Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

Sporting Kansas City

Home

3 : 4

HT 3 - 0

Philadelphia Union

Away

AI call Difficult Philadelphia Union win or draw

18%

22%

60%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union prediction: Sportiko gives Sporting Kansas City a 18% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union 60% and the draw 22%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 02:42.

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Under 4.5 74%
Draw/Away & Over 1.5 72%
Away 2H Over 0.5 73%
Home to Score 70%

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Timeline

André Luiz assist: Lasse Berg Johnsen

5' ⚽ 1–0

André Luiz assist: Calvin Harris

10' ⚽ 2–0

Wyatt Meyer assist: Emir Karić

16' ⚽ 3–0

Kwaku Agyabeng Yellow Card

45' ▮

HT 3–0

⇄ 46'

Indiana Vassilev ⇄ Quinn Sullivan

Kwaku Agyabeng ⇄ Jacob Bartlett

46' ⇄

Lasse Berg Johnsen Yellow Card

53' ▮

⚽ 3–1 64'

Bruno Damiani assist: Frankie Westfield

⚽ 3–2 66'

Cavan Sullivan assist: Danley Jean Jacques

⚽ 3–3 68'

Milan Iloski assist: Quinn Sullivan

Taylor Calheira ⇄ Jayden Reid

68' ⇄

▮ 70'

Cavan Sullivan Yellow Card

Stephen Afrifa ⇄ Owen Wolff

71' ⇄

Lasse Berg Johnsen ⇄ Zorhan Bassong

71' ⇄

⚽ 3–4 73'

Zorhan Bassong Own Goal

▮ 80'

Kai Wagner Yellow Card

⇄ 82'

Cavan Sullivan ⇄ Alejandro Bedoya

Calvin Harris ⇄ Ruben Ramos

83' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Jovan Lukić ⇄ Jesus Bueno

⇄ 83'

Milan Iloski ⇄ Ezekiel Alladoh

▮ 90+6'

Yellow Card

90+8' ▮

FT 3–4

Sporting Kansas City

Match Stats

Philadelphia Union

45% Ball Possession 55%

1.01 Expected Goals (xG) 0.65

10 Total Shots 10

6 Shots on Goal 8

2 Shots off Goal 1

2 Blocked Shots 1

7 Shots insidebox 3

3 Shots outsidebox 7

3 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 1

10 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 4

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 3

358 Total passes 445

283 Passes accurate 373

79% Passes % 84%

-0.15 goals_prevented -0.15

Sporting Kansas City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 André Luiz M	9.3	97'	2	–	3	14 (9%)	2
14 Calvin Harris M	7.3	82'	–	1	1	12 (8%)	2
28 Wyatt Meyer D	6.9	97'	1	–	2	47 (40%)	1
19 Taylor Calheira F	6.7	67'	–	–	–	14 (9%)	2
33 Owen Wolff F	6.6	27'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
20 Kwaku Agyabeng M	6.5	45'	–	–	–	14 (10%)	–
17 Stephen Afrifa F	6.5	70'	–	–	1	10 (9%)	1
24 Ruben Ramos F	6.5	15'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
29 Seymour Garfield-Reid F	6.5	30'	–	–	–	–	–
4 Lasse Berg Johnsen M	6.3	71'	–	1	–	27 (22%)	–
18 Emir Karić D	6.3	97'	–	1	–	42 (31%)	2
30 Stefan Cleveland G	6.2	97'	–	–	–	20 (12%)	–
13 Justin Reynolds D	6.2	97'	–	–	–	38 (28%)	2
22 Zorhan Bassong D	6.0	26'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	–
16 Jacob Bartlett D	5.9	52'	–	–	–	30 (25%)	2
3 Moises Mosquera D	5.9	97'	–	–	–	46 (41%)	–

Philadelphia Union

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Milan Iloski F	7.9	82'	1	–	2	23 (19%)	–
9 Bruno Damiani F	7.5	89'	1	–	1	21 (16%)	–
6 Cavan Sullivan M	7.3	82'	1	–	2	32 (26%)	1
21 Danley Jean Jacques M	7.0	97'	–	1	–	44 (40%)	1
18 Andre Blake G	7.0	97'	–	–	–	33 (25%)	–
44 Neil Pierre D	6.9	97'	–	–	–	55 (48%)	2
8 Jesus Bueno M	6.9	15'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	2
23 Ezekiel Alladoh F	6.7	15'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
4 Jovan Lukić M	6.6	82'	–	–	1	40 (35%)	2
19 Indiana Vassilev M	6.5	45'	–	–	1	15 (13%)	–
28 Agustin Anello F	6.5	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
11 Alejandro Bedoya M	6.3	15'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
33 Quinn Sullivan M	6.3	52'	–	1	1	13 (12%)	–
27 Kai Wagner D	6.2	97'	–	–	1	40 (31%)	–
39 Frankie Westfield D	5.9	97'	–	1	–	59 (49%)	–
26 Nathan Harriel D	5.9	97'	–	–	–	55 (47%)	–

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Philadelphia Union win or draw

Most likely score

1:2 · 9.9%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

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Sporting Kansas City

LWLLL

Philadelphia Union

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Sporting Kansas City · 2W 1D 0L

Live insights

75' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 3-4. Philadelphia Union win: 87.7%. BTTS: 100%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Philadelphia Union leads 3-4. Win probability: 87.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 12.3%.

68' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 3-3. Draw probability: 51.3%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

67' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 3-2. Sporting Kansas City win: 65.2%. BTTS: 100%.

64' Goal 85% sure

Sporting Kansas City now leads 3-1 with 88.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 62.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Philadelphia Union goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4	6	8	6	4	2
1	3	10	10	8	4	2
2	2	5	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	2	1	1
4		1	1	1
5

↑ Sporting Kansas City goals · most likely 1–2 (9.9%)

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Players in form

Sporting Kansas City

No scorer data.

Philadelphia Union

M. Iloski 13 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

22%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

13%

1.5

87%

32%

2.5

68%

55%

3.5

45%

74%

4.5

26%

88%

5.5

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

22%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

13%

1.5

87%

32%

2.5

68%

55%

3.5

45%

74%

4.5

26%

88%

5.5

12%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

20%

22%

20%

14%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.1%	5.9%	8.2%	6.3%	3.7%
1	2.5%	9.6%	9.9%	7.7%	4.5%
2	2.2%	5.1%	6.0%	4.6%	2.7%
3	0.9%	2.1%	2.4%	1.9%	1.1%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

16%

25%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
Sporting Kansas City	11.2%	4.8%	4.3%
Draw	5.7%	11.9%	19.8%
Philadelphia Union	1.1%	3.3%	38.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Away Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

21%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union

2 Sporting Kansas City Wins

1 Draws

0 Philadelphia Union Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Oct 2013	Philadelphia Union	1 - 2	Sporting Kansas City
27 Sep 2013	Sporting Kansas City	1 - 1	Philadelphia Union
02 Mar 2013	Philadelphia Union	1 - 3	Sporting Kansas City

See all 5 meetings — Premium

Sporting Kansas City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Philadelphia Union	L	3 - 4
13 Sep	H Los Angeles FC	W	3 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Dallas	L	4 - 3
30 Aug	H Vancouver Whitecaps	L	0 - 3
23 Aug	A Atlanta United FC	L	2 - 1

Philadelphia Union — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Sporting Kansas City	W	3 - 4
14 Sep	A San Diego	W	0 - 5
09 Sep	H FC Cincinnati	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	H CF Montreal	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A New York Red Bulls	W	1 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Philadelphia Union

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Ryan Richter

18 Blake

27 Wagner

26 Harriel

44 Pierre

39 Westfield

19 Vassilev

4 Lukić

21 Jacques

6 Sullivan

9 Damiani

10 Iloski

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	Andre Blake	G
39	Frankie Westfield	D
44	Neil Pierre	D
26	Nathan Harriel	D
27	Kai Wagner	D
6	Cavan Sullivan	M
21	Danley Jean Jacques	M
4	Jovan Lukić	M
19	Indiana Vassilev	M
10	Milan Iloski	F
9	Bruno Damiani	F

Substitutes

31	George Marks	G
5	Japhet Sery Larsen	D
11	Alejandro Bedoya	M
28	Agustin Anello	F
33	Quinn Sullivan	M
8	Jesus Bueno	M
16	Ben Bender	M
51	Malik Jakupovic	F
23	Ezekiel Alladoh	F

Sporting Kansas City

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Raphael Wicky

30 Cleveland

18 Karić

28 Meyer

3 Mosquera

13 Reynolds

14 Harris

20 Agyabeng

4 Johnsen

11 Luiz

17 Afrifa

19 Calheira

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	Stefan Cleveland	G
13	Justin Reynolds	D
3	Moises Mosquera	D
28	Wyatt Meyer	D
18	Emir Karić	D
11	André Luiz	M
4	Lasse Berg Johnsen	M
20	Kwaku Agyabeng	M
14	Calvin Harris	M
19	Taylor Calheira	F
17	Stephen Afrifa	F

Substitutes

1	John Pulskamp	G
15	Jansen Miller	D
57	Diego Borges	D
99	Jayden Reid	D
33	Owen Wolff	F
16	Jacob Bartlett	D
22	Zorhan Bassong	D
24	Ruben Ramos	F
29	Seymour Garfield-Reid	F