Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26

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Houston Dynamo

Home

2 : 2

HT 1 - 0

FC Cincinnati

Away

AI call Houston Dynamo or draw

49%

26%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati prediction: Sportiko gives Houston Dynamo a 49% chance of winning, FC Cincinnati 26% and the draw 26%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 02:42.

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1st Half Over 0.5 74%
Away to Score 73%

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Timeline

Guilherme

38' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

Mateusz Bogusz Penalty

50' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 55'

Ender Echenique ⇄ Bryan Ramirez

⇄ 55'

Obinna Nwobodo ⇄ Tom Barlow

⇄ 55'

Nick Hagglund ⇄ Teenage Hadebe

Agustín Bouzat ⇄ Diadié Samassékou

68' ⇄

⚽ 2–1 73'

Bryan Ramirez assist: Kévin Denkey

Lawrence Ennali ⇄ Ibrahim Aliyu

82' ⇄

Héctor Herrera ⇄ Matthew Arana

82' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Pavel Bucha ⇄ Kyle Smith

⇄ 88'

Gerardo Valenzuela ⇄ Ayoub Jabbari

Guilherme ⇄ Duncan McGuire

90+5' ⇄

⚽ 2–2 90+7'

Kévin Denkey Penalty

FT 2–2

Houston Dynamo

Match Stats

FC Cincinnati

43% Ball Possession 57%

1.20 Expected Goals (xG) 2.05

7 Total Shots 25

2 Shots on Goal 7

3 Shots off Goal 9

2 Blocked Shots 9

5 Shots insidebox 14

2 Shots outsidebox 11

3 Corner Kicks 7

0 Offsides 2

6 Fouls 12

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

6 Goalkeeper Saves 0

424 Total passes 540

368 Passes accurate 499

87% Passes % 92%

-0.88 goals_prevented -0.88

Houston Dynamo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Guilherme F	8.3	94'	1	–	2	42 (35%)	–
31 Jonathan Bond G	8.0	96'	–	–	–	36 (27%)	–
5 Lucas Halter D	7.3	96'	–	–	–	38 (37%)	–
11 Lawrence Ennali M	7.2	81'	–	–	1	20 (19%)	1
6 Artur M	6.9	96'	–	–	–	61 (53%)	–
16 Héctor Herrera M	6.9	81'	–	–	–	55 (53%)	–
30 Agustín Bouzat F	6.9	67'	–	–	–	19 (14%)	–
24 Ibrahim Aliyu F	6.9	15'	–	–	–	10 (10%)	–
19 Mateusz Bogusz M	6.7	96'	1	–	2	19 (14%)	1
3 Antônio Carlos D	6.7	96'	–	–	–	42 (37%)	–
22 Matthew Arana M	6.5	15'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
36 Felipe Andrade D	6.3	96'	–	–	–	38 (34%)	1
21 Franco Negri D	6.3	96'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	2
18 Diadié Samassékou M	6.3	29'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	1
23 Duncan McGuire F	—	2'	–	–	–	–	–

FC Cincinnati

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
29 Bryan Ramirez D	8.5	42'	1	–	2	20 (18%)	1
12 Miles Robinson D	7.3	96'	–	–	–	67 (66%)	1
10 Evander F	7.0	96'	–	–	2	58 (50%)	2
22 Gerardo Valenzuela F	6.9	87'	–	–	1	48 (46%)	1
5 Obinna Nwobodo M	6.9	54'	–	–	1	31 (31%)	3
15 Teenage Hadebe D	6.9	42'	–	–	1	33 (32%)	–
17 Kenji Mboma Dem M	6.7	96'	–	–	1	45 (44%)	4
99 Ayoub Jabbari F	6.7	9'	–	–	1	1	–
11 Samuel Gidi D	6.3	96'	–	–	1	78 (73%)	1
20 Pavel Bucha M	6.3	84'	–	–	1	48 (40%)	1
66 Ender Echenique M	6.3	54'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–
9 Kévin Denkey F	6.3	96'	–	1	4	15 (12%)	1
24 Kyle Smith D	6.3	12'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
4 Nick Hagglund D	6.2	54'	–	–	–	47 (45%)	–
16 Tom Barlow F	6.2	42'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–
18 Roman Celentano G	5.9	96'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Houston Dynamo or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Houston Dynamo

DLWDD

FC Cincinnati

DDLLD

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Houston Dynamo win: 85.7%. BTTS: 100%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Houston Dynamo leads 2-1. Win probability: 85.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.3%.

51' Goal 85% sure

Houston Dynamo now leads 2-0 with 94.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 73%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Houston Dynamo leads. Win probability: 77.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 77.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Cincinnati goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	4	2	1
1	7	12	7	3	1
2	7	10	6	3	1
3	5	6	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Houston Dynamo goals · most likely 1–1 (11.8%)

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Players in form

Houston Dynamo

Guilherme 14 gls

FC Cincinnati

K. Denkey 14 gls

Evander 12 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

26%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

26%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	4.3%	3.7%	1.6%	0.5%
1	6.7%	11.8%	6.8%	2.9%	1.0%
2	7.4%	9.7%	6.3%	2.7%	0.9%
3	4.6%	6.0%	3.9%	1.7%	0.6%
4	2.1%	2.8%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Houston Dynamo	Draw	FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo	29.9%	4.2%	1.8%
Draw	16.9%	14.8%	9.2%
FC Cincinnati	3.2%	4.8%	15.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Houston Dynamo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H FC Cincinnati	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A San Jose Earthquakes	L	1 - 0
10 Sep	H Real Salt Lake	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Charlotte	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H San Jose Earthquakes	D	0 - 0

FC Cincinnati — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Houston Dynamo	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Charlotte	D	3 - 3
09 Sep	A Philadelphia Union	L	5 - 0
30 Aug	A Nashville SC	L	4 - 0
22 Aug	H Seattle Sounders	D	1 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Houston Dynamo

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Ben Olsen

31 Bond

21 Negri

5 Halter

3 Carlos

36 Andrade

19 Bogusz

16 Herrera

6 Artur

11 Ennali

30 Bouzat

20 Guilherme

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Jonathan Bond	G
36	Felipe Andrade	D
3	Antônio Carlos	D
5	Lucas Halter	D
21	Franco Negri	D
11	Lawrence Ennali	M
6	Artur	M
16	Héctor Herrera	M
19	Mateusz Bogusz	M
20	Guilherme	F
30	Agustín Bouzat	F

Substitutes

35	Logan Erb	G
26	Blake Gillingham	G
18	Diadié Samassékou	M
22	Matthew Arana	M
37	Gilberto Rivera	D
14	Duane Holmes	M
24	Ibrahim Aliyu	F
23	Duncan McGuire	F
17	Nick Markanich	F

FC Cincinnati

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Pat Noonan

18 Celentano

11 Gidi

4 Hagglund

12 Robinson

17 Dem

5 Nwobodo

20 Bucha

66 Echenique

10 Evander

9 Denkey

22 Valenzuela

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	Roman Celentano	G
12	Miles Robinson	D
4	Nick Hagglund	D
11	Samuel Gidi	D
66	Ender Echenique	M
20	Pavel Bucha	M
5	Obinna Nwobodo	M
17	Kenji Mboma Dem	M
22	Gerardo Valenzuela	F
9	Kévin Denkey	F
10	Evander	F

Substitutes

13	Evan Louro	G
88	Andrei Chirila	D
15	Teenage Hadebe	D
24	Kyle Smith	D
2	Alvas Powell	D
29	Bryan Ramirez	D
16	Tom Barlow	F
99	Ayoub Jabbari	F
14	Kristian Fletcher	F