Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC Prediction
FT
AI call
Real Salt Lake or draw
46%
27%
27%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC prediction: Sportiko gives Real Salt Lake a 46% chance of winning, New York City FC 27% and the draw 27%. Last updated 13 Sep 2026, 03:42.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 73%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 73%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
41'
Nicolás Fernández
assist: Agustin Ojeda
HT 0–1
Juan Jose Arias
⇄ Kobi Henry
57'
⇄
Luca Moisa
⇄ Colin Guske
57'
⇄
⚽
0–2
61'
Luighi Hanri
assist: Agustin Ojeda
Alexandros Katranis
Yellow Card
64'
▮
Sergi Solans
⇄ Lineker Rodrigues
67'
⇄
Philip Quinton
⇄ Aiden Hezarkhani
67'
⇄
Lineker Rodrigues
Yellow Card
69'
▮
⇄
72'
Luighi Hanri
⇄ Bénie Traoré
Morgan Guilavogui
⇄ Taylor Booth
76'
⇄
⇄
80'
Nico Cavallo
⇄ Kevin O'Toole
⇄
80'
Jonathan Shore
⇄ Aiden O'Neill
▮
81'
Kevin O'Toole
Yellow Card
⇄
88'
Hannes Wolf
⇄ A. Martínez
▮
90+8'
Matthew Freese
Yellow Card
FT 0–2
Real Salt Lake
Match Stats
New York City FC
52%
Ball Possession
48%
15
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots off Goal
2
4
Blocked Shots
1
11
Shots insidebox
2
4
Shots outsidebox
4
10
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
0
18
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
502
Total passes
463
424
Passes accurate
376
9
Free Kicks
17
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Aiden Hezarkhani F | 6.8 | 23' | – | – | 2 | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 92 Noel Caliskan M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 74 (68%) | 3 |
| 3 Kobi Henry D | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | – | 43 (39%) | 1 |
| 21 Juan Jose Arias D | 6.6 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 42 (39%) | – |
| 8 Juan Sanabria M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (33%) | 1 |
| 9 Morgan Guilavogui F | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | 1 |
| 22 Sergi Solans F | 6.4 | 67' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 12 Saba Lobzhanidze F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 70 Lineker Rodrigues F | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 18 Taylor Booth F | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 2 DeAndre Yedlin D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (46%) | 1 |
| 26 Philip Quinton D | 6.1 | 67' | – | – | – | 45 (38%) | – |
| 1 Rafael Cabral G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | – |
| 34 Luca Moisa M | 6.0 | 57' | – | – | 2 | 22 (16%) | 1 |
| 98 Alexandros Katranis M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (39%) | – |
| 25 Colin Guske M | 5.8 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 23 (17%) | – |
New York City FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nicolás Fernández M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 44 (34%) | 1 |
| 49 Matthew Freese G | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (17%) | – |
| 20 Luighi Hanri F | 7.6 | 72' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 26 Agustin Ojeda F | 7.3 | 90' | – | 2 | – | 33 (27%) | 3 |
| 6 James Sands D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (56%) | 2 |
| 13 Thiago Martins D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (57%) | 1 |
| 9 Bénie Traoré F | 6.8 | 18' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 3 |
| 24 Tayvon Gray D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (44%) | 1 |
| 2 Nico Cavallo D | 6.7 | 80' | – | – | – | 32 (25%) | 3 |
| 21 Aiden O'Neill M | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 16 A. Martínez F | 6.5 | 2' | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
| 8 Andrés Perea M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (41%) | 1 |
| 17 Hannes Wolf F | 6.4 | 88' | – | – | – | 27 (17%) | 1 |
| 32 Jonathan Shore M | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 45 (38%) | 3 |
| 22 Kevin O'Toole D | 6.2 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (46%)
At a glance
Our lean
Real Salt Lake or draw
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Real Salt Lake
WLWWW
New York City FC
WDWDD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
46%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
27%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Real Salt Lake
S. Solans
14 gls
New York City FC
N. Fernández Mercau
16 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Real Salt Lake — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Los Angeles Galaxy | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A San Jose Earthquakes | L | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Austin | W | 1 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H St. Louis City | W | 3 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Sporting Kansas City | W | 1 - 3 |
New York City FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A DC United | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H CF Montreal | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Atlanta United FC | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Orlando City SC | D | 2 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Los Angeles FC | D | 1 - 1 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
New York City FC
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: P. Jansen
49
Freese
2
Cavallo
6
Sands
13
Martins
24
Gray
8
Perea
7
Mercau
32
Shore
17
Wolf
20
Hanri
26
Ojeda
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | M. Freese | G |
| 24 | T. Gray | D |
| 13 | Thiago Martins | D |
| 6 | J. Sands | D |
| 2 | Nico Cavallo | D |
| 32 | J. Shore | M |
| 7 | N. Fernández Mercau | M |
| 8 | A. Perea | M |
| 26 | A. Ojeda | F |
| 20 | Luighi Hanri | F |
| 17 | H. Wolf | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | B. Traoré | F |
| 30 | T. Romero | G |
| 34 | Raul Gustavo | D |
| 22 | K. O'Toole | D |
| 21 | A. O'Neill | M |
| 23 | Maxwell Murray | D |
| 16 | A. Martínez | F |
| 88 | M. Jones | F |
| 35 | M. Ilenič | D |
Real Salt Lake
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: P. Mastroeni
1
Cabral
26
Quinton
21
Arias
2
Yedlin
8
Sanabria
34
Moisa
92
Caliskan
98
Katránis
12
Lobzhanidze
22
Solans
9
Guilavogui
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Cabral | G |
| 2 | D. Yedlin | D |
| 21 | J. Arias | D |
| 26 | P. Quinton | D |
| 98 | A. Katránis | M |
| 92 | N. Caliskan | M |
| 34 | L. Moisa | M |
| 8 | J. Sanabria | M |
| 9 | M. Guilavogui | F |
| 22 | S. Solans | F |
| 12 | S. Lobzhanidze | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | T. Booth | F |
| 14 | E. Eneli | M |
| 25 | Colin Guske | M |
| 3 | K. Henry | D |
| 39 | A. Hezarkhani | F |
| 70 | Lineker Rodrigues | F |
| 77 | R. Mesalles | D |
| 13 | Jason Shokalook | F |
| 31 | M. Stajduhar | G |