St. Louis City vs Toronto FC Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult St. Louis City win or draw
59%
23%
19%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
St. Louis City vs Toronto FC prediction: Sportiko gives St. Louis City a 59% chance of winning, Toronto FC 19% and the draw 23%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 02:40.
Premium picks
Premium- Under 4.5 76%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 70%
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Timeline
▮
23'
Walker Zimmerman
Yellow Card
Conrad Wallem
Yellow Card
28'
▮
Carlo Holse
assist: Alexandru Mățan
41'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
Jeong Sang-bin
⇄ Simon Becher
46'
⇄
Tomas Totland
assist: Alexandru Mățan
54'
⚽
2–0
⇄
57'
Walker Zimmerman
⇄ Nickseon Gomis
⇄
63'
Derrick Etienne
⇄ Zane Monlouis
⇄
63'
Niklas Dorsch
⇄ Jonathan Osorio
⇄
63'
Markus Cimermancic
⇄ Theo Corbeanu
Simon Becher
assist: Conrad Wallem
68'
⚽
3–0
Fallou Fall
Yellow Card
73'
▮
▮
74'
Alonso Coello
Yellow Card
⇄
75'
Josh Sargent
⇄ Lewis Morgan
Conrad Wallem
⇄ Dante Polvara
78'
⇄
Alexandru Mățan
⇄ Daniel Edelman
79'
⇄
Rafael Navarro
⇄ Damion Downs
85'
⇄
Damion Downs
Goal Disallowed - video review
90'
🖵
Carlo Holse
⇄ Tomáš Ostrák
90+2'
⇄
⚽
3–1
90+7'
Theo Corbeanu
assist: Alonso Coello
FT 3–1
St. Louis City
Match Stats
Toronto FC
62%
Ball Possession
38%
2.23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
17
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Goal
1
5
Shots off Goal
2
4
Blocked Shots
6
14
Shots insidebox
4
3
Shots outsidebox
5
8
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
454
Total passes
277
385
Passes accurate
215
85%
Passes %
78%
0.02
goals_prevented
0.02
St. Louis City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Carlo Holse F | 9.7 | 92' | 1 | – | 2 | 40 (33%) | 2 |
| 23 Alexandru Mățan M | 7.9 | 78' | – | 2 | 2 | 32 (27%) | 1 |
| 14 Tomas Totland M | 7.5 | 94' | 1 | – | 1 | 30 (25%) | – |
| 11 Simon Becher F | 7.3 | 49' | 1 | – | 4 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 1 Roman Bürki G | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | – |
| 8 Christopher Durkin M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 42 (39%) | 1 |
| 6 Conrad Wallem M | 7.2 | 78' | – | 1 | – | 33 (25%) | – |
| 21 Dante Polvara M | 6.9 | 16' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 27 Fallou Fall D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 53 (47%) | 1 |
| 99 Jaziel Orozco D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 62 (58%) | 1 |
| 24 Daniel Edelman M | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 42 Damion Downs F | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 32 Timo Baumgartl D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 64 (54%) | 1 |
| 9 Rafael Navarro F | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 20 (14%) | 1 |
| 77 Jeong Sang-bin F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 16 (10%) | – |
| 7 Tomáš Ostrák M | — | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
Toronto FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Luka Gavran G | 7.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 28 (18%) | – |
| 3 Matheus Pereira D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 30 (20%) | 4 |
| 14 Alonso Coello M | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 36 (31%) | 3 |
| 90 Lewis Morgan F | 6.9 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 6 Niklas Dorsch M | 6.9 | 62' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | 2 |
| 11 Derrick Etienne M | 6.7 | 63' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 7 Theo Corbeanu F | 6.7 | 32' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 71 Markus Cimermancic M | 6.6 | 62' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 21 Jonathan Osorio M | 6.5 | 32' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | – |
| 20 Dániel Sallói M | 6.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | – |
| 22 Richie Laryea D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | 4 |
| 25 Walker Zimmerman D | 6.3 | 56' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | – |
| 13 Benjamin Kuscevic D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 26 (22%) | 2 |
| 15 Nickseon Gomis D | 6.3 | 38' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | 2 |
| 12 Zane Monlouis D | 6.2 | 31' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 9 Josh Sargent F | 6.2 | 74' | – | – | – | 17 (11%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (59%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult St. Louis City win or draw
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St. Louis City
WLLLD
Toronto FC
LLWLW
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
59%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
19%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
St. Louis City
Rafael Navarro
19 gls
Toronto FC
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: St. Louis City vs Toronto FC
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
St. Louis City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Houston Dynamo | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H San Diego | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | H Portland Timbers | L | 2 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | A Real Salt Lake | L | 3 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A Columbus Crew | D | 0 - 0 |
Toronto FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Philadelphia Union | L | 4 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Atlanta United FC | L | 3 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H DC United | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Columbus Crew | L | 4 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A New York Red Bulls | W | 0 - 2 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Toronto FC
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: R. Fraser
1
Gavran
3
Pereira
13
Kuscevic
25
Zimmerman
22
Laryea
6
Dorsch
14
Coello
20
Sallói
71
Cimermancic
11
Etienne
9
Sargent
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luka Gavran | G |
| 22 | Richie Laryea | D |
| 25 | Walker Zimmerman | D |
| 13 | Benjamin Kuscevic | D |
| 3 | Matheus Pereira | D |
| 14 | Alonso Coello | M |
| 6 | Niklas Dorsch | M |
| 11 | Derrick Etienne | M |
| 71 | Markus Cimermancic | M |
| 20 | Dániel Sallói | M |
| 9 | Josh Sargent | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | William Yarbrough | G |
| 38 | Jackson Gilman | D |
| 15 | Nickseon Gomis | D |
| 19 | Kobe Franklin | D |
| 12 | Zane Monlouis | D |
| 21 | Jonathan Osorio | M |
| 7 | Theo Corbeanu | F |
| 17 | Emilio Aristizábal | F |
| 90 | Lewis Morgan | F |
St. Louis City
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Yoann Damet
1
Bürki
27
Fall
32
Baumgartl
99
Orozco
14
Totland
23
Mățan
8
Durkin
6
Wallem
19
Holse
9
Navarro
77
Sang-bin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Bürki | G |
| 99 | Jaziel Orozco | D |
| 32 | Timo Baumgartl | D |
| 27 | Fallou Fall | D |
| 6 | Conrad Wallem | M |
| 8 | Christopher Durkin | M |
| 23 | Alexandru Mățan | M |
| 14 | Tomas Totland | M |
| 77 | Jeong Sang-bin | F |
| 9 | Rafael Navarro | F |
| 19 | Carlo Holse | F |
Substitutes
| 39 | Benjamin Lundt | G |
| 5 | Lukas MacNaughton | D |
| 24 | Daniel Edelman | M |
| 21 | Dante Polvara | M |
| 59 | Mykhi Joyner | M |
| 7 | Tomáš Ostrák | M |
| 20 | Rafael Santos | D |
| 11 | Simon Becher | F |
| 42 | Damion Downs | F |