New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

New England Revolution

Home

4 : 2

HT 1 - 0

Orlando City SC

Away

AI call Difficult New England Revolution win or draw

52%

23%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC prediction: Sportiko gives New England Revolution a 52% chance of winning, Orlando City SC 24% and the draw 23%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 01:42.

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1st Half Home or Draw 76%
Under 4.5 72%

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Timeline

Brooklyn Raines Yellow Card

14' ▮

Carles Gil assist: Jackson Yueill

19' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Luis Otávio ⇄ Eduard Atuesta

⇄ 46'

Tyrese Spicer ⇄ Zakaria Taifi

William Sands Yellow Card

47' ▮

Peyton Miller

59' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 62'

Iván Angulo

Jackson Yueill ⇄ Ilay Feingold

71' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Marco Pašalić ⇄ Daryl Dike

⇄ 77'

Bernardo Rhein ⇄ Harvey Sarajian

Ilay Feingold Yellow Card

80' ▮

⚽ 2–2 88'

Martín Ojeda Penalty

Dániel Gazdag ⇄ Diego Fagúndez

89' ⇄

Peyton Miller

90+3' ⚽ 3–2

Peyton Miller Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

⇄ 90+5'

Joran Gerbet ⇄ Tiago Souza

Carles Gil assist: Dor Turgeman

90+6' ⚽ 4–2

Dor Turgeman ⇄ Wilson Harris

90+6' ⇄

Matt Polster ⇄ J. Wynder

90+6' ⇄

FT 4–2

New England Revolution

Match Stats

Orlando City SC

52% Ball Possession 48%

1.51 Expected Goals (xG) 1.34

17 Total Shots 11

9 Shots on Goal 5

7 Shots off Goal 2

1 Blocked Shots 4

8 Shots insidebox 5

9 Shots outsidebox 6

10 Corner Kicks 3

4 Offsides 0

6 Fouls 4

4 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 5

464 Total passes 437

414 Passes accurate 377

89% Passes % 86%

0.94 goals_prevented 0.94

New England Revolution

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Carles Gil M	9.7	96'	2	–	4	82 (72%)	1
25 Peyton Miller F	9.3	96'	2	–	5	18 (15%)	1
21 Brooklyn Raines M	7.3	96'	–	–	1	50 (45%)	2
99 Dor Turgeman F	7.3	96'	–	2	3	25 (22%)	–
16 Dániel Gazdag F	7.0	89'	–	–	–	39 (34%)	3
2 Mamadou Fofana D	6.9	96'	–	–	–	47 (43%)	1
14 Jackson Yueill M	6.9	71'	–	1	1	31 (27%)	–
22 E. Kohler D	6.9	96'	–	–	–	32 (29%)	4
30 Matt Turner G	6.6	96'	–	–	–	30 (28%)	–
8 Matt Polster D	6.3	96'	–	–	1	70 (64%)	1
23 William Sands D	6.2	96'	–	–	–	32 (30%)	1
12 Ilay Feingold D	6.2	25'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–
77 Diego Fagúndez M	—	7'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–

Orlando City SC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Martín Ojeda F	7.2	96'	1	–	2	39 (30%)	–
77 Iván Angulo D	6.9	96'	1	–	1	42 (35%)	3
20 Eduard Atuesta M	6.7	51'	–	–	1	29 (27%)	–
19 Zakaria Taifi M	6.7	51'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
35 Joran Gerbet M	6.6	95'	–	–	–	62 (61%)	1
22 Justin Ellis F	6.5	96'	–	–	1	43 (31%)	2
87 Marco Pašalić M	6.3	71'	–	–	1	25 (23%)	2
5 Luis Otávio M	6.3	45'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	–
9 Daryl Dike F	6.3	25'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
44 Bernardo Rhein D	6.2	77'	–	–	–	40 (34%)	1
23 Harvey Sarajian F	6.2	19'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
14 Tyrese Spicer M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	1
4 David Brekalo D	6.0	96'	–	–	1	36 (34%)	1
6 Robin Jansson D	5.9	96'	–	–	–	46 (45%)	–
71 Maxime Crépeau G	5.6	96'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	–
11 Tiago Souza F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult New England Revolution win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 9.7%

Both teams to score

69%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

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New England Revolution

WWWLW

Orlando City SC

LLWWW

Last 1 meetings New England Revolution · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 3-2! New England Revolution win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

90' Goal 85% sure

New England Revolution now leads 4-2 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

88' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: New England Revolution leads 2-1. Win probability: 85.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.3%.

63' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. New England Revolution win: 80.4%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

24%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Orlando City SC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4	3	3	1
1	5	10	6	3	1
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	5	7	5	2	1
4	3	4	3	1
5	1	2	1	1

↑ New England Revolution goals · most likely 1–1 (9.7%)

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Players in form

New England Revolution

Carles Gil 12 gls

Orlando City SC

M. Ojeda 12 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Away Win

24%

Draw

23%

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS Yes 31% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

11%

1.5

89%

30%

2.5

70%

52%

3.5

48%

72%

4.5

28%

86%

5.5

14%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Away Win

24%

Draw

23%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 24% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

11%

1.5

89%

30%

2.5

70%

52%

3.5

48%

72%

4.5

28%

86%

5.5

14%

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS Yes 31% BTTS No

Exact Goals

19%

22%

20%

14%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.8%	2.8%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%
1	4.8%	9.7%	6.2%	3.0%	1.1%
2	6.5%	9.4%	6.8%	3.3%	1.2%
3	4.7%	6.9%	5.0%	2.4%	0.9%
4	2.6%	3.8%	2.7%	1.3%	0.5%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

76%

2.5

24%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

16%

25%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	New England Revolution	Draw	Orlando City SC
New England Revolution	33.4%	4.0%	1.7%
Draw	16.8%	12.4%	7.7%
Orlando City SC	3.9%	5.0%	15.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

37%

1.5

63%

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC

0 New England Revolution Wins

0 Draws

1 Orlando City SC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Apr 2026	New England Revolution	3 - 4	Orlando City SC

New England Revolution — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Orlando City SC	W	4 - 2
13 Sep	A Chicago Fire	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	A New York City FC	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Los Angeles Galaxy	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Columbus Crew	W	1 - 3

Orlando City SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A New England Revolution	L	4 - 2
16 Sep	A Columbus Crew	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Toronto FC	W	3 - 0
09 Sep	A Atlanta United FC	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H San Diego	W	1 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Orlando City SC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Oscar Pareja

71 Crépeau

44 Rhein

6 Jansson

4 Brekalo

77 Angulo

14 Spicer

35 Gerbet

5 Otávio

87 Pašalić

10 Ojeda

22 Ellis

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
71	Maxime Crépeau	G
77	Iván Angulo	D
4	David Brekalo	D
6	Robin Jansson	D
44	Bernardo Rhein	D
87	Marco Pašalić	M
5	Luis Otávio	M
35	Joran Gerbet	M
14	Tyrese Spicer	M
22	Justin Ellis	F
10	Martín Ojeda	F

Substitutes

12	Javier Otero	G
19	Zakaria Taifi	M
27	Vinicius Nogueira	D
3	Adrián Marín	D
23	Harvey Sarajian	F
20	Eduard Atuesta	M
16	Wilder Cartagena	M
11	Tiago Souza	F
9	Daryl Dike	F

New England Revolution

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Marko Mitrovic

30 Turner

23 Sands

2 Fofana

22 Kohler

8 Polster

14 Yueill

21 Raines

10 Gil

16 Gazdag

99 Turgeman

25 Miller

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	Matt Turner	G
8	Matt Polster	D
22	Ethan Kohler	D
2	Mamadou Fofana	D
23	William Sands	D
10	Carles Gil	M
21	Brooklyn Raines	M
14	Jackson Yueill	M
25	Peyton Miller	F
99	Dor Turgeman	F
16	Dániel Gazdag	F

Substitutes

73	JD Gunn	G
12	Ilay Feingold	D
4	Tanner Beason	D
66	Joshua Wynder	D
15	Cody Baker	D
65	Judah Siqueira	F
77	Diego Fagúndez	M
17	Marcos Zambrano	F
27	Wilson Harris	F