Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 25
FT
Post on X
AI call Real Salt Lake or draw
46%
27%
27%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC prediction: Sportiko gives Real Salt Lake a 46% chance of winning, New York City FC 27% and the draw 27%. Last updated 13 Sep 2026, 03:42.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Away to Score 73%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 73%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

0–1 41'
Nicolás Fernández assist: Agustin Ojeda
HT 0–1
Juan Jose Arias ⇄ Kobi Henry
57'
Luca Moisa ⇄ Colin Guske
57'
0–2 61'
Luighi Hanri assist: Agustin Ojeda
Alexandros Katranis Yellow Card
64'
Sergi Solans ⇄ Lineker Rodrigues
67'
Philip Quinton ⇄ Aiden Hezarkhani
67'
Lineker Rodrigues Yellow Card
69'
72'
Luighi Hanri ⇄ Bénie Traoré
Morgan Guilavogui ⇄ Taylor Booth
76'
80'
Nico Cavallo ⇄ Kevin O'Toole
80'
Jonathan Shore ⇄ Aiden O'Neill
81'
Kevin O'Toole Yellow Card
88'
Hannes Wolf ⇄ A. Martínez
90+8'
Matthew Freese Yellow Card
FT 0–2
Real Salt Lake

Match Stats

New York City FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 4
10 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 0
18 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
502 Total passes 463
424 Passes accurate 376
9 Free Kicks 17
Real Salt Lake
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
39 Aiden Hezarkhani F 6.8 23' 2 7 (5%) 1
92 Noel Caliskan M 6.7 90' 1 74 (68%) 3
3 Kobi Henry D 6.7 33' 43 (39%) 1
21 Juan Jose Arias D 6.6 57' 1 42 (39%)
8 Juan Sanabria M 6.5 90' 1 40 (33%) 1
9 Morgan Guilavogui F 6.5 76' 1 33 (28%) 1
22 Sergi Solans F 6.4 67' 13 (9%) 1
12 Saba Lobzhanidze F 6.4 90' 4 20 (17%)
70 Lineker Rodrigues F 6.3 23' 1 7 (5%) 1
18 Taylor Booth F 6.2 14' 1 4 (4%)
2 DeAndre Yedlin D 6.1 90' 55 (46%) 1
26 Philip Quinton D 6.1 67' 45 (38%)
1 Rafael Cabral G 6.0 90' 25 (21%)
34 Luca Moisa M 6.0 57' 2 22 (16%) 1
98 Alexandros Katranis M 5.9 90' 49 (39%)
25 Colin Guske M 5.8 33' 1 23 (17%)
New York City FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Nicolás Fernández M 8.2 90' 1 3 44 (34%) 1
49 Matthew Freese G 7.8 90' 27 (17%)
20 Luighi Hanri F 7.6 72' 1 1 10 (9%)
26 Agustin Ojeda F 7.3 90' 2 33 (27%) 3
6 James Sands D 7.1 90' 61 (56%) 2
13 Thiago Martins D 6.8 90' 64 (57%) 1
9 Bénie Traoré F 6.8 18' 7 (6%) 3
24 Tayvon Gray D 6.7 90' 57 (44%) 1
2 Nico Cavallo D 6.7 80' 32 (25%) 3
21 Aiden O'Neill M 6.5 10' 1 (1%)
16 A. Martínez F 6.5 2' 1 1
8 Andrés Perea M 6.4 90' 49 (41%) 1
17 Hannes Wolf F 6.4 88' 27 (17%) 1
32 Jonathan Shore M 6.3 80' 1 45 (38%) 3
22 Kevin O'Toole D 6.2 10' 5 (4%) 1
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean
Real Salt Lake or draw
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Real Salt Lake
LLLLD
New York City FC
LWLDD
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
46%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
27%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Real Salt Lake

No scorer data.

New York City FC
N. Fernández Mercau 15 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Real Salt Lake — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
24 Sep A Seattle Sounders L 2 - 0
20 Sep H Vancouver Whitecaps L 0 - 3
13 Sep H New York City FC L 0 - 2
10 Sep A Houston Dynamo L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Los Angeles FC D 2 - 2

New York City FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H New York Red Bulls L 0 - 1
13 Sep A Real Salt Lake W 0 - 2
10 Sep H New England Revolution L 1 - 2
04 Sep H Nashville SC D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Toronto FC D 1 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
26 17 6 3 +32 57
2
New England Revolution
26 14 4 8 +12 46
3
Inter Miami
26 12 10 4 +15 46
4
Charlotte
26 12 7 7 +10 43
5
Chicago Fire
25 11 6 8 +7 39
6
Philadelphia Union
26 10 6 10 +8 36
7
Orlando City SC
26 10 4 12 -14 34
8
New York Red Bulls
26 9 6 11 -14 33
9
FC Cincinnati
25 8 9 8 -7 33
10
New York City FC
26 8 8 10 +5 32
11
DC United
25 6 11 8 -8 29
12
Toronto FC
26 6 11 9 -10 29
13
Columbus Crew
26 7 5 14 -5 26
14
Atlanta United FC
26 7 5 14 -13 26
15
CF Montreal
26 5 6 15 -22 21

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 4 6 +33 49
2
Houston Dynamo
26 13 5 8 +4 44
3
St. Louis City
26 12 8 6 +9 44
4
FC Dallas
26 12 8 6 +7 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 6 8 +8 42
6
Los Angeles FC
27 11 8 8 +14 41
7
Colorado Rapids
26 11 3 12 +1 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 9 10 -8 33
9
Portland Timbers
26 9 5 12 -1 32
10
San Diego
26 8 7 11 0 31
11
Austin
26 7 9 10 -12 30
12
Real Salt Lake
25 8 5 12 -5 29
13
Seattle Sounders
24 7 8 9 -5 29
14
Minnesota United FC
26 7 8 11 -7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City
25 5 3 17 -34 18

New York City FC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: P. Jansen
49 Freese
2 Cavallo
6 Sands
13 Martins
24 Gray
8 Perea
7 Mercau
32 Shore
17 Wolf
20 Hanri
26 Ojeda

Starting XI

# Player Pos
49 M. Freese G
24 T. Gray D
13 Thiago Martins D
6 J. Sands D
2 Nico Cavallo D
32 J. Shore M
7 N. Fernández Mercau M
8 A. Perea M
26 A. Ojeda F
20 Luighi Hanri F
17 H. Wolf F

Substitutes

9 B. Traoré F
30 T. Romero G
34 Raul Gustavo D
22 K. O'Toole D
21 A. O'Neill M
23 Maxwell Murray D
16 A. Martínez F
88 M. Jones F
35 M. Ilenič D

Real Salt Lake

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Pablo Mastroeni
1 Cabral
26 Quinton
21 Arias
2 Yedlin
8 Sanabria
34 Moisa
92 Caliskan
98 Katránis
12 Lobzhanidze
22 Solans
9 Guilavogui

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Rafael Cabral G
2 D. Yedlin D
21 J. Arias D
26 P. Quinton D
98 A. Katránis M
92 N. Caliskan M
34 L. Moisa M
8 J. Sanabria M
9 M. Guilavogui F
22 S. Solans F
12 S. Lobzhanidze F

Substitutes

18 T. Booth F
14 E. Eneli M
25 Colin Guske M
3 K. Henry D
39 A. Hezarkhani F
70 Lineker Rodrigues F
77 R. Mesalles D
13 Jason Shokalook F
31 M. Stajduhar G

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