
| 33 Quinn Sullivan M | 6.3 | 79' | – | – | 3 | 21 (17%) | 3 |
| 14 Jeremy Rafanello M | 6.3 | 5' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 4 Jovan Lukić M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (29%) | 7 |
| 5 Japhet Sery Larsen D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | 2 |
| 11 Alejandro Bedoya M | 6.0 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 76 Andrew Rick G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (11%) | – |
| 16 Ben Bender D | 5.8 | 91' | – | – | – | 29 (19%) | 1 |
Orlando City SC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Martín Ojeda M | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 52 (40%) | – |
| 77 Iván Angulo M | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 54 (42%) | 3 |
| 7 Antoine Griezmann F | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 47 (35%) | 3 |
| 71 Maxime Crépeau G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | – |
| 23 Harvey Sarajian F | 6.7 | 36' | – | 1 | – | 13 (9%) | – |
| 20 Eduard Atuesta M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 74 (65%) | 6 |
| 11 Tiago Souza F | 6.3 | 1' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 6 Robin Jansson D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 84 (76%) | 2 |
| 35 Joran Gerbet M | 6.1 | 54' | – | – | – | 44 (39%) | 1 |
| 5 Luis Otávio M | 6.0 | 36' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 2 |
| 9 Daryl Dike F | 6.0 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 16 (8%) | – |
| 44 Bernardo Rhein D | 5.9 | 54' | – | – | 1 | 32 (28%) | 2 |
| 57 Iago Silva D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (48%) | – |
| 27 Vinicius Nogueira D | 5.8 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 36 (29%) | 1 |
| 19 Zakaria Taifi D | 5.5 | 54' | – | – | – | 21 (14%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (61%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Philadelphia Union win or draw
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Philadelphia Union
WLDLD
Orlando City SC
WLDDW
Last 1 meetings
Philadelphia Union · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
61%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
18%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Philadelphia Union
M. Iloski
19 gls
Orlando City SC
M. Ojeda
16 gls
A. Griezmann
14 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC
0
Philadelphia Union Wins
0
Draws
1
Orlando City SC Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | Orlando City SC | 4 - 3 | Philadelphia Union |
Philadelphia Union — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Toronto FC | W | 4 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A FC Cincinnati | L | 1 - 0 |
| 29 Oct | A Nashville SC | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H New England Revolution | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Charlotte | D | 2 - 2 |
Orlando City SC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H New England Revolution | W | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Charlotte | L | 4 - 0 |
| 29 Oct | A Chicago Fire | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H New York City FC | D | 2 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H DC United | W | 4 - 1 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Orlando City SC
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: M. Perelman
71
Crépeau
44
Goncalves
6
Jansson
57
Iago
19
Taifi
77
Angulo
35
Gerbet
20
Atuesta
10
Ojeda
9
Dike
7
Griezmann
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | M. Crépeau | G |
| 19 | Z. Taifi | D |
| 57 | Iago | D |
| 6 | R. Jansson | D |
| 44 | Bernardo Rhein Goncalves | D |
| 10 | M. Ojeda | M |
| 20 | E. Atuesta | M |
| 35 | Joran Gerbet | M |
| 77 | I. Angulo | M |
| 7 | A. Griezmann | F |
| 9 | D. Dike | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | Adrián Marín | D |
| 12 | Javier Otero | G |
| 23 | Harvey Sarajian | F |
| 27 | Vinícius Nogueira | D |
| 5 | Luis Otávio | M |
| 70 | J. Hylton | M |
| 65 | Gustavo Caraballo Delgado | M |
| 21 | N. Miller | D |
| 11 | Tiago | F |
Philadelphia Union
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
76
Rick
27
Wagner
26
Harriel
5
Larsen
16
Bender
19
Vassilev
4
Lukić
8
Bueno
33
Sullivan
9
Damiani
10
Iloski
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 76 | A. Rick | G |
| 16 | B. Bender | D |
| 5 | J. Sery Larsen | D |
| 26 | N. Harriel | D |
| 27 | K. Wagner | D |
| 33 | Q. Sullivan | M |
| 8 | J. Bueno | M |
| 4 | J. Lukić | M |
| 19 | I. Vassilev | M |
| 10 | M. Iloski | F |
| 9 | B. Damiani | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | E. Alladoh | F |
| 28 | A. Anello | F |
| 11 | A. Bedoya | M |
| 68 | J. Griffin | D |
| 2 | G. Martínez | D |
| 14 | J. Rafanello | M |
| 66 | F. Sundstrom | D |
| 31 | G. Marks | G |
| 40 | R. Uzcátegui | D |