⚽ New season loading — sign up free for AI predictions on every match →
Login Sign Up

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26
FT
Post on X
New York City FC

New York City FC

Home
0 : 1
HT 0 - 0
New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

Away
AI call Difficult New York City FC win or draw
51%
25%
24%
Home Win Draw Away Win

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls prediction: Sportiko gives New York City FC a 51% chance of winning, New York Red Bulls 24% and the draw 25%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 01:35.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Away to Score 73%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

▮ 6'
Adri Mehmeti Yellow Card
▮ 22'
Cade Cowell Yellow Card
Nico Cavallo Yellow Card
30' ▮
▮ 40'
Mohammed Sofo Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Aiden O'Neill Yellow Card
55' ▮
⚽ 0–1 57'
Julian Hall
⇄ 62'
M. Dos Santos ⇄ Devin Padelford
Hannes Wolf ⇄ Bénie Traoré
62' ⇄
Luighi Hanri ⇄ A. Martínez
62' ⇄
Agustin Ojeda ⇄ Malachi Jones
75' ⇄
⇄ 84'
Cade Cowell ⇄ Jorge Ruvalcaba
⇄ 84'
Adri Mehmeti ⇄ David Ruíz
⇄ 84'
Julian Hall ⇄ Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
FT 0–1
New York City FC

Match Stats

New York Red Bulls
63% Ball Possession 37%
1.62 Expected Goals (xG) 1.33
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 4
6 Corner Kicks 7
0 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
500 Total passes 290
426 Passes accurate 222
85% Passes % 77%
0.52 goals_prevented 0.52
New York City FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Nicolás Fernández M 7.9 93' – – 1 46 (41%) 2
26 Agustin Ojeda M 7.2 75' – – – 30 (22%) –
21 Aiden O'Neill M 7.0 93' – – 1 49 (41%) 3
9 Bénie Traoré F 7.0 31' – – 2 10 (7%) 1
20 Luighi Hanri F 6.9 62' – – 1 17 (14%) 1
17 Hannes Wolf M 6.7 62' – – 1 14 (12%) 1
13 Thiago Martins D 6.6 93' – – 1 75 (69%) 1
6 James Sands D 6.6 93' – – – 86 (78%) 1
2 Nico Cavallo D 6.6 93' – – – 54 (48%) 1
8 Andrés Perea M 6.6 93' – – 1 42 (35%) 2
49 Matthew Freese G 6.5 93' – – – 20 (16%) –
16 A. Martínez F 6.5 31' – – 2 3 (3%) –
24 Tayvon Gray D 6.3 93' – – – 53 (40%) 1
88 Malachi Jones F 6.2 18' – – – 1 –
New York Red Bulls
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
34 Ethan Horvath G 7.5 93' – – – 22 (14%) –
14 Julián Bazán D 7.5 93' – – – 40 (37%) 6
15 Adri Mehmeti M 7.3 84' – – – 46 (38%) –
48 Ronald Donkor M 7.0 93' – – – 31 (26%) 1
26 Tim Parker D 7.0 93' – – – 21 (16%) 1
12 Dylan Nealis D 6.9 93' – – – 35 (27%) 1
16 Julian Hall F 6.9 84' 1 – 2 8 (3%) –
56 M. Dos Santos D 6.9 62' – – 1 21 (14%) –
7 Cade Cowell F 6.5 84' – – 1 13 (9%) –
11 Jorge Ruvalcaba F 6.5 9' – – – 1 (1%) –
13 Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting F 6.5 9' – – – 3 (1%) –
8 David Ruíz M 6.3 9' – – – 2 (1%) –
37 Mohammed Sofo M 6.3 93' – – 1 28 (23%) 3
17 Cameron Harper F 6.3 93' – – – 14 (10%) 1
59 Devin Padelford D 6.2 31' – – – 5 (2%) –
Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls

  • All 70+ probability markets
  • AI Deep-Dive match report
  • Value Edge — model vs market
  • Pick types you choose
Go Premium
Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult New York City FC win or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
New York City FC
LWLDD
New York Red Bulls
WWLDL
Last 2 meetings New York City FC · 1W 1D 0L

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: New York Red Bulls leads 0-1. Win probability: 78.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 21.5%.

59' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. New York Red Bulls win: 65.6%. BTTS: 48.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 78.7%. Over 1.5 remaining: 49.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
51%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
24%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

New York City FC
N. Fernández Mercau 15 gls
New York Red Bulls

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls

1 New York City FC Wins
1 Draws
0 New York Red Bulls Wins
Date Home Score Away
16 May 2026 New York Red Bulls 1 - 1 New York City FC
29 Apr 2026 New York Red Bulls 1 - 3 New York City FC

New York City FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H New York Red Bulls L 0 - 1
13 Sep A Real Salt Lake W 0 - 2
10 Sep H New England Revolution L 1 - 2
04 Sep H Nashville SC D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Toronto FC D 1 - 1

New York Red Bulls — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A New York City FC W 0 - 1
12 Sep A Columbus Crew W 0 - 1
10 Sep A Los Angeles FC L 2 - 0
06 Sep A Seattle Sounders D 0 - 0
29 Aug H Philadelphia Union L 1 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
26 17 6 3 +32 57
2
New England Revolution
26 14 4 8 +12 46
3
Inter Miami
26 12 10 4 +15 46
4
Charlotte
26 12 7 7 +10 43
5
Chicago Fire
25 11 6 8 +7 39
6
Philadelphia Union
26 10 6 10 +8 36
7
Orlando City SC
26 10 4 12 -14 34
8
New York Red Bulls
26 9 6 11 -14 33
9
FC Cincinnati
25 8 9 8 -7 33
10
New York City FC
26 8 8 10 +5 32
11
DC United
25 6 11 8 -8 29
12
Toronto FC
26 6 11 9 -10 29
13
Columbus Crew
26 7 5 14 -5 26
14
Atlanta United FC
26 7 5 14 -13 26
15
CF Montreal
26 5 6 15 -22 21

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 4 6 +33 49
2
Houston Dynamo
26 13 5 8 +4 44
3
St. Louis City
26 12 8 6 +9 44
4
FC Dallas
26 12 8 6 +7 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 6 8 +8 42
6
Los Angeles FC
27 11 8 8 +14 41
7
Colorado Rapids
26 11 3 12 +1 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 9 10 -8 33
9
Portland Timbers
26 9 5 12 -1 32
10
San Diego
26 8 7 11 0 31
11
Austin
26 7 9 10 -12 30
12
Real Salt Lake
25 8 5 12 -5 29
13
Seattle Sounders
24 7 8 9 -5 29
14
Minnesota United FC
26 7 8 11 -7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City
25 5 3 17 -34 18

New York Red Bulls

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
34 Horvath
56 Santos
14 Bazán
26 Parker
12 Nealis
37 Sofo
15 Mehmeti
48 Donkor
7 Cowell
16 Hall
17 Harper

Starting XI

# Player Pos
34 Ethan Horvath G
12 Dylan Nealis D
26 Tim Parker D
14 Julián Bazán D
56 Matthew Dos Santos D
48 Ronald Donkor M
15 Adri Mehmeti M
37 Mohammed Sofo M
17 Cameron Harper F
16 Julian Hall F
7 Cade Cowell F

Substitutes

77 John McCarthy G
6 Robert Voloder D
59 Devin Padelford D
8 David Ruíz M
60 Sekou Kone M
11 Jorge Ruvalcaba F
10 Emil Forsberg M
13 Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting F
92 Dennis Nelich F

New York City FC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Pascal Jansen
49 Freese
2 Cavallo
6 Sands
13 Martins
24 Gray
8 Perea
21 O'Neill
17 Wolf
7 Fernández
26 Ojeda
20 Hanri

Starting XI

# Player Pos
49 Matthew Freese G
24 Tayvon Gray D
13 Thiago Martins D
6 James Sands D
2 Nico Cavallo D
21 Aiden O'Neill M
8 Andrés Perea M
26 Agustin Ojeda M
7 Nicolás Fernández M
17 Hannes Wolf M
20 Luighi Hanri F

Substitutes

30 Tomás Romero G
34 Raul Gustavo D
35 Mitja Ilenič D
23 Max Murray D
22 Kevin O'Toole D
32 Jonathan Shore M
9 Bénie Traoré F
88 Malachi Jones F
16 Alonso Martínez F

Sportiko Assistant

Features, the contest, or football

Sign up free to chat with the Sportiko Assistant — ask about predictions, the contest, anything football.

Sign up free Already have an account? Log in